Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
186.2median
140230
Median 186.2Middle half 175.9 – 198.3
Install
Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
The odds
17%Before January 21, 2029
- Before January 21, 202917%▼ 2
- Before 20273%
How the odds have moved
Before January 21, 2029: 21% on Oct 20, 17% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 21, 2029 | 17% | ▼ 2 | 16¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | 2.9M |
| Before 2027 | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | 562.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Greenland
Search ›-
Russia’s Arctic drone blitz demands Trump's response in GreenlandWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Will Greenland Be Trump’s Alaska?Not sure what fits? A licensed AMAC advisor will walk you through it, at no cost. Critics mocked the purchase of Alaska - but the Last Frontier would ultimately become vital to American prosperity and national defense. Could Trump's… -
Opinion | Why Trump is so interested in GreenlandIn the aftermath of his imperialist usurpation of Venezuela’s oil, he set his sights on Iran. As that war imploded, he resorted to a huge oil deal with President Vladimir Putin of Russia aimed at ... Trump’s misguided obsession with… -
Trump's Disrupt First, Negotiate Second: Greenland in FocusRealClearDefense Trump's Disrupt First, Negotiate Second: Greenland in Focus The Greenland security pact he signed on September 22 is the clearest recent example. Greenland: The Lever in Real Time At the United Nations General Assembly… -
REG - BlackRock Group Greenland Energy Co. - Form 8.3 - Greenland Energy CompanyTradingView REG - BlackRock Group Greenland Energy Co. - Form 8.3 - Greenland Energy Company PUBLIC OPENING POSITION DISCLOSURE/DEALING DISCLOSURE BY A PERSON WITH INTERESTS IN RELEVANT SECURITIES REPRESENTING 1% OR MORE Rule 8.3 of the… -
Where’s Greenland? The Case for Bringing Back the GlobeIt just seems that when you’ve got a globe—the whole world literally in your hands—you really begin to understand that all of this existence stuff didn’t just happen randomly. Remarkably, his original globe has remained at his Virginia… -
Trump says oil, gas, and mineral exploration in Greenland is set to begin. It’s not that simple. - The Boston GlobePresident Donald Trump said that “massive” oil, gas and mineral exploration is set to begin in “our new and beautiful Greenland,” though it wasn’t clear what developments he was referring to on an island where resource extraction has… -
‘A decision to decide’: Greenland moves to suspend seabed mining until 2029Greenland’s parliament has asked the government to pause licensing on seabed mining amid concerns about foreign interests in mining and potential environmental consequences for marine life. The Oct. 15 measure directed the government… - Greenland Energy Company (GLND) Director Roderick McIllree ResignsTradingView Greenland Energy Company (GLND) Director Roderick McIllree Resigns Greenland Energy Company announced the resignation of Roderick McIllree from its Board, and from all other roles with the company. The company said the…
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Donald Trump thanked Nato for ‘giving us Greenland’ and this proud Greenlander surely spoke for the entire internetUS donald trump greenland John Plunkett. Updated October 21st, 2026 Hard to believe we know but Donald Trump is still wanging on about Greenland. You will remember that the American president spent months basically threatening to annex the… -
Greenland Parliament Passes Resolution to Ban Seabed Mineral Extraction Amid U.S. Exploration PlansHome » Trending » Greenland Parliament Passes Resolution to Ban Seabed Mineral Extraction Amid U.S. Exploration Plans The Greenland Parliament has taken a significant step by unanimously passing a resolution to ban seabed mineral… - Greenland Hong Kong Says Wang Weixian Resigns As Executive DirectorTradingView Greenland Hong Kong Says Wang Weixian Resigns As Executive Director
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Feb 9, 2028even chance by
- Before Nov 1, 20262%
- Before Dec 1, 20265%
- Before Jan 1, 20278%▼ 1
14 more
- Before Feb 1, 20279%
- Before Mar 1, 202715%▼ 1
- Before Apr 1, 202718%
- Before May 1, 202720%▼ 3
- Before Jun 1, 202725%
- Before Jul 1, 202731%▼ 1
- Before Aug 1, 202733%
- Before Sep 1, 202735%▲ 1
- Before Oct 1, 202737%
- Before Nov 1, 202741%
- Before Dec 1, 202741%
- Before Jan 1, 202849%
- Before Jul 1, 202856%▼ 2
- Before Jan 1, 202960%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.