Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)
26.85%median
14%34%
Median 26.85%Middle half 23.46% – 29.15%
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Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
The odds
49.38%median
40%58%
Median 49.38%Middle half 47.14% – 52.4%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 42% | 98% | 96¢ | $1.02 | 594 | ||
| At least 44% | 95% | ▼ 2 | 92¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 842 |
| At least 46% | 86% | ▼ 5 | 84¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 1.4K |
| At least 48% | 67% | ▼ 10 | 66¢ | 68¢ | $1.47 | 870 |
| At least 49% | 55% | ▼ 6 | 53¢ | 64¢ | $1.56 | 320 |
| At least 50% | 42% | ▼ 1 | 39¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 1.0K |
| At least 52% | 28% | ▲ 7 | 17¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | 587 |
| At least 54% | 13% | ▲ 7 | 8¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 938 |
| At least 56% | 9% | ▲ 7 | 4¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | 450 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Senate, James Talarico
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Montana Senate election: Alani Bankhead vote percent
13.61%median
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45.77%median
30%65%
Median 45.77%Middle half 42.95% – 49.17%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.