Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes today 12:00 PM ET · $10.6K today · $47.8K traded · $4.6K at stake · prices read 34 h ago

The odds

209.5median
1219
Median 209.5Middle half 204.7 – 214.2

How the odds have moved

Median: 161.0 on Oct 20, 209.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
<20 <1% 0¢ $466
20-39 <1% 0¢ $458
40-59 <1% 0¢ $534
60-79 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1K
80-99 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1.3K
100-119 <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $3.5K
120-139 <1% ▼ 11 0¢ $3.7K
140-159 <1% ▼ 14 0¢ $4.4K
160-179 <1% 0¢ $6.3K
180-199 <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $12.7K
200+ 100% 100¢ 100¢ $13.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Truth Social

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Who will be arrested before 2027?

25%John Brennan
  • John Brennan25%▲ 3
  • Mahmoud Khalil23%▲ 2
  • James Comey22%▲ 16
21 more
  • Lee Jun-seok15%▲ 4
  • Susan Rice9%▲ 3
  • Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan8%
  • James Clapper6%▲ 1
  • Candace Owens6%
  • Lisa Cook6%▲ 1
  • Letitia James5%▲ 1
  • Pam Bondi5%
  • Hillary Clinton5%▲ 3
  • Adam Schiff5%▲ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu5%▲ 1
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%▲ 1
  • Kash Patel2%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions