Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Oct 31 · $3.8K today · $83.5K traded · $12.3K at stake · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

94%Flávio Bolsonaro
  • Flávio Bolsonaro94%▲ 1
  • Dario Amodei68%▲ 43
  • Delcy Rodriguez59%▼ 8
  • Mark Rutte52%▲ 41
  • Kim Jong Un36%▲ 3
  • Zohran Mamdani30%▼ 5
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy28%▲ 5
  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva28%▼ 2
  • Warren Buffett26%▲ 9
  • Gianni Infantino24%▼ 7
  • Bryson DeChambeau24%▼ 3
  • Javier Milei21%▼ 1
2 more
  • Nicki Minaj17%▲ 3
  • Jon Rahm10%▲ 4

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ Benjamin Netanyahu >99% ▲ 52 99¢ 100¢ $5.8K
✓ Emmanuel Macron >99% ▲ 63 89¢ 99¢ $3.2K
✓ Elon Musk >99% ▲ 22 90¢ 100¢ $3.2K
✓ Dana White >99% 99¢ 100¢ $862
✓ Xi Jinping >99% 97¢ 100¢ $574
✓ Kevin Warsh >99% ▲ 14 100¢ 100¢ $5.7K
✓ Claudia Sheinbaum >99% ▲ 27 100¢ 100¢ $1.1K
✓ Byron Donalds >99% ▲ 3 100¢ 100¢ $854
✓ Andy Burnham >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $2K
✓ Karoline Leavitt >99% ▲ 34 95¢ 100¢ $6.3K
✓ JD Vance >99% 95¢ 100¢ $621
Flávio Bolsonaro 94% ▲ 1 93¢ 95¢ $1.05 $3.9K
Dario Amodei 68% ▲ 43 46¢ 89¢ $1.12 $7.2K
Delcy Rodriguez 59% ▼ 8 56¢ 61¢ $1.64 $2.4K
Mark Rutte 52% ▲ 41 45¢ 59¢ $1.69 $4.8K
Kim Jong Un 36% ▲ 3 27¢ 44¢ $2.27 $1.7K
Zohran Mamdani 30% ▼ 5 13¢ 47¢ $2.13 $4.9K
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 28% ▲ 5 9¢ 48¢ $2.08 $3.3K
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 28% ▼ 2 25¢ 31¢ $3.23 $1.6K
Warren Buffett 26% ▲ 9 21¢ 30¢ $3.33 $5.9K
Gianni Infantino 24% ▼ 7 21¢ 27¢ $3.70 $7.1K
Bryson DeChambeau 24% ▼ 3 23¢ 24¢ $4.17 $3.2K
Javier Milei 21% ▼ 1 18¢ 23¢ $4.35 $5K
Nicki Minaj 17% ▲ 3 9¢ 25¢ $4.00 $2K
Jon Rahm 10% ▲ 4 5¢ 15¢ $6.67 $146

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Flávio Bolsonaro, Dario Amodei, Delcy Rodriguez

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All trump administration ›
Politics › Trump administration

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

84%SI / Super Intelligence
  • SI / Super Intelligence84%▲ 18
  • Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times82%▼ 5
  • Russia / Ukraine78%▲ 7
19 more
  • Drag Show77%▲ 14
  • Ass71%▲ 6
  • Transgender 5+ times65%▼ 13
  • America First / Gulf of America65%▼ 4
  • Animal63%▲ 2
  • Hormuz / Blockade61%▼ 1
  • Fertilizer / Rural54%▲ 8
  • Hell 15+ times53%▼ 1
  • Data Center / Electric / Electricity47%▲ 7
  • AI / Artificial Intelligence39%▼ 5
  • Bull / Bullshit38%▼ 4
  • Star38%▼ 4
  • Fentanyl / Deport / Deported38%▲ 6
  • Tax 33+ times31%▼ 16
  • Regulation / Regulatory28%
  • Gay / Palestine26%▲ 5
  • Maduro19%▼ 10
  • Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency2%▲ 1
  • -No Qualifying Event-1%▼ 3
Politics › Trump administration

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

85%Vladimir Putin
  • Vladimir Putin85%▲ 2
  • Mohammed bin Salman77%▼ 3
  • Kim Jong Un13%▼ 18
11 more
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko11%
  • King Mohammed VI11%▼ 2
  • Changpeng Zhao11%
  • Pope Leo XIV5%▲ 1
  • MrBeast5%
  • iShowSpeed4%
  • Lai Ching-te4%
  • Nick Fuentes3%
  • Yoon Suk Yeol3%
  • Nicolás Maduro2%
  • Jair Bolsonaro2%▼ 1
Politics › Trump administration

Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

14%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly14%▲ 3
  • Scott Jennings14%▼ 1
  • Elizabeth Pipko6%▲ 1
57 more
  • Alina Habba3%
  • Steven Cheung3%▲ 2
  • Danielle Alvarez3%
  • Margo Martin3%
  • Kari Lake2%
  • No new person2%▲ 1
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy2%
  • Roma Daravi2%
  • Laura Loomer2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Maria Bartiromo2%▼ 1
  • Erin Elmore Scavino2%
  • Karoline Leavitt2%
  • Katie Miller1%▼ 4
  • Jason Miller1%
  • Sage Steele1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Natalie Harp1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Jayme Franklin1%
  • Erika Kirk1%
  • Matthew Boyle1%
  • Taylor Budowich1%
  • Monica Crowley1%
  • Kush Desai1%
  • Ari Fleischer1%
  • Benny Johnson1%
  • Matt Walsh1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Jack Posobiec1%
  • Mike Cernovich1%
  • Dan Bongino1%
  • Kayleigh McEnany1%
  • Harrison Fields1%
  • Taylor Rogers1%▼ 1
  • Hogan Gidley1%
  • Katie Pavlich1%▼ 1
  • Lauren Bis1%
  • Pat Adams1%
  • Kaelan Dorr1%
  • Vanessa Broussard1%
  • Cara Castronuova1%
  • Mark Levin1%
  • Logan Paul1%
  • Jake Paul1%
  • Eric Daugherty1%
  • Ben Ferguson1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Beni Rae Harmony1%
  • Peter Doocy1%
  • Sean Spicer1%
  • Marco Rubio1%
  • Kat Timpf1%
  • Kaylee McGhee White1%
  • George Santos1%
KalshiCloses Jan 27, 2029 · $17.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 7 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.