Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Polymarket Finance › IPOs & deals Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $3.2K today · $27.8K traded · $7K at stake · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

$1.97Tmedian

$1.25T$3.25T

Median $1.97TMiddle half $1.72T – $2.4T

How the odds have moved

Median: $1.88T on Oct 20, $1.97T now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
$1.5T	92%	▲ 3	89¢	95¢	$1.05	$4.6K
$1.75T	73%	▲ 4	72¢	74¢	$1.35	$9K
$2T	47%	▲ 9	45¢	48¢	$2.08	$5.8K
$2.25T	32%	▲ 14	28¢	35¢	$2.86	$4.8K
$2.5T	21%	▲ 10	17¢	24¢	$4.17	$2.1K
$2.75T	10%	▲ 4	9¢	11¢	$9.09	$996
$3T	6%	▲ 3	1¢	12¢	$8.70	$427

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Anthropic, Claude, Anthropic IPO

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Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO — and more AI newsCNBC · 3 days agoFrom Anthropicâs upcoming IPO to OpenAIâs funding round that could value the AI giant at more than $1 trillion, CNBCâs Kate Rooney breaks down the headlines in AI this week. Wall Street is awaiting Anthropic's IPO â and more AI news
Anthropic IPO is biggest question mark for entire market: Vital Knowledge's CrisafulliCNBC · 3 days agoCNBCâs âClosing Bell Overtimeâ team discusses the week's trading action, the upcoming week of earnings results and more with Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge and Brad Conger of Hirtle and Company. Anthropic IPO is biggest question…
Anthropic IPO: What should investors consider when valuing the AI company? Aswath Damodaran explainsThe Economic Times · 3 days agoAnthropic is on track for an IPO expected in mid-November, reporting impressive revenues of $16.3 billion. However, the company faces a staggering net loss of over $80 billion for the year. Valuation expert Aswath Damodaran warns that IPO…
Anthropic IPO odds near record highs despite market volatilityCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Why OpenAI could be in trouble if Anthropic's IPO doesn't go wellYahoo Finance · 3 days agoManhattan Venture Partners managing partner Jared Carmel sits down with Yahoo Finance Executive Editor Brian Sozzi to discuss what OpenAI's (OPAI.PVT) decision to stay private could mean for the AI developer in the long run, especially…
Anthropic IPO Filing Reveals $80 Billion Loss and $600 Billion in Computing BillsCoinCentral · 2 days agoAnthropic reported a net loss of $80.7 billion for the first half of 2026, according to a draft IPO prospectus reviewed by The Wall Street Journal and Reuters. The loss compares with $13 billion in the same period a year earlier. It is one…
Anthropic IPO Targets Mid-November as OpenAI Races for $30 Billion at $1.25T-$1.4T ValuationFinanceFeeds · 2 days agoAnthropic’s anticipated mid-November IPO is becoming a race for investor capital as rival OpenAI seeks to secure roughly $30 billion in private funding before public markets get their first detailed look at the Claude developer’s finances…
Anthropic's IPO could be the ultimate test for the AI tradeYahoo Finance · 4 days agoAnthropic (ANTH.PVT) is expected to publicly file its S-1 prospectus as early as Friday night, sources told Yahoo Finance. Rainmaker Securities managing director Greg Martin weighs in on how Anthropic's long-awaited public listing could…
Anthropic IPO stands alone as AI market jitters sideline othersCentral Oregon Daily · 4 days ago(Corrects paragraph 11 to remove erroneous reference to Elice's listing plan) Oct 22 (Reuters) - A once-robust fall calendar for technology IPOs is down to just Anthropic. The AI lab is pressing ahead to hold its initial public offering as…
How Nvidia Stock Can Make or Break the Anthropic IPO – and the Claude Maker’s Potential $2 Trillion Valuationbarchart.com · 3 days ago
Anthropic IPO, MANGOS ETFs and the Future of the AI TradeThe Globe and Mail · 5 days agoIn this episode of ETF Spotlight, I speak with Paul Marino, Chief Revenue Officer of Themes ETFs, about the AI trade, the Anthropic IPO, and investing in MANGOS companies. The bull market recently celebrated its fourth anniversary, but…
Anthropic IPO to drive Bblockbuster gains for Iconiq, Spark, GIC- Moneycontrol.comMoneycontrol · 4 days agoBy the time Iconiq made its first investment in Anthropic PBC in 2025, the artificial intelligence developer was valued at $183 billion — more than almost any other tech startup in the world — and well on its way to becoming an AI…

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All ipos & deals ›

Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO by __?

Nov 24, 2026even chance by

October 31, 20261%
November 15, 20262%▼ 1
November 30, 202688%▲ 24

2 more

December 15, 202693%▲ 11
December 31, 202695%▲ 12

Finance › IPOs & deals

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

31%$1.75–$2.0T

$1.75–$2.0T31%▼ 3
$2.0–$2.25T20%▲ 2
$1.5–$1.75T18%

7 more

$2.25–$2.5T12%▲ 4
$2.5–$2.75T4%▲ 2
$1.25–$1.5T4%▼ 2
$2.75–$3.0T3%▲ 2
<$1.25T3%▼ 3
$3.0T+2%
No IPO by December 31, 20272%

Finance › IPOs & deals

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

99%$ANT

$ANT99%▲ 46
$ANTH<1%▼ 25
$ANAI<1%▼ 3

6 more

$AAI<1%▼ 10
$CLDE<1%▼ 5
$APBC<1%▼ 4
$ARPC<1%
$CLAU<1%▼ 5
$CLD<1%▼ 1

Finance › IPOs & deals

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

87%November 2026

November 202687%▲ 26
December 20267%▼ 15
January 20273%▼ 4

13 more

March 20271%▼ 2
May 20271%▼ 1
April 20271%▼ 2
June 20271%
October 20261%▼ 1
February 2027<1%▼ 1
July 2027<1%
August 2027<1%
October 2027<1%
November 2027<1%
December 2027<1%
September 2027<1%
No IPO before 2028<1%▼ 1

Finance › IPOs & deals

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

$1.46Tmedian

$750B$2.75T

Median $1.46TMiddle half $965.37B – $1.78T

Finance › IPOs & deals

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Nov 19, 2026even chance by

Before Nov 1, 20261%
Before Dec 1, 202687%▲ 17
Before Jan 1, 202795%▲ 16

3 more

Before Feb 1, 202796%▲ 8
Before Mar 1, 202796%▲ 4
Before Apr 1, 202797%▲ 4

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$27.8K

Today$3.2K

This week$6.6K

At stake$7K

In the news474 headlines today, 1,967 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Anthropic's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange's official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. I

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions