Predictions › Elections State & local odds Every State & local market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
4,019 open markets · $11M traded today Trending state & local markets
Nithya Raman 51% Karen Bass 49%
Olivia Chow 64% ▼ 11 Brad Bradford 36% ▲ 12 Ana Bailão <1% Michael Ford <1% 4 more Anthony Furey <1% Marco Mendicino <1% John Tory <1% Kevin Clarke <1%
Letitia James 91% ▲ 1 Saritha Komatireddy 9% ▼ 1
Letitia James (D) 91% ▲ 2 Saritha Komatireddy (R) 9% ▼ 2
David Morales 96% ▼ 2 Brett Smiley 1% David Talan 1% Michael English 1% 1 more
Haniff Hoosen 32% ▼ 17 Apostle Mxolisi Phakathi 15% ▼ 11 Mkhuleko Hlengwa 10% ▼ 1 Zandile Hlophe-Mkhwanazi 5% 9 more Thabani Nyawose 5% ▲ 1 Philani Mavundla 4% ▼ 1 Cyril Xaba 4% Zandile Gumede 1% Maggie Govender <1% Hlengiwe Mkhaliphi <1% Zwakele Mncwango <1% Nomusa Dube-Ncube <1% Mina Soma-Lesoma <1%
Lieutenant Governor 96% Attorney General 96% ▲ 1 Secretary of State 96% Commissioner of Insurance 96% ▲ 3 5 more Governor 95% Commissioner of Agriculture 94% Senate 93% Commissioner of Labor 92% State Superintendent of Schools 92%
Helen Zille 53% David Makhura 24% Frank Chikane 7% Lukhona Mnguni 6% 4 more Kenny Kunene 4% Loyiso Masuku 4% Herman Mashaba 4% ▼ 1 Dada Morero 1%
Mark Sutcliffe 88% ▼ 4 Jeff Leiper 5% ▲ 1 Alex Lawson 2% Neil Saravanamuttoo 1% 1 more
Bo French 55% ▼ 7 Jon Rosenthal 45% ▲ 5
Citizens Only Voting Amendment 97% Right to Keep and Bear Arms Amendment 95% ▼ 2 Water Infrastructure Bond Question 88% ▼ 2 Economic Development Districts Amendment 57% ▼ 21
Proposition 316 85% Proposition 141 84% ▼ 2 Proposition 319 81% ▼ 1 Proposition 317 75% ▼ 1 4 more Proposition 142 64% ▼ 1 Proposition 144 61% ▼ 3 Proposition 318 61% Proposition 320 52%
Shannon Weber 40% ▼ 7 Dorothy McCabe 37% ▼ 1 Jeyas Balaskanthan 1% Jerry Jiang 1% 1 more
Martin Ritsma 56% Jo-Dee Burbach 27% Robert Ritz 16% ▲ 1 Mark Hunter 1% 1 more
Amendment 3 95% ▼ 2 Amendment 4 78% ▲ 1 Amendment 1 76% ▲ 1 Amendment 2 66% ▼ 1
Keith Ellison 81% ▲ 1 Ronald J. Schutz 20%
Proposition 136 78% ▼ 1 Proposition 132 75% ▲ 1 Amendment 85 73% ▲ 1 Proposition 133 70% ▲ 1 10 more Amendment 84 68% Proposition 137 64% ▼ 1 Amendment 83 63% ▼ 1 Proposition 135 62% ▼ 1 Proposition 134 61% Amendment 86 59% Proposition NN 53% ▼ 2 Amendment 82 44% ▼ 1 Amendment 81 40% ▼ 2 Amendment 87 30% ▲ 12
Proposition 3 93% ▲ 3 Proposition 2 90% ▲ 4 Proposition 37 81% ▲ 1 Proposition 1 77% ▲ 4 9 more Proposition 42 76% ▼ 1 Proposition 38 56% ▲ 2 Proposition 41 51% Proposition 45 51% ▲ 2 Proposition 4 32% ▼ 9 Proposition 5 26% ▼ 8 Proposition 43 26% ▼ 6 Proposition 39 18% ▼ 2 Proposition 44 13% ▲ 2
Lance Russell 98% Democratic party 2%
Bryan Paterson 94% Conny Glenn 4% Grant William Bedard 1% Stephen Cuthbertson 1% 1 more
Khathutshelo Rasilingwane 24% ▲ 3 Jongizizwe Dlabathi 14% ▼ 2 Nthabiseng Tshivenga 13% ▼ 1 Xolani Khumalo 12% ▼ 17 5 more Nomadlozi Nkosi 6% ▼ 3 Ntombi Mekgwe 4% Nkosindiphile Xhakaza 3% ▼ 1 Thulani Shongwe 1% ▼ 1 Pelisa Nkunjana 1%
Raúl Labrador 97% Lori Hickman 3% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .