PolymarketWorld › Middle EastCloses Feb 28, 2027 · $644 today · $19.7K traded · $3.5K at stake · prices read 15 min ago
The odds
36%No Next Minister by Feb 28
No Next Minister by Feb 2836%▼ 9
Yoav Ben-Tzur13%▼ 10
Orit Farkash-Hacohen7%
Michael Malchieli6%▼ 5
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)5%▼ 1
Aryeh Deri5%
Miri Regev4%
Israel Katz4%
Ayelet Shaked4%
Yariv Levin3%
Yair Golan3%
Moshe Arbel3%
6 more
Meirav Cohen3%
Keren Terner Eyal2%
Oded Forer2%
Avigdor Lieberman1%
Eli Cohen<1%
Yoram Cohen<1%
How the odds have moved
No Next Minister by Feb 28: 49% on Oct 20, 36% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 20, 9 PM ETNo Next Minister by Feb 28: 49% → 31%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
No Next Minister by Feb 28
36%
▼ 9
30¢
51¢
$1.96
$8.6K
Yoav Ben-Tzur
13%
▼ 10
13¢
14¢
$7.14
$2.3K
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
7%
3¢
13¢
$8.00
$250
Michael Malchieli
6%
▼ 5
5¢
9¢
$11.24
$2.6K
Hili Tropper (Yechiel Tropper)
5%
▼ 1
3¢
9¢
$11.63
$233
Aryeh Deri
5%
0¢
10¢
$10.00
$352
Miri Regev
4%
1¢
9¢
$11.49
$941
Israel Katz
4%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
$1.7K
Ayelet Shaked
4%
1¢
8¢
$12.99
$632
Yariv Levin
3%
0¢
6¢
$15.87
$173
Yair Golan
3%
0¢
6¢
$15.63
$107
Moshe Arbel
3%
1¢
6¢
$18.18
$938
Meirav Cohen
3%
0¢
6¢
$16.95
$101
Keren Terner Eyal
2%
0¢
4¢
$25.64
$186
Oded Forer
2%
0¢
4¢
$27.03
$101
Avigdor Lieberman
1%
0¢
2¢
$50.00
$156
Eli Cohen
<1%
0¢
1¢
$144
Yoram Cohen
<1%
0¢
1¢
$81
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Israeli Minister of Interior, Yoav Ben-Tzur, Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Eisenkot rules out serving under Netanyahu, even in rotation dealIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 6 days agoYashar party leader Gadi Eisenkot on Wednesday categorically ruled out serving in a government led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, even under a rotating premiership arrangement, pledging to resign within an hour if he broke that…
Where’s Aryeh Deri? Shas campaign quietly pushes its leader asideIsrael National News · 15 days agoIsrael National News Anyone following the Shas Party's campaign in the media may have noticed something rather surprising: The party's Chairman, Aryeh Deri, has all but completely disappeared from the content According to a Channel 16…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
