Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Polymarket Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $53K today · $24.6M traded · $4.9M at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

4%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 4% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Yes 4% 4¢ 4¢ $26.32 $24.6M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Clarity Act

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Next Press Secretary?

19%Anna Kelly
  • Anna Kelly19%▼ 7
  • Scott Jennings10%▲ 2
  • Maria Bartiromo5%
28 more
  • Elizabeth Pipko5%
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  • Margo Martin4%▲ 1
  • Natalie Harp4%
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  • Hogan Gidley3%▲ 1
  • Harrison Fields3%▼ 1
  • Katie Pavlich2%
  • Taylor Rogers2%
  • Kari Lake2%
  • Tricia McLaughlin2%
  • Katie Miller2%
  • Laura Loomer2%
  • Kayleigh McEnany2%▼ 1
  • Liz Huston1%
  • Alina Habba1%
  • Monica Crowley1%
  • Rachel Campos-Duffy1%
  • Lauren Bis1%▼ 1
  • Steven Cheung1%▼ 1
  • Spencer Pratt<1%
  • Matthew Boyle<1%
  • Kush Desai<1%
  • Kaelan Dorr<1%
  • Pat Adams<1%
  • Ari Fleischer<1%
  • Jake Paul<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions