Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $394K today · $717M traded · $9.2M at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

38%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance38%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio18%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump2%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
31 more
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

How the odds have moved

J.D. Vance: 44% on Oct 20, 38% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
J.D. Vance 38% ▼ 2 37¢ 38¢ $2.63 $16.3M
Marco Rubio 18% 18¢ 18¢ $5.52 $11M
Ron DeSantis 4% 4¢ 4¢ $27.03 $16M
Tucker Carlson 3% 3¢ 3¢ $32.26 $13.9M
Ted Cruz 2% 2¢ 3¢ $40.00 $19.9M
Donald Trump 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $9.7M
Donald Trump Jr. 2% 2¢ 2¢ $55.56 $9.8M
Ivanka Trump 2% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $8.9M
Thomas Massie 1% 1¢ 1¢ $6.3M
Brian Kemp 1% 1¢ 1¢ $18.1M
Glenn Youngkin <1% 0¢ 0¢ $8.9M
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. <1% 0¢ 0¢ $17M
Josh Hawley <1% 0¢ 0¢ $20.5M
Rand Paul <1% 0¢ 0¢ $19.8M
Marjorie Taylor Greene <1% 0¢ 0¢ $6.8M
Pete Hegseth <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9.4M
Tom Cotton <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.8M
Greg Abbott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $21.6M
Katie Britt <1% 0¢ 0¢ $29M
Candace Owens <1% 0¢ 0¢ $937K
Eric Trump <1% 0¢ 0¢ $10.6M
Tulsi Gabbard <1% 0¢ 0¢ $14.5M
Nikki Haley <1% 0¢ 0¢ $10.5M
Vivek Ramaswamy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $16.2M
Sarah Huckabee Sanders <1% 0¢ 0¢ $36.2M
Byron Donalds <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.6M
Elise Stefanik <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.2M
Elon Musk <1% 0¢ 0¢ $31.6M
Kristi Noem <1% 0¢ 0¢ $37.8M
Mike Pence <1% 0¢ 0¢ $43.7M
Steve Bannon <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23M
Joe Kent <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9M
Tim Scott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.5M
Doug Burgum <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.6M
John N. Kennedy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.1M
John McEntee <1% 0¢ 0¢ $486K
Matt Gaetz <1% 0¢ $20.6M
John Thune <1% 0¢ $38.4M
Tom Brady <1% 0¢ $33M
Erika Kirk <1% 0¢ $19M
Kim Kardashian <1% 0¢ $28.6M
Mike Johnson <1% 0¢ $884K
Rick Scott <1% 0¢ $816K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

43%JD Vance
  • JD Vance43%
  • Marco Rubio19%
  • Ted Cruz6%
  • Tucker Carlson6%
8 more
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.5%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Brian Kemp3%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $14.8K today · $14.8K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Republican presidential nominee

40%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance40%▼ 1
  • Marco Rubio19%
  • Ron DeSantis5%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.3%
39 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Brian Kemp3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald J. Trump2%
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene1%▲ 1
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Byron Donalds1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders1%
  • Pete Hegseth1%
  • Lara Trump1%
  • Spencer Pratt1%
  • Jeff Bezos1%
  • Candace Owens1%
  • Chris Christie1%
  • John Kennedy1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Ben Shapiro1%
  • Wesley Hunt1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Nicki Minaj<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $18.2K today · $4M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Republican Presidential, J.D. Vance, Marco Rubio

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Elections › President 2028

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19%JD Vance
  • JD Vance19%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom12%
51 more
  • Marco Rubio10%
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
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  • Ro Khanna1%
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  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
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  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
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Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom16%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
50 more
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions