Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Polymarket Elections › State & local Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $6 today · $135K traded · $14.2K at stake · prices read 6 min ago

The odds

54%Helen Zille
  • Helen Zille54%▲ 4
  • David Makhura20%▲ 4
  • Frank Chikane8%
  • Herman Mashaba7%
  • Lukhona Mnguni5%
  • Loyiso Masuku3%
  • Kenny Kunene2%
  • Dada Morero<1%

How the odds have moved

Helen Zille: 53% on Oct 20, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETHelen Zille: 53% → 47%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Helen Zille 54% ▲ 4 50¢ 59¢ $1.69 $55.4K
David Makhura 20% ▲ 4 11¢ 29¢ $3.44 $4.5K
Frank Chikane 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.42 $30.8K
Herman Mashaba 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.40 $17.4K
Lukhona Mnguni 5% 1¢ 9¢ $10.75 $1K
Loyiso Masuku 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 $20.8K
Kenny Kunene 2% 1¢ 4¢ $23.81 $3.8K
Dada Morero <1% 0¢ 1¢ $1.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Mayor of Johannesburg, Helen Zille, David Makhura

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  • South Africa Election Body Fights Fake NewsThe Rio Times · 4 days agoSouth Africa’s Electoral Commission (the IEC, the independent body that runs elections) has partnered with Google, Meta, Microsoft, TikTok and Moxii Africa to fight false election content. Reports on the partnership appeared on 20 and 21…
  • 136,790 Run in South Africa Local ElectionThe Rio Times · 27 h agoSouth Africa is about to hand a vote of confidence, or of no confidence, to the parties that run its cities. Our South Africa local elections hub follows every step before the vote on Wednesday, 4 November. The numbers are large: 136,790…
  • South Africa Election Body Denies Party PleaThe Rio Times · 2 days agoSouth Africa’s Electoral Commission (IEC) has rejected a request by the uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party, founded by former president Jacob Zuma, to amend its candidate lists for the 4 November local elections. MK officials had sought to…
  • Helen Zille does it again with petty pothole ploy [video]The South African · 6 days agoHas Helen Zille lost the plot over potholes? Take a look at the 75-year-old’s latest PR ploy in her mayoral campaign… Helen Zille has pulled another PR stunt involving a pothole in her quirky campaign to run for Johannesburg mayor. This…
  • South Africa: Helen Zille is the most popular politician in Joburg. But will she be the mayor?The Africa Report · 7 days agoStreet spinning and drag racing are usually the preserve of South Africa’s petrolheads and township crowds, hardly the typical campaign activities of a 75-year-old former Western Cape premier. But Helen Zille has embraced both in her…
  • Factbox-Battleground metros to watch in South Africa’s municipal electionsfreedom959.net · 34 h agoJOHANNESBURG, Oct 26 (Reuters) – South Africans vote in municipal elections on November 4 amid voter frustration over poor service delivery, unstable local government coalitions and rising costs. Held every five years, the elections will…
  • LGE 2026: Get to know Cape Town mayoral candidatesEWN · 39 h ago26 October 2026 10:38 Katiso ‘KT’ Molefe murder trial postponed to July 2027 26 October 2026 10:25 SAA: 'The math isn't mathing,' says Mmusi Maimane 26 October 2026 10:23 WEATHER: Pretoria to hit 33°C on Tuesday as thunderstorms threaten…
  • LGE 2026: Get to know Cape Town mayoral candiatesEWN · 41 h ago26 October 2026 08:51 Who should be the next James Bond? Three actors are in contention 26 October 2026 08:49 Ramaphosa approves deployment of 510 soldiers to KZN At 34, Geordin Hill-Lewis became Cape Town's youngest-ever mayor in November…
  • Helen Zille outlines plan to fix Johannesburg's finances and water crisisEWN · 7 days ago21 October 2026 08:03 Father of AKA flags possible discrepancies in police docket linked to Anele Tembe's death 21 October 2026 07:55 21 October 2026 07:44 Helen Zille, DA mayoral candidate for Johannesburg, says the city needs a financial…
  • ANC officials to decide Joburg mayoral candidate, not region – MbalulaNews24 · 5 days agoANC secretary-general Fikile Mbalula has reiterated that the party’s national office bearers will decide who becomes its candidate for Johannesburg mayor after the 4 November local government elections, dismissing suggestions that regional…
  • Julius Malema takes swipe at Helen Zille over ‘Gusheshe’ spinningThe South African · 9 days agoHome » News » Elections - Local, National and Municipal » Julius Malema takes swipe at Helen Zille over ‘Gusheshe’ spinning EFF leader Julius Malema has taken a swipe at Democratic Alliance (DA) mayoral candidate Helen Zille after she…
  • Johannesburg, Durban and beyond: The councils where coalitions could get messyEWN · 6 days ago22 October 2026 06:36 Soweto school teacher accused of raping 9-year-old expected to appear in court 22 October 2026 06:21 Sundowns treat Williete SC clash as a final in CAF Champions League battle South Africa heads to the polls on 4…

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