Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $64 today · $56.2K traded · $8.6K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

The odds

32%Andrew Garfield
  • Andrew Garfield32%▲ 1
  • Paul Giamatti27%▼ 1
  • Guitarricadelafuente10%
  • Steve Buscemi6%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson6%
  • Sam Rockwell5%▼ 2
  • John Leguizamo4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%▲ 1
  • John Goodman2%▼ 1
  • Channing Tatum2%
  • Edward Norton2%
  • Miles Teller1%▼ 1
14 more
  • Tom Holland1%
  • Guy Pearce1%
  • Daniel Craig1%
  • Michael Fassbender1%
  • Riz Ahmed1%
  • Colman Domingo1%▼ 2
  • Robert De Niro1%
  • Himesh Patel1%
  • Adam Scott1%
  • Jeremy Strong1%
  • Skyler Gisondo1%
  • Travis Scott<1%
  • Charles Melton<1%
  • James Ortiz<1%

How the odds have moved

Andrew Garfield: 30% on Oct 20, 32% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Andrew Garfield 32% ▲ 1 32¢ 34¢ $2.94 $4.3K
Paul Giamatti 27% ▼ 1 27¢ 28¢ $3.57 $15K
Guitarricadelafuente 10% 10¢ 11¢ $9.52 $901
Steve Buscemi 6% ▲ 1 3¢ 11¢ $9.43 $185
Robert Pattinson 6% 6¢ 8¢ $13.33 $20.8K
Sam Rockwell 5% ▼ 2 3¢ 8¢ $12.99 $6.6K
John Leguizamo 4% 2¢ 7¢ $14.49 $477
Jesse Plemons 3% ▲ 1 0¢ 8¢ $12.66 $175
John Goodman 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 $1.7K
Channing Tatum 2% 1¢ 3¢ $31.25 $246
Edward Norton 2% 1¢ 3¢ $38.46 $926
Miles Teller 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $40.00 $182
Tom Holland 1% 1¢ 1¢ $90.91 $924
Guy Pearce 1% 1¢ 2¢ $62.50 $714
Daniel Craig 1% 1¢ 2¢ $66.67 $156
Michael Fassbender 1% 1¢ 1¢ $71.43 $292
Riz Ahmed 1% 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $182
Colman Domingo 1% ▼ 2 1¢ 1¢ $76.92 $296
Robert De Niro 1% 0¢ 2¢ $58.82 $154
Himesh Patel 1% 1¢ 1¢ $168
Adam Scott 1% 1¢ 1¢ $181
Jeremy Strong 1% 0¢ 1¢ $158
Skyler Gisondo 1% 0¢ 1¢ $100.00 $60
Travis Scott <1% 0¢ 0¢ $361
Charles Melton <1% 0¢ 0¢ $872
James Ortiz <1% 0¢ 0¢ $176

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor (2027)

27%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti27%▼ 1
  • Andrew Garfield24%
  • Guitarricadelafuente12%▲ 1
  • John Leguizamo11%▲ 1
23 more
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Robert Pattinson5%
  • John Goodman2%
  • Jeremy Strong1%
  • Riz Ahmed1%
  • Edward Norton1%
  • Skyler Gisondo1%
  • Channing Tatum<1%
  • Colman Domingo<1%
  • Charles Melton<1%
  • Miles Teller<1%
  • Jesse Plemons<1%
  • Tom Holland<1%
  • Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)<1%
  • Michael Fassbender<1%
  • Steve Buscemi<1%
  • Daniel Craig<1%
  • Robert De Niro<1%
  • Adam Scott<1%
  • Himesh Patel<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • James Ortiz<1%
  • Guy Pearce<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $71 today · $16.4K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Supporting Actor

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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut76%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything75%▼ 1
  • The Invite62%▲ 1
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  • Fjord36%▼ 1
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  • Michael13%▲ 2
  • Avengers: Doomsday7%
  • Fatherland5%
  • Disclosure Day5%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%▲ 1
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Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

87%The Odyssey
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  • The Black Ball79%▲ 11
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9 more
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  • I Love Boosters53%▲ 2
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Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

86%The Baddest Speechwriter of All
  • The Baddest Speechwriter of All86%▲ 22
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  • Oh Whale53%▲ 9
7 more
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  • The Tuners26%▼ 26
  • A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil24%▼ 1
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Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

88%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway88%
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton74%▼ 1
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto61%▼ 1
  • Amanda Seyfried42%▼ 4
  • Kate O'Flynn41%▲ 1
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  • Mariana di Girolamo28%▼ 1
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  • Parker Posey20%▼ 1
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  • Gemma Chan9%▼ 4
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  • Betty Gilpin6%
  • Isabella Rossellini5%
  • Margaret Qualley5%▲ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

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