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Trump administration odds
Every Trump administration market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
Trending trump administration markets
Trump out as President before 2027?
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
- Vladimir Putin81%
- Mohammed bin Salman72%
- Kim Jong Un21%▼ 3
- Aleksandr Lukashenko9%▼ 3
10 more
- Changpeng Zhao7%
- King Mohammed VI6%
- iShowSpeed5%
- MrBeast5%
- Yoon Suk Yeol4%
- Nick Fuentes4%
- Lai Ching-te4%
- Nicolás Maduro3%
- Pope Leo XIV3%
- Jair Bolsonaro2%
Next Press Secretary announced by...?
- October 314%▲ 1
- November 3034%▼ 2
- December 3162%
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
- October 31>99%▲ 47
- November 30>99%▲ 16
Maduro Prison Time?
- No prison time55%▲ 3
- 60+22%▲ 1
- <208%
- 40–605%
1 more
- 20–404%▲ 1
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
- October 315%▲ 2
- December 3131%▼ 1
Will Trump be impeached? (Before 2028)
- Before Jan 1, 20273%
- Before Feb 1, 202717%▲ 1
- Before Mar 1, 202730%▲ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202736%▲ 1
6 more
- Before May 1, 202741%
- Before Jun 1, 202743%▲ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202748%▼ 1
- Before Aug 1, 202753%
- Before Oct 1, 202764%
- Before Jan 1, 202867%▲ 1
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Next Press Secretary?
- Anna Kelly26%▲ 1
- Scott Jennings8%▼ 1
- Maria Bartiromo5%
- Elizabeth Pipko4%▼ 2
27 more
- Lara Trump4%▼ 1
- Natalie Harp4%▲ 1
- Karoline Leavitt4%▲ 2
- Beni Rae Harmony4%
- Harrison Fields3%▲ 1
- Margo Martin3%▼ 1
- Kayleigh McEnany3%
- Laura Loomer3%▲ 1
- Hogan Gidley2%▲ 2
- Taylor Rogers2%
- Katie Pavlich2%
- Tricia McLaughlin2%
- Kari Lake2%
- Katie Miller2%
- Monica Crowley2%
- Steven Cheung2%
- Alina Habba1%
- Liz Huston1%
- Lauren Bis1%
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Matthew Boyle<1%
- Spencer Pratt<1%
- Kush Desai<1%
- Kaelan Dorr<1%
- Ari Fleischer<1%
- Pat Adams<1%
- Jake Paul<1%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Will Trump be impeached by...?
- December 31, 20262%
- June 30, 202744%▼ 1
- December 31, 202767%
Kash Patel out by...?
- October 312%
- December 3121%▼ 2
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?
- Andy Burnham99%
- Friedrich Merz99%▲ 9
- Ursula von der Leyen98%▲ 11
- Mark Rutte30%▼ 2
13 more
- Ahmed al-Sharaa23%▲ 1
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy19%▼ 4
- Lula da Silva11%▼ 3
- Xi Jinping8%▼ 1
- Maria Corina Machado5%▲ 1
- Pope Leo XIV3%
- Kim Jong Un3%
- Yoon Suk Yeol3%▲ 1
- Miguel Díaz-Canel3%
- Masoud Pezeshkian2%
- Reza Pahlavi2%
- Mojtaba Khamenei2%
- Nicolás Maduro1%
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death) (Before January 20, 2029)
- Before January 20, 202926%
- Before 202818%▼ 1
- Before 20275%▲ 1
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
- Anna Kelly23%▼ 3
- Scott Jennings8%▲ 1
- Elizabeth Pipko4%▼ 1
- Kari Lake3%▼ 1
56 more
- Danielle Alvarez3%
- Margo Martin3%
- Roma Daravi2%
- Katie Miller2%
- Maria Bartiromo2%▼ 1
- Ben Ferguson2%
- Beni Rae Harmony2%
- Alina Habba1%▼ 1
- Steven Cheung1%
- Jason Miller1%
- Harrison Fields1%▼ 1
- Kaylee McGhee White1%▲ 1
- Sage Steele1%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- No new person1%
- Liz Huston1%
- Natalie Harp1%
- Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
- Spencer Pratt1%
- Lara Trump1%
- Laura Loomer1%▼ 1
- Jayme Franklin1%
- Erika Kirk1%
- Matthew Boyle1%
- Taylor Budowich1%
- Monica Crowley1%
- Tricia McLaughlin1%▼ 1
- Kush Desai1%
- Ari Fleischer1%
- Benny Johnson1%
- Matt Walsh1%
- Ben Shapiro1%
- Jack Posobiec1%
- Mike Cernovich1%
- Dan Bongino1%
- Kayleigh McEnany1%
- Taylor Rogers1%
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Katie Pavlich1%
- Lauren Bis1%
- Pat Adams1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Vanessa Broussard1%
- Cara Castronuova1%
- Mark Levin1%
- Logan Paul1%
- Jake Paul1%
- Eric Daugherty1%
- Erin Elmore Scavino1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Peter Doocy1%
- Sean Spicer1%
- Karoline Leavitt1%
- Marco Rubio1%
- Kat Timpf1%
- George Santos1%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- Ric Grenell71%▲ 1
- Susie Wiles37%
- Doug Collins31%
- Amy Gleason30%
27 more
- Pete Hegseth26%
- Bill Pulte24%
- Linda McMahon19%▲ 1
- Kash Patel18%▲ 2
- Steve Witkoff18%▼ 2
- Brooke Rollins17%
- Howard Lutnick16%▼ 1
- Mike Huckabee16%
- Scott Turner15%▲ 1
- Peter Navarro14%
- Tom Homan14%▼ 1
- Chris Wright14%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%
- John Ratcliffe13%▼ 1
- Rodney Scott13%
- Sean Duffy12%▼ 1
- Steven Cheung12%▲ 1
- Jamieson Greer12%
- Russell Vought12%
- Mehmet Oz11%▼ 1
- Kelly Loeffler11%
- Brendan Carr11%
- Stephen Miller11%
- Doug Burgum11%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio9%▼ 1
- Scott Bessent6%
- Lee Zeldin6%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions