Oscar winner: Best Supporting Actor (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $92 today · $14.5K traded · $10.2K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

The odds

29%Andrew Garfield
  • Andrew Garfield29%▲ 1
  • Paul Giamatti20%
  • Guitarricadelafuente13%▲ 1
  • John Leguizamo9%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Robert Pattinson4%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong3%▼ 1
  • John Goodman2%▼ 1
  • Edward Norton2%▼ 1
  • Riz Ahmed1%
  • Skyler Gisondo1%▼ 1
  • Channing Tatum<1%
15 more
  • Colman Domingo<1%
  • Charles Melton<1%
  • Miles Teller<1%
  • Jesse Plemons<1%
  • Tom Holland<1%
  • Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott)<1%
  • Michael Fassbender<1%
  • Steve Buscemi<1%
  • Daniel Craig<1%
  • Robert De Niro<1%
  • Adam Scott<1%
  • Himesh Patel<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • James Ortiz<1%
  • Guy Pearce<1%

How the odds have moved

Andrew Garfield: 29% on Oct 20, 29% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Andrew Garfield 29% ▲ 1 29¢ 32¢ $3.13 12.3K
Paul Giamatti 20% 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 22.4K
Guitarricadelafuente 13% ▲ 1 11¢ 15¢ $6.67 7.9K
John Leguizamo 9% ▼ 1 9¢ 10¢ $10.00 14.8K
Sam Rockwell 6% 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 13.4K
Robert Pattinson 4% ▼ 1 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 23.7K
Jeremy Strong 3% ▼ 1 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 15.4K
John Goodman 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 12.2K
Edward Norton 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 12.6K
Riz Ahmed 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 9.1K
Skyler Gisondo 1% ▼ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 10.9K
Channing Tatum <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.7K
Colman Domingo <1% 1¢ $100.00 4.7K
Charles Melton <1% 1¢ $100.00 700
Miles Teller <1% 1¢ $100.00 5.1K
Jesse Plemons <1% 1¢ $100.00 139
Tom Holland <1% 1¢ $100.00 6.3K
Jacques Berman Webster II (Travis Scott) <1% 1¢ $100.00 156
Michael Fassbender <1% 1¢ $100.00 138
Steve Buscemi <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Daniel Craig <1% 1¢ $100.00 219
Robert De Niro <1% 1¢ $100.00 128
Adam Scott <1% 1¢ $100.00 637
Himesh Patel <1% 1¢ $100.00 505
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 5.3K
James Ortiz <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.8K
Guy Pearce <1% 1¢ $100.00 3.3K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

30%Andrew Garfield
  • Andrew Garfield30%▼ 2
  • Paul Giamatti24%▼ 1
  • Guitarricadelafuente10%▼ 9
  • Robert Pattinson7%
22 more
  • Sam Rockwell4%▼ 1
  • Jesse Plemons4%▲ 1
  • John Leguizamo4%▲ 1
  • Edward Norton2%
  • Miles Teller2%
  • Riz Ahmed2%▼ 1
  • John Goodman1%
  • Guy Pearce1%
  • Daniel Craig1%
  • Tom Holland1%
  • Jeremy Strong1%
  • Michael Fassbender1%
  • Steve Buscemi1%
  • Colman Domingo1%
  • Robert De Niro1%
  • Himesh Patel1%
  • Adam Scott1%
  • Channing Tatum1%
  • James Ortiz1%
  • Skyler Gisondo<1%
  • Travis Scott<1%
  • Charles Melton<1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $785 today · $53.7K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Supporting Actor

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

46%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey46%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball18%
  • You Can See Everything17%▼ 4
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three9%
  • Wild Horse Nine2%
  • Digger1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey97%
  • La Bola Negra95%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine92%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three87%▲ 1
  • The Debut80%▼ 2
  • Project Hail Mary77%▼ 3
  • You Can See Everything71%▲ 2
  • The Invite58%▲ 1
  • Fjord39%
  • All of a Sudden36%
  • Obsession34%
  • I Play Rocky27%▼ 11
  • Elsinore27%▼ 4
  • Behemoth!25%▲ 5
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▲ 2
  • Digger19%▼ 1
  • Michael13%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day8%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%▼ 6
  • Fatherland5%▲ 1
  • The Social Reckoning5%
  • The Drama3%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Nominations

85%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey85%
  • The Black Ball77%
  • Wild Horse Nine62%▲ 3
10 more
  • You Can See Everything55%▲ 16
  • Dune: Part Three47%▼ 1
  • Project Hail Mary39%▲ 5
  • Fjord31%▼ 3
  • Club Kid28%▲ 9
  • The Debut27%▼ 1
  • The Invite26%▲ 5
  • Ink21%
  • Elsinore19%▼ 8
  • Digger14%▼ 1
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

93%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon93%
  • John Malkovich88%
  • Andrew Scott86%
16 more
  • Tom Cruise55%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling45%▲ 3
  • John Turturro43%▲ 1
  • Robert Pattinson43%▼ 1
  • Anthony Ippolito36%▲ 2
  • Pedro Pascal20%▲ 1
  • Sebastian Stan17%
  • Jaafar Jackson17%
  • Timothée Chalamet11%▼ 14
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Sam Rockwell5%
  • Brad Pitt5%
  • Javier Bardem4%
  • Robert Aramayo4%
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong1%▼ 1
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53%Resident Evil Requiem
  • Resident Evil Requiem53%▼ 2
  • Big Walk30%▲ 17
  • 007: First Light12%▼ 2
15 more
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  • Star Wars Zero Company4%▲ 1
  • Saros4%▲ 1
  • Escape from Tarkov4%▲ 1
  • Crimson Desert4%▼ 5
  • Gears of War: E-Day4%
  • Mewgenics4%
  • Pragmata3%▼ 1
  • Fire Emblem: Fortune's Weave2%▼ 2
  • Pokémon Pokopia2%▼ 1
  • LEGO Batman: Legacy of the Dark Knight2%▼ 2
  • Valheim1%▼ 2
  • The Blood of Dawnwalker1%▼ 3
  • Onimusha: Way of the Sword1%
  • Nioh 31%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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