Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)
185.8median
140230
Median 185.8Middle half 176.0 – 197.1
Install
What countries will Marco Rubio visit in 2026?
The odds
23%Switzerland
- Switzerland23%
- Qatar19%
- Cuba18%▼ 1
- Mexico12%
- Ukraine12%
- Poland8%
- Venezuela7%▼ 1
- Oman5%
- Russia4%
How the odds have moved
Switzerland: 28% on Oct 20, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Uzbekistan | 99% | ▲ 4 | $1.01 | 572 | ||
| ✓ India | 96% | ▼ 1 | $1.04 | 486 | ||
| Switzerland | 23% | 23¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 1.8K | |
| Qatar | 19% | 19¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 9.8K | |
| Cuba | 18% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | 47.3K |
| Mexico | 12% | 12¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 2.3K | |
| Ukraine | 12% | 12¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 5.7K | |
| Poland | 8% | 8¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 1.4K | |
| Venezuela | 7% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 7.9K |
| Oman | 5% | 4¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 2.2K | |
| Russia | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | 10.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Marco Rubio
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Marco Rubio Feels “Fine” About NFL Player & Fan Safety in France Despite Rioting and Looting | Don't @ Me w/ Dan DakichRubio to Armando: “Our embassy feels the game will be fine. We have no indication the game will be impacted in any way.” ... Marco Rubio Feels “Fine” About NFL Player & Fan Safety in France Despite Rioting and Looting | Don't @ Me w/ Dan… -
EXCLUSIVE: Secretary of State Marco Rubio gives NFL commissioner assurances that game in France 'will be fine'The NFL will play its first game in Paris this Sunday as the city faces civil unrest. The Steelers and Saints are still set to travel, prompting Craig Carton to wonder whether Roger Goodell will show up in the City of Love. NFL… -
JD Vance and Marco Rubio Are Both Losing Ground in 2028 RaceOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio have both lost ground in leading the 2028 Republican presidential nomination prediction markets, according to a Newsweek analysis of Polymarket and… -
Why Marco Rubio took a bypass to AmbaniUS secretary of state Marco Rubio was in India 20–22 October. Not in Delhi, though. Evidently, meeting his counterpart, Indian external affairs minister S. Jaishankar, or anyone in the Indian government was not his priority. His principal… -
Zelenskyy on meeting with Marco Rubio about war in UkraineNBC News Zelenskyy on meeting with Marco Rubio about war in Ukraine -
'Not an accident': Marco Rubio sends shockwaves with ominous 'coup' commentSecretary of State Marco Rubio publicly invited Cubans to work with the CIA on Friday, and the reaction across the political spectrum was immediate. “To those who seek to create positive change in Cuba - now is the time,” Rubio wrote on X… -
Marco Rubio calls on those seeking change in Cuba to partner with CIABy Bo Erickson and Kanishka Singh FORT MYERS, Florida, Oct 23 (Reuters) – US Secretary of State Marco Rubio called on those seeking change in Cuba to partner with the CIA as President Donald Trump said Washington would “take care of… -
Falling short on Marco Rubio’s second visit to India | The Hindu EditorialIn this editorial, The Hindu examines U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s three-day visit to India and what it means for India-U.S. relations. Despite expectations of progress on trade, tariffs, energy cooperation and diplomatic ties… -
Marco Rubio urges Cubans to work with CIA, but warns: be discreetPublished - October 24, 2026 08:56 pm IST - Washington, United States U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on Friday (October 23, 2026) called for Cubans to make “discreet” contact with the American intelligence services as Washington seeks… -
Bombshell report guts Marco Rubio’s claim White House ‘cannot direct’ Musk on StarlinkUS Secretary of State Marco Rubio speaks with members of the media at the Taj Mahal Palace hotel in Mumbai, India, October 21, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper/Pool The Trump administration's insistence that it has no say over Elon Musk's… -
Marco Rubio Publicly Offers CIA Partnership To Cuban Citizens Frustrated By “Failed Promises”By Timothy Mason | Oct 24, 2026 | Featured, News & Analysis, Politics Secretary of State Marco Rubio made a highly unusual public appeal to Cuban citizens on Friday, inviting them to partner with the CIA through a post on the social… -
Secretary of State Marco Rubio Calls For Cubans To Create A “Discreet” Partnership With The CIASecretary of State Marco Rubio made a rather interesting statement regarding Cuba on Friday evening. He then called for Cubans who want to make a change to their country to begin a “discreet partnership” with the CIA. — Secretary Marco…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.