Oscars: Best Picture Winner 2027
44%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey44%
- The Black Ball22%
- Dune: Part Three15%
- Wild Horse Nine10%
2 more
- Project Hail Mary8%
- Digger1%
Install
Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)
The odds
45%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey45%
- The Black Ball18%
- You Can See Everything17%▼ 3
- Dune: Part Three9%
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- Digger1%
- Artificial1%
- Project Hail Mary<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fjord<1%
- The Social Reckoning<1%
- Michael<1%
29 more
- The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
- Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
- Werwulf<1%
- Behemoth<1%
- Josephine<1%
- Sense and Sensibility<1%
- I Love Boosters<1%
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- The Death of Robin Hood<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Ink<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Cry to Heaven<1%
- Tie<1%
- 1949 / Fatherland<1%
- Paper Tiger<1%
- Hope<1%
- Minotaur<1%
- Parallel Tales<1%
- Jack of Spades<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Debut<1%
- Elsinore<1%
- The Invite<1%
- Club Kid<1%
- Being Heumann<1%
- Primetime<1%
- Tender Loving Care<1%
How the odds have moved
The Odyssey: 46% on Oct 20, 45% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 45% | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 2.1M | |
| The Black Ball | 18% | 18¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 635.3K | |
| You Can See Everything | 17% | ▼ 3 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 841.4K |
| Dune: Part Three | 9% | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 604.4K | |
| Wild Horse Nine | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 468.7K | |
| Digger | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 918.3K | |
| Artificial | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 340.1K | |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 384.6K | ||
| Disclosure Day | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 96.5K | ||
| Fjord | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 237.0K | ||
| The Social Reckoning | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 327.6K | ||
| Michael | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 199.2K | ||
| The Entertainment System Is Down | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 23.2K | ||
| Narnia: The Magician's Nephew | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 14.0K | ||
| Werwulf | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 31.1K | ||
| Behemoth | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 177.0K | ||
| Josephine | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 216.8K | ||
| Sense and Sensibility | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 33.1K | ||
| I Love Boosters | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 5.3K | ||
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 66.0K | ||
| Avengers: Doomsday | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 351.8K | ||
| The Death of Robin Hood | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.2K | ||
| The Drama | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 8.3K | ||
| Ink | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 17.9K | ||
| All of a Sudden | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 31.9K | ||
| Cry to Heaven | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 40.4K | ||
| Tie | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 85.4K | ||
| 1949 / Fatherland | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.6K | ||
| Paper Tiger | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 104.9K | ||
| Hope | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 12.9K | ||
| Minotaur | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 42.6K | ||
| Parallel Tales | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 127 | ||
| Jack of Spades | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 2.0K | ||
| Obsession | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 327.4K | ||
| The Debut | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 362.3K | ||
| Elsinore | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 157.1K | ||
| The Invite | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 51.7K | ||
| Club Kid | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 67.2K | ||
| Being Heumann | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 10.5K | ||
| Primetime | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 26.5K | ||
| Tender Loving Care | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Crypto.com
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)Wild Horse NineKalshi 2%Crypto.com 10%8 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The same question on Polymarket
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)You Can See EverythingKalshi 17%Polymarket 14%3 pts apart
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
48%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey48%▲ 1
- La Bola Negra18%▼ 1
- You Can See Everything14%▼ 3
- Dune: Part Three10%▲ 1
23 more
- Digger4%▲ 1
- Wild Horse Nine2%
- Fjord1%
- The Social Reckoning1%▲ 1
- Project Hail Mary1%
- The Invite1%
- The Debut<1%
- Artificial<1%
- Josephine<1%
- I Play Rocky<1%
- Behemoth!<1%
- The Drama<1%
- Obsession<1%
- The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
- Tony<1%
- All of a Sudden<1%
- Clarissa<1%
- Saturn Return<1%
- Disclosure Day<1%
- Fatherland<1%
- Michael<1%
- Avengers: Doomsday<1%
- Elsinore<1%
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Picture
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
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85%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey85%
- The Black Ball77%
- Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 2
10 more
- You Can See Everything48%▲ 5
- Dune: Part Three47%▲ 1
- Project Hail Mary39%▲ 5
- Fjord31%▼ 3
- The Debut27%▼ 3
- The Invite23%▼ 1
- Club Kid23%▲ 7
- Ink21%
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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
97%The Odyssey
- The Odyssey97%
- La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
- Wild Horse Nine92%▲ 1
19 more
- Dune: Part Three87%
- The Debut80%▼ 3
- Project Hail Mary78%▼ 3
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- I Play Rocky36%▼ 3
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- The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 1
- Digger19%▼ 1
- Michael13%
- Disclosure Day8%▼ 1
- Avengers: Doomsday7%▼ 3
- Fatherland5%▼ 1
- The Social Reckoning4%
- The Drama3%
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
93%Matt Damon
- Matt Damon93%
- John Malkovich88%
- Andrew Scott86%
16 more
- Tom Cruise56%▼ 1
- Ryan Gosling45%▲ 3
- John Turturro44%▲ 2
- Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
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- Pedro Pascal20%▲ 1
- Sebastian Stan17%
- Jaafar Jackson17%
- Timothée Chalamet13%▼ 11
- Josh O'Connor10%▲ 6
- Adam Driver6%▲ 1
- Sam Rockwell5%
- Javier Bardem5%
- Brad Pitt5%
- Robert Aramayo4%
- Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1
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- Resident Evil Requiem53%▼ 5
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.