How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Feb 1, 2027)
51.6median
44.552.5
Median 51.6Middle half 49.5 – 51.8
Install
Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
The odds
51.2median
44.556.5
Median 51.2Middle half 47.6 – 54.0
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 45 | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 1.5K | |
| 45 | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 935 | |
| 46 | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 30.00 | |
| 47 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 30.00 | |
| 48 | 8% | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 144 | |
| 49 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.4K | |
| 50 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 6.2K | |
| 51 | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 5.9K | |
| 52 | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 8.2K | |
| 53 | 11% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 8.6K | |
| 54 | 7% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 6.6K | |
| 55 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 5.6K | |
| 56 | 6% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.3K | |
| Above 56 | 10% | 10¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 1.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Democratic Senate Seat Count
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