2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes Nov 28 · $6.8K today · $322K traded · $86.8K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

68%Kuomintang (KMT)

Kuomintang (KMT)68%▼ 1
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)32%
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)<1%

How the odds have moved

Kuomintang (KMT): 69% on Oct 20, 68% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Kuomintang (KMT)	68%	▼ 1	68¢	69¢	$1.45	$127K
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)	32%		31¢	32¢	$3.13	$121K
Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)	<1%			0¢		$74.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Taiwanese Local

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China accused of six tactics to interfere in Taiwans local electionsNews18 · 5 days agoTaipei [Taiwan], October 22 (ANI): Taiwan’s National Security Bureau (NSB) has accused the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) of employing six tactics to influence Taiwan’s upcoming nine-in-one local elections, including allegedly using…
Taiwan Local Elections Are Where China’s Disinformation Strategies BeginCouncil on Foreign Relations · 8 days agoTaiwan’s local elections, not the national ones, incubate China’s disinformation strategies. Civil society is stepping up to fight them. From Asia Unbound and Asia Program Taiwan · China · Elections and Voting By Brad W. Setser Founded in…
Taiwan approves full health insurance subsidies for seniorsAsian Business Review · 7 days agoEligible residents aged 65 and older will have their monthly premiums covered by the central government. Taiwan has passed the an amendment to Article 22 of the Senior Citizens Welfare Act, requiring the central government to fully…
Coinbase and Kalshi Hit With Access Restrictions in Taiwan Over Election BettingCryptoRank · 11 days agoThe move comes weeks ahead of Taiwan’s November 28 local elections, where residents will vote for mayors, city councillors, and village chiefs across the island. It’s the first island-wide electoral test for President Lai Ching-te since he…
Taiwan blocks Coinbase and Kalshi websites over election betting concernsCrypto Briefing · 11 days agoA New Taipei court ordered the sites blocked over suspected illegal wagering on local election results ahead of November 28 polls Taiwan has pulled the plug on the websites of Coinbase and Kalshi, citing suspected illegal betting on the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesNov 28, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$322K

Today$6.8K

This week$10.4K

At stake$86.8K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections. A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties: Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Tai

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions