Predictions › World Middle East odds Every Middle East market on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com: the odds, the money behind them, the biggest moves and the news.
% US Dec
269 open markets · $5.4M traded today Trending middle east markets
Mojtaba Khamenei 85% ▼ 1 No Head of State 5% Reza Pahlavi 3% Alireza Arafi 3% ▲ 1 26 more Hassan Rouhani <1% Abbas Araghchi <1% Masoud Pezeshkian <1% Ahmad Vahidi <1% Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf <1% Sadegh Larijani <1% Mahmoud Ahmadinejad <1% Muhammad Mirbaqiri <1% Hassan Khomeini <1% Maryam Rajavi <1% Mohammad Khatami <1% Hassan Shariatmadari <1% Massoud Rajavi <1% Seyed Hossein Mousavian <1% Reza Pirzadeh <1% Navid Shomali <1% Mustafa Hijri <1% Ali Motahari <1% Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel <1% Mostafa Pourmohammadi <1% Sadegh Mahsouli <1% Saeed Jalili <1% Mohsen Araki <1% Nasir Hosseini <1% Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani <1% Ali Asghar Hejazi <1%
June 30, 2027 12% ▼ 1 October 31 12% November 30 12% ▲ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1
October 31 1% December 31 8%
October 22 69% ▲ 5 October 24 69% ▲ 2 October 28 69% ▲ 5 October 31 69% ▲ 3 5 more November 8 69% ▲ 4 November 15 69% ▲ 2 November 22 69% ▲ 3 November 30 69% ▲ 4 December 31 69% ▲ 4
October 31 1% ▼ 1 November 30 9% ▲ 1 December 31 14% ▲ 1
October 31 1% ▼ 1 December 31 6% ▼ 2
Gadi Eizenkot 51% ▲ 1 Benjamin Netanyahu 28% ▲ 1 Naftali Bennett 13% Avigdor Lieberman 2% ▼ 1 15 more Itamar Ben Gvir <1% Moshe Feiglin <1% Yossi Cohen <1% Yair Golan <1% Israel Katz <1% Amir Ohana <1% Ofer Winter <1% Yair Lapid <1% Benny Gantz <1% Gideon Sa’ar <1% Yariv Levin <1% Ayelet Shaked <1% Yoaz Hendel <1% Nir Barkat <1% Gilad Erdan <1%
October 31 8% ▼ 1 December 31 30% ▼ 3
March 31, 2027 12% June 30, 2027 12% ▼ 1 December 31 12% December 31, 2027 34%
October 31 3% December 31 17%
October 21 72% ▲ 1 October 31 72% ▲ 2 November 15 72% November 30 72% ▼ 1 1 more
October 31 2% November 30 8% ▼ 1 December 31 16% ▼ 1
October 31 7% ▼ 1 November 30 28% ▲ 6 December 31 32% ▼ 2
October 31 5% ▼ 2 December 31 12% ▼ 3
October 31 8% ▼ 2 November 2 11% ▼ 2 November 30 25% ▼ 1 December 31 33% ▲ 1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use .