Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Nov 27, 2027even chance by
- October 3114%▼ 5
- November 3055%▼ 5
- December 3177%▼ 4
Install
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
The odds
85%Kaitlan Collins
- Kaitlan Collins85%▼ 3
- J.B. Pritzker70%▼ 2
- Hakeem Jeffries67%▲ 11
- Tucker Carlson52%▲ 3
- Chuck Schumer41%▼ 11
- Mark Carney40%▼ 1
- Hillary Clinton32%▼ 16
- Elizabeth Warren32%▼ 21
- Emmanuel Macron26%▲ 11
- Candace Owens21%▲ 6
- Stephen Colbert16%▼ 2
- Zohran Mamdani14%▲ 4
13 more
- Dario Amodei13%▲ 4
- Ken Paxton11%▼ 4
- Friedrich Merz11%▼ 13
- Mike Rogers9%
- Andy Burnham6%▼ 12
- Benjamin Netanyahu5%▼ 2
- Pope Leo XIV4%▼ 3
- Vladimir Putin3%
- Masoud Pezeshkian3%
- Kevin Warsh3%▼ 1
- J.D. Vance2%▼ 1
- Elon Musk2%
- Xi Jinping1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Joe Biden | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3K | ||
| ✓ Barack Obama | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $24.7K | |
| ✓ Marjorie Taylor Greene | >99% | ▲ 43 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $9.2K | |
| ✓ Jerome Powell | >99% | ▲ 40 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $2.2K | |
| ✓ Nicolás Maduro | >99% | 99¢ | 100¢ | $1K | ||
| ✓ Jimmy Kimmel | >99% | ▲ 84 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $8.6K | |
| ✓ James Talarico | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $631 | ||
| ✓ Abdul El-Sayed | >99% | ▲ 7 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.7K | |
| ✓ Kathy Hochul | >99% | ▲ 6 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.2K | |
| ✓ Ilhan Omar | >99% | ▲ 37 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.8K | |
| ✓ Letitia James | >99% | ▲ 26 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $356 | |
| ✓ Jon Ossoff | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $4.1K | |
| ✓ Gavin Newsom | >99% | ▲ 17 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $5.6K | |
| ✓ Thomas Massie | >99% | ▲ 48 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $3K | |
| ✓ Kamala Harris | >99% | ▲ 23 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $3.9K | |
| ✓ Hasan Piker | >99% | ▲ 54 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $3.5K | |
| Kaitlan Collins | 85% | ▼ 3 | 82¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | $4.3K |
| J.B. Pritzker | 70% | ▼ 2 | 50¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | $717 |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 67% | ▲ 11 | 59¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | $5.3K |
| Tucker Carlson | 52% | ▲ 3 | 27¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | $9.1K |
| Chuck Schumer | 41% | ▼ 11 | 10¢ | 72¢ | $1.38 | $5.6K |
| Mark Carney | 40% | ▼ 1 | 38¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $3.1K |
| Hillary Clinton | 32% | ▼ 16 | 14¢ | 50¢ | $2.00 | $5.4K |
| Elizabeth Warren | 32% | ▼ 21 | 17¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | $1.6K |
| Emmanuel Macron | 26% | ▲ 11 | 10¢ | 41¢ | $2.42 | $1.1K |
| Candace Owens | 21% | ▲ 6 | 19¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | $7.8K |
| Stephen Colbert | 16% | ▼ 2 | 13¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $18 |
| Zohran Mamdani | 14% | ▲ 4 | 11¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $6.7K |
| Dario Amodei | 13% | ▲ 4 | 11¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $31 |
| Ken Paxton | 11% | ▼ 4 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $4K |
| Friedrich Merz | 11% | ▼ 13 | 5¢ | 16¢ | $6.25 | $3.4K |
| Mike Rogers | 9% | 7¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | $569 | |
| Andy Burnham | 6% | ▼ 12 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.36 | $815 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 5% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $1.6K |
| Pope Leo XIV | 4% | ▼ 3 | 2¢ | 5¢ | $19.61 | $2.5K |
| Vladimir Putin | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $20.83 | $1.5K | |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $214 | |
| Kevin Warsh | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | $313 |
| J.D. Vance | 2% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $2.4K |
| Elon Musk | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $442 | |
| Xi Jinping | 1% | 0¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $548 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Kaitlan Collins, J.B. Pritzker, Hakeem Jeffries
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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38.58%median
38.55%39.25%
Median 38.58%Middle half 38.61% – 38.75%
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14%Anna Kelly
- Anna Kelly14%▲ 3
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- Taylor Budowich1%
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- Ari Fleischer1%
- Benny Johnson1%
- Matt Walsh1%
- Ben Shapiro1%
- Jack Posobiec1%
- Mike Cernovich1%
- Dan Bongino1%
- Kayleigh McEnany1%
- Harrison Fields1%
- Taylor Rogers1%▼ 1
- Hogan Gidley1%
- Katie Pavlich1%▼ 1
- Lauren Bis1%
- Pat Adams1%
- Kaelan Dorr1%
- Vanessa Broussard1%
- Cara Castronuova1%
- Mark Levin1%
- Logan Paul1%
- Jake Paul1%
- Eric Daugherty1%
- Ben Ferguson1%
- Tulsi Gabbard1%
- Beni Rae Harmony1%
- Peter Doocy1%
- Sean Spicer1%
- Marco Rubio1%
- Kat Timpf1%
- Kaylee McGhee White1%
- George Santos1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.