New York City mayoral election winner? (2029)

Kalshi Elections › State & local Closes Nov 6, 2030 · $69 today · $5.9K traded · $4.1K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

86%Zohran Mamdani
  • Zohran Mamdani86%
  • Jessica Tisch7%▲ 4
  • Eric Adams4%
  • Mark Levine1%
  • Brad Lander1%
  • Letitia James1%
  • Curtis Sliwa1%▼ 1
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Bill Ackman1%
  • Dave Portnoy1%
  • Andrew Cuomo<1%
  • Julie Menin<1%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Zohran Mamdani 86% 86¢ 88¢ $1.14 6.1K
Jessica Tisch 7% ▲ 4 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 5.9K
Eric Adams 4% 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.8K
Mark Levine 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 269
Brad Lander 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 364
Letitia James 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 269
Curtis Sliwa 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 75.00
Donald Trump 1% 2¢ $50.00 53.00
Bill Ackman 1% 2¢ $50.00 52.00
Dave Portnoy 1% 2¢ $50.00 52.00
Andrew Cuomo <1% 1¢ $100.00 135
Julie Menin <1% ▼ 1 1¢ $100.00 162

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: New York City, Zohran Mamdani, Jessica Tisch

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.