Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $227K today · $1.3B traded · $8M at stake · prices read 5 min ago

The odds

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
41 more
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Michelle Obama1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%

How the odds have moved

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 15% on Oct 20, 16% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% ▼ 1 16¢ 17¢ $5.99 $15.6M
Gavin Newsom 16% 16¢ 16¢ $6.33 $28.1M
Jon Ossoff 15% ▼ 1 15¢ 15¢ $6.80 $13.6M
Kamala Harris 6% 6¢ 6¢ $15.87 $14.2M
Pete Buttigieg 5% 5¢ 5¢ $19.61 $12.3M
Josh Shapiro 5% 5¢ 5¢ $19.23 $10.3M
Andy Beshear 4% 3¢ 4¢ $27.03 $13.5M
James Talarico 3% 3¢ 3¢ $38.46 $11.2M
Mark Kelly 2% 2¢ 2¢ $45.45 $17.8M
Raphael Warnock 2% 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 $34.4M
Wes Moore 2% 2¢ 2¢ $50.00 $18.6M
Rahm Emanuel 2% 2¢ 2¢ $55.56 $14.7M
J.B. Pritzker 1% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $15.9M
Bernie Sanders 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $52.9M
Ro Khanna 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $11.6M
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $12.5M
Chelsea Clinton 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $50.9M
Cory Booker 1% 1¢ 1¢ $26.6M
Michelle Obama 1% 1¢ 1¢ $26.4M
Jon Stewart 1% 1¢ 1¢ $24.8M
Gretchen Whitmer 1% 1¢ 1¢ $12.1M
Roy Cooper <1% 0¢ 0¢ $31.8M
Chris Murphy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $17.6M
Ruben Gallego <1% 0¢ 0¢ $9M
Mark Cuban <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23.3M
Barack Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ $34.4M
Hillary Clinton <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.3M
Hunter Biden <1% 0¢ 0¢ $44.8M
Stephen A. Smith <1% 0¢ 0¢ $23.3M
Gina Raimondo <1% 0¢ 0¢ $35.9M
Zohran Mamdani <1% 0¢ 0¢ $39M
Jared Polis <1% 0¢ 0¢ $27.5M
Phil Murphy <1% 0¢ 0¢ $43M
Jasmine Crockett <1% 0¢ 0¢ $36.5M
Abigail Spanberger <1% 0¢ 0¢ $3.1M
Hakeem Jeffries <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.2M
Elissa Slotkin <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.7M
Josh Stein <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.5M
Chris Van Hollen <1% 0¢ 0¢ $2.2M
Mitch Landrieu <1% 0¢ 0¢ $1.2M
Tim Walz <1% 0¢ $43.9M
John Fetterman <1% 0¢ $25.8M
Liz Cheney <1% 0¢ $38.7M
LeBron James <1% 0¢ $44.3M
George Clooney <1% 0¢ $43.5M
MrBeast <1% 0¢ $41.1M
Oprah Winfrey <1% 0¢ $54.4M
Andrew Yang <1% 0¢ $48.9M
Beto O’Rourke <1% 0¢ $42.8M
Kim Kardashian <1% 0¢ $42.9M
Graham Platner <1% 0¢ $8.5M
Adam Schiff <1% 0¢ $703K
Alex Padilla <1% 0¢ $1M

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
  • Gavin Newsom17%
  • Jon Ossoff16%
  • Kamala Harris8%
10 more
  • Pete Buttigieg7%
  • Josh Shapiro7%
  • Andy Beshear5%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • Wes Moore4%
  • Ro Khanna4%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
  • Cory Booker3%
  • Tim Walz3%
Crypto.comCloses Feb 1, 2029 · $215 today · $215 traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

14%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom14%
  • Jon Ossoff14%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez14%
  • Kamala Harris7%
48 more
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear4%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • J.B. Pritzker3%
  • Rahm Emanuel3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Michelle Obama2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Mark Cuban1%
  • Stephen A. Smith1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Chris Murphy1%
  • Mitch Landrieu1%
  • Abdul El-Sayed1%
  • Shawn Fain1%
  • Chris Van Hollen1%
  • David Jolly1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries1%
  • Sherrod Brown1%
  • Mary Peltola1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Bernie Sanders<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Jon Stewart<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Amy Klobuchar<1%
  • Dwayne Johnson<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Beto O'Rourke<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Elizabeth Warren<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $23.5K today · $8.6M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Democratic Presidential, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom

Search ›
  • Californians reveal their pick for Dem president — and it’s not Gavin NewsomCalifornia Post · 3 days agoCalifornia voters have revealed their top picks for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary — and Gov. Gavin Newsom didn’t even crack the top two, according to a new poll commissioned by the California Post. Golden State voters were asked…
  • California Post poll has signs of hope — except for third-place Gavin NewsomCalifornia Post · 2 days agoSteve Hilton is doing better than expected. That’s the key takeaway from the statewide poll conducted by The California Post among 800 likely voters from Oct. 17 to 20. The Republican candidate has run an energetic campaign, focused on…
  • The unlikely role model in endless Donald Trump, Gavin Newsom beefCalifornia Post · 22 h agoSomehow Zohran Mamdani can meet with President Donald Trump, but Gavin Newsom can’t — or won’t. Newsom’s office continues to make excuses for the governor’s refusal to work with the White House. In Newsom’s telling, it’s all Trump’s fault…
  • Gavin Newsom | Fox NewsFox News · 2 days agoGov. Gavin Newsom is a Democrat & 40th governor of California who previously served as lieutenant governor and mayor of San Francisco. He's known for a moratorium on the death penalty and his criticism of Trump, but has faced scrutiny over…
  • Jon Ossoff’s films exposed corruption. Then his colleague was murdered.The Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. What the Georgia…
  • Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez campaigns for Troy Jackson, touts shared progressive values@WABI_TV5 · 4 days agoPORTLAND, Maine - Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) traveled to Maine on Thursday to take the stage with Senate candidate Troy Jackson in Portland. The two took several questions from college students at the event hosted by “More…
  • Gavin Newsom’s Secret Fracking Ban Comes UndoneNational Review · 3 days agoFraud Is Not the Biggest Source of Health-Care Waste Abdul El-Sayed Is No JFK The Problem with Abdul El-Sayed’s JFK Analogy Continue reading this article with an NRPLUS subscription. Full access is half off! Netflix’s reimagining of East…
  • Congressman seeks to unseat Sen. Jon Ossoff as midterm election nears@WTOC11 · 25 h agoSAVANNAH, Ga. (WTOC) - Congressman Mike Collins is running for U.S. Senate, seeking to unseat Sen. Jon Ossoff. Collins was first elected to Congress in 2022, representing Georgia’s 10th District. As voters head to the polls, they are…
  • Gavin Newsom Deploys National Fundraising NetworkPolitical Wire · 36 h ago“If California Gov. Gavin Newsom enters the 2028 presidential race, as many Democrats expect, he’ll walk in with an asset other White House hopefuls will inarguably envy: A small-dollar fundraising and organizing machine powered by a…
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez appeals to Maine women at rally with Troy JacksonBangor Daily News · 4 days agoPORTLAND, Maine — U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez urged Maine women to back Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Troy Jackson at a Portland town hall Thursday, arguing health care and families would be best served by ousting Republican Sen…
  • Map Shows Where Top 2028 Democrats Are Campaigning Ahead of MidtermsNewsweek · 3 days agoOct 23, 2026 at 06:38 PM EDT Potential 2028 Democratic presidential candidates like former Vice President Kamala Harris, Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg are hitting the campaign…
  • Mrs Gavin Newsom: feminist film-maker, Weinstein accuser … first lady?The Sunday Times · 2 days agoJennifer Siebel Newsom, wife of the California governor, worries about what an unpredictable Trump will do and says ‘our country’s life is on the line’ Mrs Gavin Newsom: feminist film-maker, Weinstein accuser … first lady? Jennifer Siebel…

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%JD Vance
  • JD Vance19%▼ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom12%▲ 1
51 more
  • Marco Rubio10%
  • Jon Ossoff9%
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel<1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

38%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance38%▼ 3
  • Marco Rubio18%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
40 more
  • Tucker Carlson3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump2%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions