US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
66%October 22
- October 2266%
- October 2466%
- October 2866%▲ 2
6 more
- October 3166%▲ 3
- November 866%▲ 3
- November 1566%▲ 4
- November 2266%▲ 1
- November 3066%
- December 3166%
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Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
The odds
14%December 31
- October 312%
- December 3114%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
October 31: 3% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 13 | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| March 16 | <1% | 0¢ | ||||
| March 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $616K | |||
| April 30 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $613K | ||
| May 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $456K | ||
| June 19 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $58.7K | ||
| June 26 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $104K | ||
| June 30 | <1% | 0¢ | $655K | |||
| July 15 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $1.2M | ||
| July 31 | <1% | 0¢ | $1.9M | |||
| August 31 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $533K | ||
| September 30 | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $478K | ||
| October 31 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $127K | |
| December 31 | 14% | ▲ 1 | 14¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $774K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei
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Iran reports meeting with Mojtaba Khamenei amid questions over his whereaboutsIran's judiciary reports a meeting between its chief and Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not appeared publicly since March. Iran reports meeting with Mojtaba Khamenei amid questions over his whereabouts -
Tasnim: Ghalibaf Meets with Mojtaba KhameneiThe Tasnim News Agency, affiliated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), reported on Wednesday, October 21, 2026, that Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf met with Mojtaba Khamenei. In a report titled “Parliament… -
Why 'Healthy' Mojtaba Khamenei Can't Appear In Public, Reveals Iran DiplomatJust last week Mojtaba Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, held a 7-8 hour meeting with the country's president, representative of the supreme leader and senior diplomat Abdul Majid Hakeem Elahi told NDTV, clearing the air around the top… -
Mojtaba Khamenei took part in protests? Iranian envoy shares rare details about supreme leader’s whereaboutsAbdul Majid Hakeem Ilahi, the supreme leader’s representative in India, said Mojtaba occasionally steps out of his residence at night, participated in a demonstration organised by the Iranian people and attended his father’s funeral in… -
Mojtaba Khamenei and Qalibaf Meeting Highlights Iran Regime???s War Pressures and Fears of Social UnrestA brief official statement placed the war, military capabilities, internal cohesion, and continued street mobilization at the center of the leadership’s agenda, offering clues to the crises confronting the Iranian regime. A short… -
NUCLEAR WARNING: Netanyahu Says Mojtaba Khamenei Ordered Iran To Advance Bomb WeaponizationPrime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has warned that Mojtaba Khamenei ordered Iran to advance work on the weaponization systems needed for a nuclear bomb, as Tehran moves to protect its nuclear infrastructure underground. In an interview… - ‘Mojtaba Khamenei is healthy, attended father’s funeral', says Iranian diplomatAmid speculation over the health and whereabouts of Mojtaba Khamenei, an Iranian diplomat said on Thursday that the Supreme Leader is “very, very, very healthy” and is on the job. Weeks after reports speculated that Mojtaba didn't attend…
- Iranian Parliament Ghalibaf meets with Supreme Leader Mojtaba KhameneiIranian media report that Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf met with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei.According to the reports, the meeting included "a review of the latest developments in the military, economic, and…
- Mojtaba Khamenei reportedly meets with GhalibafIranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf allegedly met with Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei on Wednesday, according to Iranian state media outlet IRIB. The two reportedly discussed ongoing hostilities with the…
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Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu orders IDF, Mossad to pursue overthrow of Iranian regimeIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Wednesday that he had directed the Israel Defense Forces, Mossad and other security branches to pursue the overthrow of the Iranian regime, calling it the only way to eliminate the nuclear… - Netanyahu says U.S. and Israel must topple Iranian regimeThe Washington Post Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Iran posed an “existential threat” and that President Donald Trump had said he was “ready to finish the job.” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday night…
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Rare meeting between Iran’s supreme leader and judiciary chiefIran’s judiciary announced on Saturday that its chief, Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i, held a rare meeting with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who has not appeared in public since taking office. Mojtaba Khamenei was selected in March to…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions