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Health odds
Outbreaks and pandemics, FDA decisions and the public-health questions traders are pricing.
Trending health markets
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 7,091.
- Reaches 4,500>99%
- Reaches 4,75097%
- Reaches 5,00097%
Already reached: ↑3.5k, ↑500, ↑1k, ↑2k, ↑3k, ↑4k
Measles cases in 2026?
Plague pandemic in 2026?
Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- Central African Republic68%▼ 2
- South Sudan39%▲ 4
- Somalia30%
- Republic of the Congo22%▼ 2
11 more
- Rwanda21%▼ 1
- Burundi16%▼ 3
- Tanzania11%▼ 1
- Ethiopia10%▼ 1
- Nigeria10%
- Zambia8%
- United States7%
- India7%▼ 1
- Angola7%▼ 1
- Canada6%▼ 1
- China4%▼ 1
Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year? (Before 2027)
Pandemic in 2026?
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term? (From 2025 to 2028)
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year? (2026)
How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin? (COMP360 Psilocybin for Treatment-Resistant Depression)
- Before 202889%
- Before October 202787%
- Before July 202784%▲ 2
- Before Mar 1, 202762%
1 more
- Before Jan 1, 202723%▼ 3
Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
Will the FDA approve retatrutide? (retatrutide (LY3437943))
- Before Jan 1, 20274%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202718%▼ 3
- Before Jan 1, 202871%▼ 2
- Before Jul 1, 202885%▼ 2
1 more
- Before Jan 1, 202990%▼ 2
When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Before 202731%▼ 10
- Before November14%▼ 1
How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Will the FDA approve MDMA for PTSD?
- Before Jan 1, 20279%
- Before Jan 1, 202835%
- Before Jan 1, 202947%
- Before Jan 1, 203048%
2 more
- Before Jan 1, 203149%▼ 7
- Before Jan 1, 203249%▼ 3
How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year? (Before January 1, 2027)
- Before November 1, 20265%
- Before December 1, 20267%▼ 1
- Before January 1, 20278%▲ 1
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before October 202791%▲ 2
- Before 202891%
- Before July 202789%
How many mpox clade Ib cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
When will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
- Before Jan 1, 20274%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202835%▲ 1
- Before Jan 20, 202950%
Will Trump make IVF free?
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.