Gambia Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Dec 5 · $6 today · $13.9K traded · $3.2K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

65%Adama Barrow

Adama Barrow65%
Ousainou Darboe24%▼ 1
Bakary K. Badjie7%▼ 1
Talib Ahmed Bensouda2%
Essa Faal1%
Mama Kandeh<1%
Mohamed Al Amin Bah<1%

How the odds have moved

Adama Barrow: 65% on Oct 20, 65% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Adama Barrow	65%		64¢	65¢	$1.54	$8.5K
Ousainou Darboe	24%	▼ 1	16¢	31¢	$3.23	$2.7K
Bakary K. Badjie	7%	▼ 1	1¢	14¢	$7.41	$309
Talib Ahmed Bensouda	2%		0¢	3¢	$30.30	$691
Essa Faal	1%		0¢	2¢	$58.82	$449
Mama Kandeh	<1%		0¢	0¢		$934
Mohamed Al Amin Bah	<1%		0¢	0¢		$313

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Gambia Presidential, Adama Barrow, Ousainou Darboe

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Gambia Presidential Election Is on Saturday 5 DecemberThe Rio Times · 8 days agoThe Gambia presidential election takes place on Saturday 5 December 2026, and President Adama Barrow is seeking a third term. For US readers, it is a key test for a small West African democracy that ended Yahya Jammeh’s 22-year rule in…
EU readies for Gambian poll contest@cajnewsafrica · 7 days agoFormer Gambia deputy president, Ousainou Darboe from EMEKA OKONKWO in Abuja, Nigeria Nigeria Bureau ABUJA, (CAJ News) – THE European Union (EU) is to deploy an Election Observation Mission (EU EOM) to The Gambia ahead of the December 5…
Gambia to pay victims of Yahya Jammeh's rule from proceeds of his seized US mansionBBC News · 7 days agoJammeh, who is now living in exile in Equatorial Guinea, ruled The Gambia for more than 20 years The Gambia will use funds received from the US from the forfeiture of long-time ruler Yahya Jammeh's property to pay victims of his rule…
The Gambia to pay victims of ex-ruler Yahya Jammeh with proceeds from seized US mansionBusiness · 6 days agoBy: Nana Karikari, Senior Global Affairs Correspondent The Gambia will compensate victims of former ruler Yahya Jammeh’s regime using funds recovered from the asset forfeiture and sale of his luxury property in the United States. Gambian…
Gambia recovers $2.5m from Jammeh’s US mansion to fund reparationsChannel Africa · 7 days agoChannel Africa Gambia recovers $2.5m from Jammeh’s US mansion to fund reparations The Gambian government has received $2.5 million following the forfeiture and sale of a luxury estate in the United States (US) previously owned by former…
Gambia To Pay Jammeh’s Victims $2.57m Recovered From US MansionTrending News · 7 days agoWed Oct 21, 2026 October 21, 2026 3:52 PM GMT+1 The Gambia will use $2.57 million recovered from the sale of a mansion owned by former President Yahya Jammeh in the United States to compensate victims of human rights abuses during his…
Gambia to use $2.5 mn from US to compensate ex-dictator's victimsCitizen Digital · 7 days agoJammeh's two decades in power from 1994 to 2017 were stained by rights abuses, and the eccentric ex-leader is accused of syphoning millions of dollars in state funds for his personal use. The US Justice Department had announced in…
Barrow warns NAM, labels candlelight march to State House ‘treasonable’The Point Newspaper · 7 days agoPresident Adama Barrow has issued a strong warning to Banjul North National Assembly Member (NAM), Hon. Momodou Lamin Bah, over a recent candlelight protest that attempted to march towards the State House, describing the action as a…
Barrow Praises Media Coverage of Meet-the-People-TourVoice Gambia · 7 days agoGambian President Adama Barrow has praised the media for what he described as responsible and balanced reporting during his recently-concluded Meet-the-People-Tour, saying an independent and credible media is essential to national…
Gambia To Compensate Victims Of Ex-President Jammeh’s Rule With $2.57m Recovered From US Mansion Sale | Sahara ReportersSahara Reporters · 7 days agoThe Gambian government will use $2.57 million recovered from the sale of a mansion belonging to former President Yahya Jammeh in the United States to compensate victims of his rule. The Gambia’s Reparations Commission said it had received…
US Returns $2.5 Million to Gambia for Ex-Dictator’s Victims@NewsCentralTV · 7 days agoThe Gambia has confirmed on Tuesday that it received $2.5 million returned by the United States from the sale of former dictator Yahya Jammeh’s mansion, and said the money would go to victims of his rule. Jammeh’s two decades in power from…
The Gambia : Barrow piles up endorsements as the opposition dividestimbuktu-institute · 11 days agoTimbuktu Institute October 2026 - Week 1 An official endorsement of the incumbent president The presidential party faces a wave of defections Divided, the opposition debates a rapprochement between Ousainou Darboe and Talib Bensouda…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Settles oniec.gm

Trading closesDec 5, 2026 6:59 PM ET

Traded$13.9K

Today$6

This week$1.1K

At stake$3.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in The Gambia on December 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Gambian presidential election. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by the Independent Electoral Commission of The Gambia (https://www.iec.gm/).

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Search Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions