Predictions › Politics odds Every World leaders market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
786 open markets · $739K traded today Trending world leaders markets
Before Nov 1, 2026 2% Before Dec 1, 2026 5% Before Jan 1, 2027 8% Before Feb 1, 2027 9% ▼ 1 13 more Before Mar 1, 2027 14% ▼ 2 Before Apr 1, 2027 18% Before May 1, 2027 19% ▼ 2 Before Jun 1, 2027 25% Before Jul 1, 2027 31% Before Aug 1, 2027 33% Before Sep 1, 2027 34% ▼ 1 Before Oct 1, 2027 37% Before Nov 1, 2027 41% Before Dec 1, 2027 41% Before Jan 1, 2028 48% ▼ 1 Before Jul 1, 2028 56% Before Jan 1, 2029 60%
140 230
Median 189.1 Middle half 174.1 – 201.4
160 230
Median 197.2 Middle half 189.8 – 202.7
250 340
Median 293.4 Middle half 280.8 – 308.3
140 230
Median 185.8 Middle half 176.0 – 197.5
Before January 21, 2029 20% ▲ 3 Before 2027 3%
Before January 20, 2029 15% ▲ 1 Before 2027 2%
Argentina 97% ▲ 1 Uruguay 95% Peru 94% ▼ 1 Portugal 15% ▼ 1 8 more Mexico 14% ▲ 1 Brazil 12% Ukraine 6% Jordan 5% ▲ 1 USA 5% Philippines 5% ▲ 1 Israel 4% South Sudan 4%
Before Nov 1, 2026 8% ▼ 4 Before Jan 1, 2027 17% ▼ 3
250 340
Median 295 Middle half 285 – 306.0
Before Jan 1, 2027 10% ▲ 1 Before Jan 1, 2028 33% Before Jan 20, 2029 41%
Japan 14% Saudi Arabia 14% ▼ 1 Germany 13% Israel 9% ▲ 1 18 more Cuba 8% India 7% Venezuela 7% North Korea 7% Norway 7% ▲ 1 Denmark 6% Qatar 6% Russia 6% Italy 6% Vatican City 6% Mexico 5% Pakistan 5% Poland 4% ▲ 1 Hungary 4% Palestine 4% Canada 4% Ukraine 3% Taiwan 2%
Belize 8% Comoros 6% Saudi Arabia 6% Djibouti 5% 7 more Mauritania 5% Lebanon 5% ▼ 1 Oman 4% Maldives 4% Syria 4% Iran 4% Indonesia 3%
Gadi Eisenkot 58% ▲ 4 Benjamin Netanyahu 31% ▼ 3 Naftali Bennett 4% Amir Ohana 1% ▼ 1 3 more Avigdor Lieberman 1% ▼ 1 Yair Golan 1% ▼ 1 Yair Lapid 1% ▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 2027 4% Before Jan 1, 2028 15% ▼ 2 Before Jan 1, 2029 29% Before Jan 1, 2030 43%
160 230
Median 192.8 Middle half 185.7 – 202.7
Before Dec 1, 2026 88% Before Jan 1, 2027 91%
Before Jan 2027 5% ▼ 1 Before Jan 2028 18% ▼ 2 Before Jan 21, 2029 26% ▼ 1
Before Jan 1, 2027 13% Before Jan 1, 2028 38% Before Jan 20, 2029 42%
Switzerland 27% Qatar 22% Cuba 20% ▼ 1 Ukraine 17% ▲ 2 5 more Mexico 16% Poland 11% Venezuela 9% Oman 7% Russia 5%
Delcy Rodríguez 93% Vladimir Padrino López 2% Jorge Rodríguez 2% María Corina Machado 2% 4 more Nicolás Maduro 2% Diosdado Cabello 1% Gustavo González López 1% Edmundo González Urrutia 1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .