Predictions › Elections Around the world odds Every Around the world market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
4,024 open markets · $9.2M traded today Trending around the world markets
Flávio Bolsonaro 77% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 23%
Marine Le Pen 46% ▼ 1 Édouard Philippe 18% ▼ 1 David Lisnard 12% Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10% ▲ 1 41 more Raphaël Glucksmann 4% ▼ 1 François Hollande 2% Gabriel Attal 1% Sarah Knafo 1% Éric Zemmour 1% Bruno Retailleau 1% Christine Lagarde 1% Jordan Bardella 1% Dominique de Villepin 1% Natacha Polony <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% François Ruffin <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Jean Castex <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% François Baroin <1% Marion Maréchal <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1%
Magdalena Andersson 79% Ulf Kristersson 16% Ebba Busch 2% Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist 1% ▼ 1 6 more Jimmie Åkesson <1% ▼ 1 Anna-Karin Hatt <1% Nooshi Dadgostar <1% Simona Mohamsson <1% Amanda Lind <1% Daniel Helldén <1%
Luca Niculescu 96% Ilie Bolojan 1% Alexandru Nazare <1% Siegfried Mureșan <1% 34 more Sorin Grindeanu <1% George Simion <1% Eugen Tomac <1% Traian Basescu <1% Victor Ponta <1% Leonardo Badea <1% Lucian Croitoru <1% Dragoș Pîslaru <1% Mugur Isărescu <1% Mircea Geoană <1% Anca Dragu <1% Lucian Isar <1% Cătălin Predoiu <1% Marcel Ciolacu <1% Alexandru Rafila <1% Sebastian Burduja <1% Ionuț Dumitru <1% Elena Lasconi <1% Cătălin Drulă <1% Vasile Dîncu <1% Dacian Cioloș <1% Emil Boc <1% Dominic Fritz <1% Raluca Turcan <1% Delia Velculescu <1% Nicolae Ciucă <1% Hunor Kelemen <1% Calin Georgescu <1% Radu Burnete <1% Șerban Matei <1% Alexandru Rogobete <1% Dan Motreanu <1% Ciprian Ciucu <1% Adrian Veștea <1%
Flávio Bolsonaro 79% ▼ 1 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 22% ▲ 1
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 44% ▲ 4 Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% 28% ▲ 5 Lula da Silva <4% 20% ▼ 1 Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% 6% ▼ 1 4 more Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ 2% ▼ 1 Lula da Silva 4-8% 1% Lula da Silva 8-12% <1% Lula da Silva 12%+ <1%
16 39
Median 22.0 Middle half 19.2 – 26.1
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 81% ▲ 1 Pedro Sánchez 15% ▼ 1 Santiago Abascal 3% Isabel Díaz Ayuso 1% 12 more Carlos Cuerpo <1% Yolanda Díaz <1% María Jesús Montero <1% Ernest Urtasun <1% Aitor Esteban <1% Miguel Tellado <1% Ester Muñoz <1% Pepa Millán <1% Cuca Gamarra <1% Borja Sémper <1% Carles Puigdemont <1% Óscar Puente <1%
Aleksandar Vučić 70% ▲ 2 Ilija Srdanović 23% ▲ 2 Vladan Đokić 2% Ivica Dačić 1% ▼ 1 6 more Ana Brnabić 1% Stefan Krkobabić 1% Miloš Vučević <1% Đuro Macut <1% Branimir Jovanović <1% Dragan Đilas <1%
Nicolás Maduro 76% ▼ 4 Delcy Rodríguez 19% ▲ 3 María Corina Machado 5% Edmundo González 5% 14 more Juan Guaidó 1% Donald Trump 1% Jorge Rodríguez 1% Vladimir Padrino López 1% Marco Rubio 1% Dinorah Figuera 1% Pete Hegseth 1% Diosdado Cabello Rondón 1% Miguel Rodríguez Torres 1% Richard Grenell <1% Evan Pettus <1% Dan Caine <1% Frank Donovan <1% Stephen Miller <1%
