Brazil Presidential Election
77%Flávio Bolsonaro
- Flávio Bolsonaro77%▼ 2
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%▲ 2
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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
The odds
90%Marine Le Pen
- Marine Le Pen90%▲ 1
- Édouard Philippe43%▼ 1
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon36%▼ 7
- David Lisnard14%
- Raphaël Glucksmann11%▲ 1
- Bruno Retailleau6%
- Gabriel Attal6%
- Jordan Bardella6%
- Dominique de Villepin6%
- François Hollande5%
- Sarah Knafo5%
- Manuel Bompard5%
24 more
- Juan Branco5%
- Éric Zemmour4%
- Sébastien Lecornu4%
- Yaël Braun-Pivet4%
- Gérald Darmanin4%
- François Ruffin4%
- François Asselineau4%
- Élisabeth Borne4%
- Nicolas Dupont-Aignan4%
- Bernard Cazeneuve4%
- Fabien Roussel3%
- François Bayrou3%
- Ségolène Royal3%
- Carole Delga3%
- Laurent Wauquiez2%
- Clémentine Autain2%
- Clémence Guetté2%
- Marine Tondelier2%
- Xavier Bertrand1%
- Michel Barnier1%
- Mathilde Panot1%▼ 1
- Valérie Pécresse1%
- Jean Castex1%
- Olivier Faure1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 90% | ▲ 1 | 89¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | $18.2K |
| Édouard Philippe | 43% | ▼ 1 | 42¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | $7.6K |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 36% | ▼ 7 | 34¢ | 37¢ | $2.70 | $24.3K |
| David Lisnard | 14% | 14¢ | 14¢ | $6.94 | $167K | |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 11% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 12¢ | $8.20 | $10.6K |
| Bruno Retailleau | 6% | 6¢ | 6¢ | $16.13 | $4.1K | |
| Gabriel Attal | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $6.7K | |
| Jordan Bardella | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $23.6K | |
| Dominique de Villepin | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $2.1K | |
| François Hollande | 5% | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $15.7K | |
| Sarah Knafo | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $19.23 | $5.3K | |
| Manuel Bompard | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $7.1K | |
| Juan Branco | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $4.5K | |
| Éric Zemmour | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $742 | |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $2.5K | |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $3.7K | |
| Gérald Darmanin | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $2.4K | |
| François Ruffin | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $7.2K | |
| François Asselineau | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $1.9K | |
| Élisabeth Borne | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $4.6K | |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $1.9K | |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $23.81 | $5.7K | |
| Fabien Roussel | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $8.3K | |
| François Bayrou | 3% | 3¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $4.2K | |
| Ségolène Royal | 3% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $27.78 | $4.9K | |
| Carole Delga | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $11.3K | |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $921 | |
| Clémentine Autain | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $32.26 | $5.8K | |
| Clémence Guetté | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $29.41 | $3.3K | |
| Marine Tondelier | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $4.9K | |
| Xavier Bertrand | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $1.6K | |
| Michel Barnier | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $47.62 | $3.3K | |
| Mathilde Panot | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $1.9K |
| Valérie Pécresse | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $3.2K | |
| Jean Castex | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $45.45 | $3.1K | |
| Olivier Faure | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $90.91 | $6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: French Presidential, Marine Le Pen, Édouard Philippe
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.