In the News

The prediction markets whose subjects the news is naming most right now: the odds traders give them beside the headlines. Counted from the 4Search news index, headlines only.

2,072 headlines today · Trump

Politics › Trump administration

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

James Carville makes post-midterm prediction for President TrumpFox News · 2 days ago
President Trump campaigns in South Carolina as Sen Darline Graham's race narrowsFox News · 2 days ago
WATCH LIVE: President Trump delivers remarks at a midterm rally in South CarolinaFox News · 2 days ago

1,035 headlines today · Ukraine, Russia

World › Russia & Ukraine

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

18%December 31

October 313%▼ 18
November 158%▼ 16
November 3011%▼ 14

1 more

December 3118%▼ 19

Ukraine war latest: Zelensky supports resuming trilateral peace talks with US, Russia after Putin claims Kremlin readinessThe Kyiv Independent · 3 days ago
Russia Launches Deadly Missile Barrage on Ukraine Hours After Putin-US TalksNewsweek · 43 h ago
Witkoff heads to Russia for Putin talks as Zelenskyy insists 'nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine'CNBC · 3 days ago

972 headlines today · Streamer Awards, Gamer

Culture › Awards

Streamer Awards: Gamer of the Year (Gamer of the Year | 2026)

47%jynxzi

jynxzi47%▼ 1
Theburntpeanut38%
Iitztimmy4%

3 more

Supertf4%
Feinberg4%
Tie2%

The headlines are on its page ›

957 headlines today · Jimmy Kimmel, Fired

Culture › Celebrities

Jimmy Kimmel: Fired in 2026?

6%chance▲ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

922 headlines today · MrBeast, Million

Culture › Internet & creators

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by October 31?

524.70Mhigh with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 524.70M.

Reaches 523.00M>99%
Reaches 524.00M81%

Already reached: 521m, 522m

'I'm 96 and have 15 million followers': The grannies taking over TikTokBBC News · 33 h ago
Netflix faces turmoil as Greta Gerwig's $280 million 'Narnia' movie looks headed for disasterOutKick · 34 h ago
Carrier plans $600 million Fort Worth facility, creating 1,500 jobsCBS News · 31 h ago

857 headlines today · Iran, Israel

World › Middle East

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

69%October 24

October 2469%▲ 5
October 2769%▲ 1
October 3169%▼ 2

3 more

November 1569%▼ 4
November 3069%▼ 6
December 3169%▼ 3

US, Israel prepare renewed strikes on Iran: ReportFox News · 44 h ago
Democratic Surrogates Campaign, US & Israel Plan Iran Strikes, Tesla SpaceX MergerNPR · 46 h ago
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu orders IDF, Mossad to pursue overthrow of Iranian regimeNew York Post · 40 h ago

808 headlines today · Midterms, House

Politics › Congress

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

9.46%median

-100%100%

Median 9.46%Middle half 7.08% – 11.57%

CNN Poll of Polls: Generic midterm ballotCNN · 2 days ago
Top MAHA adviser Calley Means resigns from White House days ahead of midtermsSTAT · 38 h ago
‘It's the President's Fault’: The White House Blame Game Starts Early Ahead of the MidtermsWIRED · 2 days ago

808 headlines today · Target

Finance › Companies

Target Q3 comparable sales growth?

3.81%median

-1%7%

Median 3.81%Middle half 2.15% – 4.95%

Ranking Steelers Top Trade Needs And Their Best TargetsPittsburgh Steelers On SI · 45 h ago
Marcus Lemonis warns targeting Musk is a 'miscalculation' for DemsFox Business · 37 h ago
Giants Should Already Be Targeting This Monster 220-Pound RBYahoo Sports · 42 h ago

791 headlines today · India, Pakistan

World › Asia & Pacific

India strike on Pakistan by...?

10%December 31, 2026

December 31, 202610%▼ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

727 headlines today · Max Miller, House

Politics › Congress

Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms? (Before Nov 2026)

2%chance

The headlines are on its page ›

718 headlines today · Senate, Midterms

Elections › Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)

51.9median

44.552.5

Median 51.9Middle half 49.8 – 51.8

The headlines are on its page ›

661 headlines today · House, Senate

Elections › Senate

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race in 2026?

43%chance▼ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

590 headlines today · MrBeast, Billion

Culture › Internet & creators

Will MrBeast hit ___ Billion views by October 31?

98%144.5 billion

144.5 billion98%
144 billion97%
143.5 billion96%

1 more

145 billion50%▼ 11

The headlines are on its page ›

587 headlines today · House, Midterms

Elections › House

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)

35%Below 193

Below 19335%▲ 1
198-20216%▼ 1
193-19714%▼ 1

8 more

203-20710%▲ 5
208-2128%
218-2227%▲ 1
213-2174%
223-2273%▲ 1
Above 2371%
228-2321%
233-237<1%

The headlines are on its page ›

578 headlines today · Iran, Jordan

World › Middle East

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

37%October 31

October 3137%▼ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

541 headlines today · China, Taiwan

World › China & Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

The headlines are on its page ›

538 headlines today · Senate, Texas

Elections › Senate

Party to win the US Senate race in Texas in 2026

63%Democratic

Democratic63%
Republican37%

The headlines are on its page ›

537 headlines today · Lubbock, Texas

Mentions › Politicians

What will Trump say during his rally in Lubbock, Texas?

95%Save America Act

Save America Act95%▲ 2
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating90%▲ 6
ICE89%▲ 6

32 more

Sleepy Joe88%▲ 4
Barack Hussein Obama87%▲ 13
China / Chinese84%▲ 2
Supreme Court83%▲ 6
Tariff (3+ times)81%▲ 5
Nuclear (3+ times)81%▲ 1
Sanctuary75%▲ 3
Kamala74%▲ 8
Iran (5+ times)74%▲ 19
Gulf of America74%▲ 1
France73%▲ 1
Russia / Ukraine71%▼ 6
Drill Baby Drill68%▼ 4
Made in America / American Made63%▲ 23
America First60%▼ 1
Hormuz59%▲ 16
Blockade59%▲ 18
Electricity44%▲ 27
Israel / Israeli37%▼ 6
Deport / Deported / Deportation33%▼ 4
AI / Artificial Intelligence33%▼ 11
Trump Account28%▲ 6
Windmill27%▼ 4
Social Security (5+ times)26%▲ 2
Fentanyl22%▼ 1
Data Center22%▼ 9
Fraud (3+ times)19%▲ 1
Ceasefire10%▲ 7
Palestine / Palestinian8%▼ 6
Event does not qualify4%
Peace in the Middle East2%
Crypto / Bitcoin2%

The headlines are on its page ›

536 headlines today · Texas

Tech › AI

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

31%December 31, 2028

December 31, 20262%
June 30, 202712%
December 31, 202721%▲ 2

1 more

December 31, 202831%▲ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

529 headlines today · Corpus Christi, Texas

Mentions › Politicians

What will Trump say during his rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?

95%Save America Act

Save America Act95%▲ 1
Cheat / Cheater / Cheating92%▲ 4
Gulf of America87%▲ 4

32 more

Nuclear (3+ times)84%▲ 5
Barack Hussein Obama82%▲ 7
China / Chinese81%▲ 3
Supreme Court80%▲ 22
Sanctuary80%▲ 14
Tariff (3+ times)78%▼ 1
Sleepy Joe76%▲ 3
ICE76%▼ 1
Drill Baby Drill72%▲ 1
France71%▲ 27
Hormuz70%▲ 27
Russia / Ukraine68%▲ 5
Iran (5+ times)68%▼ 3
Made in America / American Made66%▲ 26
Kamala66%▲ 12
America First62%▲ 9
Blockade53%▲ 19
Data Center37%▲ 6
Israel / Israeli33%▼ 10
AI / Artificial Intelligence31%▼ 10
Trump Account30%▲ 10
Electricity27%▼ 17
Deport / Deported / Deportation22%▲ 2
Fraud (3+ times)18%▲ 3
Social Security (5+ times)14%▲ 2
Fentanyl14%▲ 1
Windmill13%▼ 12
Ceasefire7%▲ 1
Palestine / Palestinian6%▼ 2
Event does not qualify3%
Peace in the Middle East2%▼ 2
Crypto / Bitcoin2%

The headlines are on its page ›

518 headlines today · Ohio, Senate

Politics › Congress

Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15? (Before Dec 16, 2026)

63%chance▼ 6

The headlines are on its page ›

467 headlines today · Iran, Saudi Arabia

World › Middle East

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

26%November 30

October 3116%▲ 8
November 3026%▲ 8

The headlines are on its page ›

467 headlines today · Costco, Raises

Economy › Inflation

Costco raises hot dog combo price?

35%Before 2030

Before 203035%▲ 8
Before 202812%▲ 1
Before 202910%▼ 2

1 more

Before 20273%

The headlines are on its page ›

461 headlines today · Israel, Gaza

World › Middle East

Netanyahu out by...?

42%December 31

December 3142%▲ 1

The headlines are on its page ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.