Predictions › Elections Senate odds Every Senate market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
4,023 open markets · $9.7M traded today
James Talarico 63% ▲ 1 Ken Paxton 38% ▼ 1
Democrats sweep 63% ▲ 1 D-House, R-Senate 27% ▼ 1 Republicans sweep 10% ▼ 1 R-House, D-Senate 1%
Democratic Party 64% ▲ 1 Republican Party 37% ▼ 2
Abdul El-Sayed 68% ▼ 1 Mike Rogers 32% ▼ 1
Troy Jackson 63% ▲ 3 Susan Collins 37% ▼ 3
Sherrod Brown 64% ▼ 1 Jon Husted 36% ▲ 1
Roger Marshall 62% ▼ 3 Adam Hamilton 39% ▲ 2
James Talarico (D) 63% Ken Paxton (R) 38% ▼ 1
Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 60% ▲ 1 Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 32% Oil < $85; D Senate 4% ▼ 3 Oil < $85; R Senate 2% ▼ 2
44.5 52.5
Median 51.6 Middle half 49.5 – 51.8
Abdul El-Sayed 68% ▼ 1 Mike Rogers 32%
Ashley Hinson 57% Josh Turek 43%
Troy Jackson (D) 64% ▲ 2 Susan Collins (R) 37% ▼ 2
Sherrod Brown (D) 64% ▼ 2 Jon Husted (R) 36% ▲ 2
Darline Graham 84% ▲ 1 Annie Andrews 17% ▼ 1
Roy Cooper 96% Michael Whatley 4%
Mary Peltola 74% Sen. Dan Sullivan 26% Ann Diener <1% Dustin Darden <1% 3 more Richard Grayson <1% Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1% David Leslie <1%
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 62% ▼ 1 Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 33% ▲ 2 Oil < $80; D Senate 3% Oil < $80; R Senate 2% ▼ 1
Pete Ricketts 72% Dan Osborn 27% ▲ 1 Cindy Burbank <1%
Peggy Flanagan 87% ▲ 2 Michele Tafoya 13% ▼ 1
Troy Jackson 61% ▲ 2 Susan Collins 38% ▼ 2 Graham Platner <1% Janet Mills <1% 11 more Nirav Shah <1% Patrick Dempsey <1% Valli Geiger <1% Brian Bryant <1% Shenna Bellows <1% Dan Kleban <1% Mattie Daughtrey <1% Sara Gideon <1% Stephen King <1% Angus King III <1% Jared Golden <1%
Jon Ossoff 95% Mike Collins 5%
44.5 57.5
Median 48.3 Middle half 46.5 – 50.7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .