New Hampshire Senate margin of victory (November 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $1.9K today · $38.5K traded · $24.8K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

7.47median
020
Median 7.47Middle half 4.47 – 10.5

How the odds have moved

Median: 7.61 on Oct 20, 7.47 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Pappas, 2+ pts 88% ▼ 1 87¢ 88¢ $1.14 6.6K
Pappas, 4+ pts 79% ▼ 2 78¢ 80¢ $1.25 12.0K
Pappas, 6+ pts 62% ▲ 1 60¢ 64¢ $1.56 18.6K
Pappas, 7+ pts 54% ▲ 2 53¢ 54¢ $1.85 1.5K
Pappas, 8+ pts 46% ▲ 3 45¢ 47¢ $2.13 13.4K
Pappas, 10+ pts 28% ▼ 1 27¢ 29¢ $3.45 15.0K
Pappas, 12+ pts 16% ▼ 2 13¢ 18¢ $5.56 3.8K
Pappas, 14+ pts 8% ▼ 1 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 60.00
Pappas, 16+ pts 5% ▼ 1 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 123
Pappas, 18+ pts 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 166

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New Hampshire Senate

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  • The Sununu Dynasty Faces Biggest Test in New Hampshire Senate RaceNewsweek · 5 days agoOct 21, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Oct 21, 2026 at 07:04 AM EDT New Hampshire’s Senate race will test the power of the Sununu name as former Senator John Sununu hopes to boost Republicans in midterm elections that will likely prove complicated…
  • Pappas Eyes History In Tight New Hampshire Senate Fightenmnews.com · 4 days agoChris Pappas is on track to put New Hampshire at the center of a possible Senate milestone. If elected, the Democratic nominee would become the first openly gay man to serve in the chamber. For Pappas, though, that distinction is not the…
  • Recommended StoriesWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
  • Kelly Ayotte endorsed in GOP gubernatorial primary by union for N.H. state employeesBostonGlobe.com · 36 h agoCONCORD, N.H. — The State Employees’ Association, a labor union that represents more than 10,000 workers across New Hampshire, endorsed former US senator Kelly Ayotte on Wednesday in the state’s GOP primary for governor. The group’s…
  • Cinde Warmington releases second TV ad in N.H. governor’s raceBostonGlobe.com · 36 h agoDemocratic gubernatorial candidate Cinde Warmington is doubling down on television advertising to make her pitch to Granite Staters. Her campaign released its second TV ad on Monday. It alludes to the challenges she encountered growing up…
  • Union endorses Democrat Cinde Warmington, also eyes GOP race for N.H. governorBostonGlobe.com · 36 h agoA labor union that represents more than 10,000 workers across New Hampshire pledged its support Thursday for Cinde Warmington in the Democratic gubernatorial primary, showing that her top rival doesn’t have a monopoly on organized labor…
  • Joyce Craig wins organized labor endorsements in race for N.H. governorBostonGlobe.com · 36 h agoWith two contested primaries in full swing, one gubernatorial candidate won the support Tuesday of the New Hampshire AFL-CIO, solidifying her status as organized labor’s favorite in the race. Democratic candidate Joyce Craig, the former…
  • Opinion | Could Democrats really lose the New Hampshire Senate race?BostonGlobe.com · 7 days agoSo what’s going on in New Hampshire? How is it that a state that rejected Trump three times could now elect a Republican to the Senate at a time when voter sentiment across the country heavily favors Democrats? The best example is Zohran…
  • ANCA Post-Election Townhall to Map Out Armenian American Agenda for the New Congress@anca_dc · 3 days agoWASHINGTON, DC – Fresh off the November 3rd midterm elections, the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) will host a nationwide online townhall meeting bringing together Armenian Americans to review our impact at the ballot box and…
  • Supreme Court blocks student IDs for voting in NH, aiding GOP in 2026 Senate raceCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
  • Trump And Whatley Unload On CooperThe Rhino Times of Greensboro · 4 days agoPosted by Scott D. Yost | Oct 21, 2026 | Featured Article President Donald Trump and Republican US Senate candidate Michael Whatley delivered a barrage of accusations against former North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper on Tuesday night, Oct. 20…
  • 📊 The 1 Chart That Reveals How Republican Candidates *Really* Feel About TrumpSo What · 5 days agoWith two weeks left before the 2026 midterms, it’s worth keeping one thing top of mind at all times: Watch what politicians DO, not what they say. That maxim was running through my head when I saw this amazing chart from Ad Impact (click…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions