Predictions

What the prediction markets expect, all in one place: the odds traders on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com give elections, the Fed, games, coins, culture and world events, where the money is going, what moved and the news behind it.

Prices read just now
The Fed's next decisionFed maintains rate87%Fed decision in Oct 2026?Senate controlDemocratic Party65%Which party will win the U.S. Senate?The midtermsDemocrats Sweep63%Balance of Power: 2026 MidtermsHouse controlDemocratic Party91%Which party will win the U.S. House?President in 2028JD Vance20%Presidential Election Winner 2028On the world stageOctober 2267%US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?Bitcoin↑ 84,0008%What price will Bitcoin hit on October 20?RecessionYes8%▲ 1US recession by end of 2026?The big championshipKimi Antonelli98%F1 Drivers' ChampionAwards seasonThe Odyssey46%Oscar Winner: Best PictureThe AI raceGoogle79%Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Trending now

Leaderboard ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▲ 2
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
  • Kamala Harris7%
49 more
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
39 more
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
World › The Americas

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

77%Nicolás Maduro
  • Nicolás Maduro77%▲ 3
  • Delcy Rodríguez18%▲ 1
  • No Head of State2%
  • María Corina Machado1%
12 more
  • Jorge Rodríguez<1%
  • Edmundo González<1%
  • Marco Rubio<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Frank Donovan<1%
  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón<1%
  • Dinorah Figuera<1%
  • Donald Trump<1%
  • Vladimir Padrino López<1%
  • Evan Pettus<1%
  • Dan Caine<1%
  • Richard Grenell<1%
PolymarketCloses Dec 31 · $57.5K today · $98.6M traded

Today's biggest games

All sports ›

Biggest moves today

All movers ›
# Market Leading Day Today Decided
1 Paris curfew announced by...?Europe · Polymarket October 19 >99% October 19 ▲ 99 $368K Closes Oct 31
2 Highest temperature in Munich on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket 9°C 95% 9°C ▲ 95 $50.6K For today 8:00 AM ET
3 How low will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi Below $780.00 48% Below $550.00 ▼ 95 $5.9K Closes Oct 31
4 Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse? (2028)More sports · Kalshi Brazil 99% China ▼ 94 $2.2K Closes Aug 1, 2028
5 How high will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi Above $2,090.00 48% Above $1,620.00 ▼ 91 $19.3K Closes Oct 31
6 Pro Football: Team Wins in First 12 Weeks (Week 12 2026-27)NFL · Kalshi Philadelphia: 3+ wins in first 12… 99% Kansas City: 11 wins… ▲ 91 $4.9K Closes Dec 8
7 Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 20?Daily weather · Polymarket 28°C 94% 28°C ▲ 89 $69.7K For today 8:00 AM ET
8 Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?Public health · Kalshi Nigeria 99% Nigeria ▲ 89 $7.3K Closes Dec 31

The outcome that moved most in each market over the last 24 hours, in percentage points. Markets closing within a day and thin ones are left out.

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What each market settled on, and the chance traders gave the outcome that happened the day before it closed.

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.