Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes May 1, 2027 · $15.1K today · $165K traded · $11.6K at stake · prices read just now

The odds

13%Vladan Đokić

Vladan Đokić13%▼ 11
Miloš Vučević4%▼ 6
Đuro Macut3%▼ 1
Zdravko Ponoš2%▼ 1
Vladan Petrov2%▼ 1
Ana Brnabić2%
Ivica Dačić2%▼ 1
Aleksandar Vučić1%
Savo Manojlović1%
Miloš Jovanović<1%
Miroslav Aleksić<1%
Biljana Đorđević<1%

5 more

Srđan Milivojević<1%
Miloš Parandilović<1%
Vojislav Šešelj<1%
Branimir Nestorović<1%
Dragan Đilas<1%

How the odds have moved

Vladan Đokić: 13% on Oct 20, 13% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 25, 11 PM ETVladan Đokić: 13% → 18%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Vladan Đokić	13%	▼ 11	12¢	14¢	$7.14	$22K
Miloš Vučević	4%	▼ 6	2¢	6¢	$16.67	$55.4K
Đuro Macut	3%	▼ 1	2¢	5¢	$21.74	$14.5K
Zdravko Ponoš	2%	▼ 1	1¢	4¢	$23.26	$3.7K
Vladan Petrov	2%	▼ 1	2¢	3¢	$33.33	$8.8K
Ana Brnabić	2%		1¢	3¢	$34.48	$29K
Ivica Dačić	2%	▼ 1	0¢	3¢	$31.25	$10.1K
Aleksandar Vučić	1%		0¢	1¢		$6.1K
Savo Manojlović	1%		0¢	1¢	$100.00	$2.9K
Miloš Jovanović	<1%		0¢	1¢		$2.8K
Miroslav Aleksić	<1%		0¢	1¢		$967
Biljana Đorđević	<1%		0¢	1¢		$998
Srđan Milivojević	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.1K
Miloš Parandilović	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.1K
Vojislav Šešelj	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.9K
Branimir Nestorović	<1%		0¢	0¢		$2.3K
Dragan Đilas	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Serbia Presidential, Vladan Đokić, Miloš Vučević

Search ›

Serbia election: Main players, voter concerns and what is at stakecyprus-mail.com · 40 h agoSerbia is holding parliamentary elections on Sunday, in which a popular student movement is seeking to end the rule of longtime leader Aleksandar Vucic. Here are the main players, issues and stakes in the vote. Aleksandar Vucic – United…
Factbox-Serbia election: Main players, voter concerns and what is at stakeStevens Point · 2 days agoOct 25 (Reuters) – Serbia is holding parliamentary elections on Sunday, in which a popular student movement is seeking to end the rule of longtime leader Aleksandar Vucic. Here are the main players, issues and stakes in the vote. WHO ARE…
Serbia at a crossroads: What’s at stake and what Moscow can expectRT International · 4 days agoSerbia is heading into a snap parliamentary election on October 25 following nearly two years of anti-government protests sparked by a deadly railway station canopy collapse. Former Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic is running for prime…
Israeli spyware Pegasus targets Belgrade University rector and prosecutor, among othersEuropean Interest · 5 days agoJust before the parliamentary elections, researchers found traces of Israeli spyware, Pegasus, on the phones of Vladan Đokić, the rector of the University of Belgrade, and Rade Bajić, an associate of the State Prosecutor’s Office. Citizen…
Can Serbia’s student protesters stop Aleksandar Vučić from becoming prime minister? The country’s longtime leader has called an early election to extend his hold on power.Meduza · 4 days agoAleksandar Vučić joined the Serbian Radical Party as a young man and became known as an ardent Serbian nationalist. He became prime minister in 2014 and was elected president three years later. With the backing of the Serbian Progressive…
Newly revealed cases of illegal surveillance in Serbia affect the integrity of the election processEuropean Western Balkans · 5 days agoOn 19 October, the Citizen Lab, in collaboration with SHARE Foundation, confirmed two new high-profile cases of advanced spyware targeting in this country. The victims include University of Belgrade Rector Vladan Đokić and Senior…
Keepin touchВлада Републике Србије · 6 days agoMacut pays tribute to civilians executed during World War II Влада Републике Србије Macut pays tribute to civilians executed during World War II Prime Minister in a caretaker capacity Professor Đuro Macut, MD, DSc, laid a wreath at…
SNS announced rallies in 150 towns and villages across SerbiaVreme · 6 days agoThe "Aleksandar Vučić - United Serbia" list has announced 150 rallies across Serbia for the last day of the campaign, while the central rally is scheduled in the "Ranko Žeravica" hall in New Belgrade. List „Aleksandar Vučić - United…
Serbia’s Pegasus Spyware Infected Rector and Kushner-Case Prosecutor Before VoteTech Times · 7 days agoSerbia's national parliamentary and local elections are scheduled for October 25. Vladan Đokić became one of Serbia's most prominent figures of institutional resistance in late 2024, when the University of Belgrade — under his stewardship…
Two more Serbian opposition figures targeted with spyware, researchers sayThe Record · 8 days agoAnother Serbian opposition leader’s phone was discovered to have been infected with powerful spyware, the latest in a series of such discoveries in the lead-up to national elections next week. The digital forensics research institute the…
Serbian prosecutor probing Trump Tower in Belgrade targeted with spywarePOLITICO · 8 days agoThe revelations come amid mounting controversy over plans to redevelop the former Yugoslav military headquarters in Belgrade into a new luxury Trump Tower. A Serbian prosecutor investigating alleged corruption surrounding a Trump real…
Vučić almost burst into tears at the rally in Novi SadVreme · 11 days ago"Thank you, people, it's just that my tears didn't start tonight," Aleksandar Vučić said at the rally in Novi Sad. At the meeting of the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) held on Friday Novi Sad list leader Aleksandar Vučić appeared at the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMay 1, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$165K

Today$15.1K

This week$41.7K

At stake$11.6K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The next Serbian presidential election is currently expected to be held by May 1, 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next Serbian presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins the next Serbian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results of the election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

The race

The candidates, the incumbent, every market on this race and its coverage: the race on 4Search Politics ›

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions