Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $553K traded · $12K at stake · prices read 9 min ago

The odds

2%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 2% on Oct 20, 2% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 2% 1¢ 2¢ $58.82 $553K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Trump

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  • Trump Administration News: Headlines and Video on Trump OfficialsNBC News · 35 h agoNBC News The latest on the 47th presidential administration. Ceasefire brokered by Melania Trump goes into effect in Russian-occupied town ‘on the brink of disaster’ DOJ asks Washington state to set aside 400 ballots from voters it says…
  • President Trump campaigns in TexasCBS News · 12 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. President Trump campaigns…
  • Obama v Trump – Decoding America podcastthe Guardian · 5 h agoIn this episode of Guardian Australia’s US politics podcast, co-hosts Reged Ahmad and Jonathan Yerushalmy talk about Barack Obama’s war of words with Donald Trump, after the former president spoke at a campaign rally in Ohio and compared…
  • Talarico, Trump hold dueling rallies in LubbockCBS News · 10 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Talarico, Trump hold…
  • Trump declines to unconditionally accept midterm resultsThe Washington Post · 14 h agoPresident Donald Trump declined to accept the midterm election results unconditionally Tuesday, echoing formulations he has used in past campaigns. “I will — if they’re honest elections,” he told reporters at Joint Base Andrews in Maryland…
  • Trump administration pushes for Venezuela electionssemafor.com · 25 h agoThe Trump administration is working with Venezuela to set up a path toward elections, according to a senior State Department official. The blueprint would see a new Supreme Court, or TSJ, put into place by mid-December of this year…
  • Cuba holds on as Trump ups pressurePOLITICO · 26 h agoFrom the SitRoom to the E-Ring, the inside scoop on defense, national security and foreign policy. By ERIC BAZAIL-EIMIL and GISELLE RUHIYYIH EWING 10/26/2026 04:07 PM EDT Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez gives a news conference…
  • Trump touts methane rollback at Paxton campaign stopPOLITICO · 9 h agoThe president announced plans to roll back a Biden-era oil and gas regulation at a campaign rally in Texas oil country. President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally at Lubbock Memorial Civic Center, Oct. 27, 2026, in Lubbock, Texas…
  • Republicans wanted Rubio on the stump. Trump coaxed him there.POLITICO · 11 h ago“We love you, Texas,” the secretary of State told the crowd. President Donald Trump greets Secretary of State Marco Rubio at a campaign rally at the Port of Corpus Christi in Corpus Christi, Texas, on Oct. 27, 2026. | Alex Brandon/AP…
  • Trump demands Ilhan Omar to resign from CongressFox News · 13 h agoPresident Donald Trump criticizes Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., for allegedly using a different name while being sworn into Congress during a GOP midterm campaign rally in Corpus Christi, Texas. Trump demands Ilhan Omar to resign from Congress…
  • Trump: There has never been a time like thisFox News · 12 h agoPresident Donald Trump discusses how his administration has changed the trajectory of the United States at a GOP midterm campaign rally in Corpus Christi, Texas. Trump: There has never been a time like this President Donald Trump discusses…
  • Ashley Hinson Navigates the Trump Maze in IowaNational Review · 15 h agoFor the Media, This South Texas Democrat’s Scandals Are Just Background Noise After Orbán, Hungary Is Falling Out of Love with Russia Former FBI Officials Charged with Lying to Congress About Hunter Biden Laptop Investigation Top RFK…

Related markets

All trump administration ›
Politics › Trump administration

Who will be arrested before 2027?

21%John Brennan
  • John Brennan21%▼ 1
  • Mahmoud Khalil20%▼ 2
  • James Comey17%▼ 6
21 more
  • Tom Homan8%▲ 1
  • Lee Jun-seok8%▼ 2
  • Susan Rice7%▲ 2
  • Anthony Fauci6%▼ 2
  • Lisa Cook5%
  • James Clapper5%▼ 1
  • Letitia James5%▼ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu4%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Candace Owens4%▼ 2
  • Brandon Johnson4%
  • Adam Schiff3%▼ 1
  • Hillary Clinton3%▼ 2
  • Pam Bondi3%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%
  • Kash Patel3%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions