Movers

The prediction markets whose odds swung most in the last 24 hours, in percentage points, with the money that moved them. Markets that close within a day (whose odds drift to 0 or 100 as their moment passes) and thin ones are left out.

Rising

# Market Leading Day Today Decided
1 Paris curfew announced by...?Europe · Polymarket October 19 >99% October 19 ▲ 99 $368K Closes Oct 31
2 Which countries will qualify for LA28 men's lacrosse? (2028)More sports · Kalshi Brazil 99% Australia ▲ 98 $2.5K Closes Aug 1, 2028
3 Highest temperature in Denver on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 74-75°F >99% 74-75°F ▲ 97 $45.4K Result pending
4 Highest temperature in Paris on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 13°C >99% 13°C ▲ 95 $88.8K Result pending
5 Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on October 19?Stocks · Polymarket Median $365 $360 ▲ 93 $11.4K For today 4:00 PM ET
6 Highest temperature in Moscow on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 12°C >99% 12°C ▲ 92 $24.9K Result pending
7 Amazon (AMZN) closes above ___ on October 19?Stocks · Polymarket Median $262.50 $260 ▲ 91 $20K For today 4:00 PM ET
8 How high will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi Above $1,760.00 48% Above $1,690.00 ▲ 88 $34.6K Closes Oct 31
9 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 19?Indexes · Polymarket Median $767.50 $765 ▲ 87 $19K For today 4:00 PM ET
10 SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FCSoccer · Polymarket Gil Vicente FC >99% Gil Vicente FC ▲ 86 $671K Starts today 3:15 PM ET
11 What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas?Politicians · Kalshi Transgender 100% NATO ▲ 86 $373K Closes Nov 2
12 AS Giana Erminio vs. Union BresciaSoccer · Polymarket AS Giana Erminio >99% AS Giana Erminio ▲ 83 $3.9K In play
13 Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 19°C 100% 19°C ▲ 83 $30.1K Result pending
14 How low will ZEC get in October?Other coins · Kalshi Below $380.00 49% Below $460.00 ▲ 83 $26.6K Closes Oct 31
15 Highest temperature in Austin on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 80-81°F >99% 80-81°F ▲ 81 $26.1K Result pending
16 Highest temperature in Seattle on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 62-63°F >99% 62-63°F ▲ 80 $11.3K Result pending
17 Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Faisaly Saudi ClubSoccer · Polymarket Draw >99% Draw ▲ 79 $71.5K In play
18 Highest temperature in Milan on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 20°C >99% 20°C ▲ 78 $20.1K Result pending
19 Highest temperature in Toronto on October 19?Daily weather · Polymarket 21°C >99% 21°C ▲ 77 $27.3K Result pending
20 El Masry SC vs. Abo Qir Semad SCSoccer · Polymarket Draw >99% Draw ▲ 76 $68K In play
21 Beitar Jerusalem FC vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv FCSoccer · Polymarket Draw >99% Draw ▲ 75 $28K In play
22 30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?Rates & bonds · Kalshi 7.75% or above 52% 3.25% or above ▲ 75 $5.4K Closes Dec 31, 2027
23 Varbergs BoIS vs. Helsingborgs IFSoccer · Polymarket Draw >99% Draw ▲ 75 $10.6K In play
24 Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico CapibaribeSoccer · Polymarket Draw >99% Draw ▲ 74 $164K Starts today 6:30 PM ET
25 Internacional FC De Palmira vs. Union MagdalenaSoccer · Polymarket Union Magdalena >99% Union Magdalena ▲ 74 $11K In play

Falling

# Market Leading Day Today Decided
1 College Football: Top 25 Ranked Teams on Oct 25 AP Poll (Top 25 - Oct 25, 2026)College football · Kalshi Florida 100% Nebraska ▼ 95 $4.5K Closes Nov 17
2 What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo?Politicians · Kalshi Event does not qualify 95% Elon / Musk ▼ 88 $18.3K Closes Nov 2
3 Washington vs San Francisco: Receptions (WAS vs SF (Oct 19))NFL · Kalshi Median 2.50 Terry McLaurin: 2+ ▼ 87 $567K Closes Wed 8:15 PM ET
4 Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?Russia & Ukraine · Polymarket October 20 73% October 19 ▼ 86 $3.9K Closes Oct 31
5 SMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?Commodities · Kalshi Median $56,275 Above $70,000/tonne ▼ 81 $3.4K Closes Oct 29
6 Regatas vs. OlimpicoNBA · Polymarket Olimpico >99% Regatas ▼ 79 $12.2K In play
7 New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026Commodities · Kalshi Median 4.35 Above 4.7000 ▼ 76 $34K Closes Dec 30
8 Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026Inflation · Polymarket Median 2.13% ≤1.9% ▼ 70 $14.2K Closes Mar 31, 2027
9 Bank of Canada Decision in October?Central banks · Polymarket 25 bps increase 78% No Change ▼ 62 $115K Closes Oct 27
10 Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise KouameTennis · Polymarket Moise Kouame >99% Lorenzo Sonego ▼ 59 $655K Starts today 1:00 PM ET
11 Pro Football: Team Wins in First 8 Weeks (Week 8 2026-27)NFL · Kalshi Chicago: 5+ wins in first 8 weeks 98% San Francisco: 6+… ▼ 59 $4.3K Closes Nov 10
12 Energa Czarni Slupsk vs. Stal Ostrow WielkopolskiMore sports · Polymarket Stal Ostrow Wielkopolski >99% Energa Czarni Slupsk ▼ 57 $6.2K In play
13 Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?Other coins · Polymarket $25M 42% $50M ▼ 56 $106K Closes Jan 1, 2028
14 Where will it rain on October 18?Daily weather · Polymarket Miami, FL >99% New York, NY ▼ 50 $3K Result pending
15 Cali: Daniel Galan vs Juan Pablo VarillasTennis · Polymarket Juan Pablo Varillas >99% Daniel Galan ▼ 49 $70.5K In play
16 Pro Football: Team Wins in First 12 Weeks (Week 12 2026-27)NFL · Kalshi Philadelphia: 3+ wins in first 12… 99% Philadelphia: 7+ wins… ▼ 49 $3.3K Closes Dec 8
17 Clayface · Rotten Tomatoes scoreMovies & box office · Kalshi Median 65.2 Above 70 ▼ 48 $25.1K Closes Oct 26
18 Fort Worth: Max Hans Rehberg vs Mees RottgeringTennis · Polymarket Mees Rottgering >99% Max Hans Rehberg ▼ 45 $28.4K In play
19 Anaheim vs New York R (ANA vs NYR (Oct 19))NHL · Kalshi New York R 100% Anaheim ▼ 44 $254K Closes Wed 7:00 PM ET
20 Afghanistan U19 vs Bangladesh U19 Youth ODIs in Oman: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Bangladesh Under-19sCricket · Polymarket Bangladesh Under-19s 99% Afghanistan Under-19s ▼ 44 $4.7K In play
21 Oscars 2027: Best Sound NominationsAwards · Polymarket Dune: Part Three 91% Michael ▼ 43 $3.4K Closes Mar 14, 2027
22 What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?Stocks · Polymarket ↑ $184 46% ↑ $196 ▼ 43 $3.4K Closes Oct 31
23 Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design NominationsAwards · Polymarket The Black Ball 80% I Love Boosters ▼ 43 $2.6K Closes Mar 14, 2027
24 Most Kills at Worlds 2026Esports · Polymarket Peyz 23% Hizto ▼ 42 $2.4K Closes Dec 14
25 What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit Week of October 19 2026?Stocks · Polymarket ↓ $160 49% ↑ $177.50 ▼ 40 $7.5K Closes Fri 4:00 PM ET

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.