Chiang Wan-an 56% ▼ 3 Puma Shen 43% ▲ 3 Kuo Hsi <1%
Yashar 72% ▲ 5 Likud 28% ▼ 4 Together 1% ▲ 1 Shas <1% 2 more The Democrats <1% Otzma Yehudit <1%
Iliana Iotova 88% Аndrey Gyurov 11% ▼ 1 Nikolai Denkov <1% Blagomir Kotsev <1% 10 more Rosen Zhelyazkov <1% Kostadin Kostadinov <1% Natalia Kiselova <1% Yanaki Stoilov <1% Krum Zarkov <1% Atanas Atanasov <1% Boyko Borissov <1% Delyan Peevski <1% Vassil Terziev <1% Rosen Plevneliev <1%
Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 70% ▼ 2 Student List – Students Win 29% ▼ 3 Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! <1% Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) <1% 6 more Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor <1% Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification <1% Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić <1% Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović <1% European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš <1% SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak <1%
Javier Milei 48% ▲ 1 Axel Kicillof 31% Sergio Massa 12% Patricia Bullrich 3% 17 more Dante Gebel 1% Myriam Bregman 1% Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 1% Daniel Hadad 1% Guillermo Moreno <1% Alberto Fernández <1% Victoria Villarruel <1% Juan Schiaretti <1% Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro <1% Mauricio Macri <1% Lionel Messi <1% Juan Grabois <1% Esteban Bullrich <1% Facundo Manes <1% Máximo Kirchner <1% Karina Milei <1% Nicolás del Caño <1%
Florida 99% California 98% North Carolina 97% Texas 97% 18 more Ohio 96% ▼ 1 Louisiana 95% Utah 93% Alabama 51% ▼ 7 New York 5% ▲ 1 Kansas 5% Indiana 5% Wisconsin 4% ▼ 1 Georgia 3% Washington 3% ▼ 2 Illinois 3% ▲ 1 Missouri 3% ▼ 1 Nebraska 3% New Jersey 3% Minnesota 3% Maryland 3% Virginia 2% South Carolina 2%
Christopher Luxon 48% Benjamin Netanyahu 39% ▲ 1 Pedro Sánchez 21% ▼ 1 Sébastien Lecornu 16% ▼ 1 31 more Mohammed bin Salman 14% ▼ 2 Miguel Díaz-Canel 14% Edi Rama 11% Volodymyr Zelenskyy 9% Emmanuel Macron 8% ▲ 2 Delcy Rodriguez 8% Kim Jong Un 8% ▲ 4 Rodrigo Paz Pereira 7% Lee Jae Myung 6% Mette Frederiksen 6% Friedrich Merz 6% Ahmad al-Sharaa 5% Ramzan Kadyrov 5% Denis Sassou Nguesso 4% Sanae Takaichi 4% Vladimir Putin 4% Narendra Modi 4% ▼ 2 Cyril Ramaphosa 4% Recep Tayyip Erdoğan 4% Daniel Noboa 4% Giorgia Meloni 4% Félix Tshisekedi 4% Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 4% Javier Milei 3% Irfaan Ali 3% Jens-Frederik Nielsen 3% Claudia Sheinbaum 3% Frederik X 3% Mark Carney 3% Xi Jinping 3% Nayib Bukele 2%
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 36% ▲ 1 Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps 15% ▲ 2 Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems 11% ▼ 2 Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems 9% ▲ 3 8 more Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 8% Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps 7% ▼ 2 Lula, Netanyahu, Dems 4% Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps 4% Lula, Netanyahu, Reps 3% Lula, Eizenkot, Reps 3% ▲ 2 Lula, Bennett, Dems 2% Lula, Bennett, Reps 1%
Gadi Eizenkot 44% ▲ 2 Benjamin Netanyahu 30% ▼ 1 Naftali Bennett 11% Avigdor Lieberman 3% 14 more Amir Ohana 1% ▲ 1 Yair Lapid 1% Benny Gantz 1% Yariv Levin 1% Yair Golan 1% Itamar Ben Gvir 1% Yossi Cohen 1% Israel Katz 1% Gideon Sa'ar 1% Ayelet Shaked 1% Moshe Feiglin 1% Yoaz Hendel 1% Nir Barkat 1% Yuli Edelstein 1%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94% Marine Le Pen 92% ▼ 1 Fabien Roussel 86% Nathalie Arthaud 86% ▼ 1 42 more Édouard Philippe 83% ▼ 2 Raphaël Glucksmann 83% ▼ 1 David Lisnard 82% ▲ 4 Éric Zemmour 81% ▲ 1 Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 67% ▼ 2 Bruno Retailleau 60% ▲ 3 Dominique de Villepin 32% ▲ 1 Marine Tondelier 31% Gabriel Attal 27% ▼ 1 François Hollande 27% ▼ 1 François Ruffin 20% Sarah Knafo 14% ▼ 1 François Asselineau 13% ▲ 1 Delphine Batho 10% Jordan Bardella 8% Élisabeth Borne 7% Juan Branco 7% Michel Barnier 6% Jean-Michel Fauvergue 6% Yaël Braun-Pivet 6% Xavier Bertrand 6% ▼ 1 Teddy Riner 6% Matthieu Pigasse 6% Jean Castex 5% Bernard Cazeneuve 5% ▼ 1 François Bayrou 5% Carole Delga 5% Olivier Faure 5% ▼ 1 Manuel Bompard 5% Karim Bouamrane 5% Sébastien Lecornu 5% Philippe de Villiers 5% Michel-Edouard Leclerc 5% Mathilde Panot 4% Jérôme Guedj 4% Manuel Valls 4% Valérie Pécresse 4% Gérald Darmanin 4% Bally Bagayoko 4% Laurent Wauquiez 3% Clémentine Autain 3% Ségolène Royal 3%
Rafael López Aliaga 87% ▼ 1 Francis James Allison Oyague 1% Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca <1% Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli <1% 19 more Santiago Rosendo Abarca León <1% Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo <1% Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera <1% Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino <1% Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra <1% Sandro Caller Gutiérrez <1% Jessica Viviana Linares Romero <1% Rubén José Ramírez Mateo <1% Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay <1% Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés <1% Flor de María Hurtado Valdez <1% Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar <1% Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza <1% Samuel Marcos Daza Taype <1% Segundo Valdez Zavala <1% Samir Frank Quispe Caballero <1% Yehude Simón Munaro <1% Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué <1% Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega <1%
Marine Le Pen 90% ▲ 1 Édouard Philippe 43% ▲ 1 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 37% David Lisnard 14% 32 more Raphaël Glucksmann 11% ▼ 5 Bruno Retailleau 6% Gabriel Attal 6% Jordan Bardella 6% Dominique de Villepin 6% François Hollande 5% Sarah Knafo 5% Manuel Bompard 5% Juan Branco 5% Éric Zemmour 4% Sébastien Lecornu 4% Yaël Braun-Pivet 4% Gérald Darmanin 4% François Ruffin 4% François Asselineau 4% Élisabeth Borne 4% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan 4% Bernard Cazeneuve 4% Fabien Roussel 3% François Bayrou 3% Ségolène Royal 3% Clémence Guetté 3% Carole Delga 3% Laurent Wauquiez 2% Clémentine Autain 2% Marine Tondelier 2% Mathilde Panot 2% Xavier Bertrand 1% Michel Barnier 1% Valérie Pécresse 1% Jean Castex 1% Olivier Faure 1% ▼ 1
Flavio Bolsonaro 68% ▼ 4 Lula 32% ▲ 6 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .