Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket Elections › President 2028 Closes Nov 7, 2028 · $206K today · $717M traded · $38.5M at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom9%
  • Marco Rubio9%▲ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
42 more
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
JD Vance 20% 20¢ 20¢ $4.98 $17.2M
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% 13¢ 13¢ $7.63 $13.9M
Jon Ossoff 10% ▼ 1 10¢ 10¢ $9.80 $6M
Gavin Newsom 9% 9¢ 9¢ $10.99 $18.7M
Marco Rubio 9% ▲ 1 9¢ 9¢ $10.99 $13M
Kamala Harris 4% 4¢ 5¢ $22.22 $9.3M
Josh Shapiro 3% 3¢ 3¢ $33.33 $7.6M
Pete Buttigieg 3% 3¢ 3¢ $35.71 $8.5M
Andy Beshear 2% 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 $19.4M
Ron DeSantis 2% 2¢ 2¢ $47.62 $12.7M
Tucker Carlson 2% 2¢ 2¢ $58.82 $14.4M
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson 2% 2¢ 2¢ $62.50 $8.5M
James Talarico 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $8M
Donald Trump 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $10.7M
Mark Kelly 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $79K
Raphael Warnock 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $1.2M
Wes Moore 1% 1¢ 1¢ $100.00 $12.7M
Ro Khanna 1% 1¢ 1¢ $10.9M
Thomas Massie 1% 1¢ 1¢ $8.6M
JB Pritzker 1% 1¢ 1¢ $13.2M
Ted Cruz 1% 1¢ 1¢ $632K
Rahm Emanuel 1% 1¢ 1¢ $184K
Ivanka Trump 1% 1¢ 1¢ $8.5M
Donald Trump Jr. 1% 1¢ 1¢ $14.1M
Gretchen Whitmer <1% 0¢ 0¢ $15.6M
Jamie Dimon <1% 0¢ 0¢ $11.1M
Glenn Youngkin <1% 0¢ 0¢ $28.6M
Greg Abbott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $35.4M
Elon Musk <1% 0¢ 0¢ $27.3M
Michelle Obama <1% 0¢ 0¢ $19.5M
Stephen Smith <1% 0¢ $33.7M
Tulsi Gabbard <1% 0¢ $35.5M
Nikki Haley <1% 0¢ $30.3M
Tim Walz <1% 0¢ $44.9M
Vivek Ramaswamy <1% 0¢ $38M
LeBron James <1% 0¢ $54.9M
Kim Kardashian <1% 0¢ $40.3M
Zohran Mamdani <1% 0¢ $22.4M
Eric Trump <1% 0¢ $18.9M
Pete Hegseth <1% 0¢ $10.4M
Jalen Brunson <1% 0¢ $2.7M
Abigail Spanberger <1% 0¢ $923K
Hakeem Jeffries <1% 0¢ $279K
Elissa Slotkin <1% 0¢ $729K
Adam Schiff <1% 0¢ $945K
Josh Stein <1% 0¢ $1M
Alex Padilla <1% 0¢ $851K
Candace Owens <1% 0¢ $535K
Tim Scott <1% 0¢ $393K
Mike Johnson <1% 0¢ $391K
Doug Burgum <1% 0¢ $414K
Tom Cotton <1% 0¢ $1.6M
John N. Kennedy <1% 0¢ $395K
Rick Scott <1% 0¢ $511K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Crypto.com

US Presidential Election Winner 2028

22%JD Vance
  • JD Vance22%
  • Marco Rubio10%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
19 more
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Mark Kelly5%
  • Pete Buttigieg4%
  • Josh Shapiro4%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • Ro Khanna3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Wes Moore3%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
  • Tim Walz3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%
Crypto.comCloses Jan 31, 2029 · $4.5K today · $4.5K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on ForecastEx

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

22%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance22%
  • Gavin Newsom12%▲ 1
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
  • Marco Rubio10%
28 more
  • Jon Ossoff8%▼ 2
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • Donald J. Trump3%
  • Mark Kelly3%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.1%
  • Jamie Dimon1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Hunter Biden1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2029 · $14.9K today · $3.8M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: JD Vance, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff

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No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%▲ 1
  • Jon Ossoff15%▲ 1
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%▼ 1
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Bernie Sanders2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%▼ 2
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.