The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 16
46%
$2.17
100
Above 20
46%
89¢
$1.12
3.0K
Above 84
10%
▼ 7
5¢
14¢
$7.14
1.2K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midtermsFox News · 34 h agoHouse Majority Leader Steve Scalise discusses the fight for the House majority. Scalise encourages people to 'show up and vote' in order for GOP to hold the House. Republicans skeptical of polling data ahead of midterms House Majority…
Republicans Could Still Keep the Senate. Here’s HowNewsweek · 17 h agoOct 26, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Certain preelection forecasts have Democrats riding a blue wave to majorities in both the House and the Senate, but there are a few ways for the GOP to keep its grasp on the upper chamber for the remainder of…
Republicans race to avoid a civil war over Israelsemafor.com · 20 h agoDonald Trump’s wartime alliance with Benjamin Netanyahu is exposing a divide within his party that will outlast his presidency — over what “America First” really means for the US-Israel relationship. Making peace between the GOP’s…
Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midtermsFox News · 37 h agoFox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump rallies supporters for Republican candidates. Trump rallies Republicans in Georgia ahead of midterms Fox News' Madison Scarpino reports from Perry, Georgia, where Trump…
California’s road to recovery runs through D.C. RepublicansPOLITICO · 28 h agoBy Jeremy B. White 05/07/2020 08:44 PM EDT OAKLAND — California has come to a conclusion around its budget in the pandemic era: Only the feds can save us now. Gov. Gavin Newsom and his financial advisers have long warned that the federal…
Trump continues midterm campaign blitz to rally for Republican candidatesCBS News · 17 h agoCBS News Texas is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KTVT and channel 11, CBS News Texas offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Trump continues midterm…
The educational divide could spell trouble for RepublicansCNN · 43 h agoRepublicans tend to run better among voters without a college degree than those with one, which has battered Democrats in recent presidential elections. But that same pattern could give Democrats a potentially decisive boost in next…
President Trump rallies for Michigan Republicans at Port Huron gatheringCBS News · 31 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 5:58 PM EDT / CBS Detroit President Trump is making his case for Republican candidates in Michigan; he spoke at a rally in Port Huron on Sunday ahead of the Nov. 3 midterm elections. During his speech at McMorran Place…
Blanche defends DOJ lawsuit blocking Alaska Senate results if Republican losesNPR · 35 h agoPresident Donald Trump walks past Attorney General Todd Blanche after speaking at a roundtable event in the East Room of the White House, Wednesday, Oct. 21, 2026, in Washington. Alex Brandon/AP hide caption U.S. Attorney General Todd…
GOP Mich. Senate hopeful Mike Rogers dodges whether he’s ‘MAGA Republican’New York Post · 32 h agoGOP Michigan Senate hopeful Mike Rogers on Sunday sidestepped whether he views himself as a “MAGA Republican.” “I get you guys on the national press, but this is a little bit disgusting to me,” Rogers said on NBC News’ “Meet the Press”…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions