Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $2.7K today · $29.9K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

75%The Baddest Speechwriter of All
  • The Baddest Speechwriter of All75%
  • Oh Whale68%▲ 16
  • One Last Order54%▼ 11
  • Water Cooler52%▲ 7
  • The Tuners52%▲ 15
  • Listen44%▲ 9
  • A Derailment41%
  • We're Fine35%▲ 13
  • A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil33%▲ 12
  • A Wolf in the Suburbs25%▲ 8

How the odds have moved

The Baddest Speechwriter of All: 75% on Oct 20, 75% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
The Baddest Speechwriter of All 75% 54¢ 96¢ $1.04 $120
Oh Whale 68% ▲ 16 54¢ 81¢ $1.23 $4.9K
One Last Order 54% ▼ 11 42¢ 65¢ $1.54 $3.1K
Water Cooler 52% ▲ 7 39¢ 65¢ $1.54 $3.7K
The Tuners 52% ▲ 15 33¢ 70¢ $1.43 $20
Listen 44% ▲ 9 30¢ 57¢ $1.75 $5.6K
A Derailment 41% 25¢ 57¢ $1.75 $1.4K
We're Fine 35% ▲ 13 27¢ 43¢ $2.33 $6.6K
A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil 33% ▲ 12 31¢ 35¢ $2.86 $3.7K
A Wolf in the Suburbs 25% ▲ 8 23¢ 26¢ $3.85 $778

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

50%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey50%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything25%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three7%▲ 2
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine90%▼ 1
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything82%▲ 2
  • The Debut75%▲ 1
  • Project Hail Mary73%▼ 4
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky58%
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession32%▼ 2
  • Elsinore32%▲ 2
  • Wildwood29%▲ 1
  • Digger24%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%
  • Club Kid20%▼ 4
  • Being Heumann19%▲ 2
  • Possible Love17%
  • Behemoth14%▼ 1
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine9%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%▲ 1
  • Minotaur4%
  • The Whisper Man4%▲ 1
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Parallel Tales3%▼ 1
  • Backrooms3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Cry to Heaven2%▼ 1
  • Hope2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew1%▼ 1
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

90%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon90%▼ 1
  • John Malkovich87%▲ 3
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise61%▲ 13
  • Anthony Ippolito50%▲ 4
  • John Turturro46%▼ 2
  • Ryan Gosling45%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson34%▼ 10
  • Sebastian Stan18%▼ 1
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Pedro Pascal17%
  • Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Javier Bardem5%
  • Adam Driver5%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor5%▲ 1
  • Brad Pitt4%
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball
  • The Black Ball96%
  • The Odyssey86%▲ 1
  • Digger70%▲ 8
8 more
  • Project Hail Mary68%▲ 4
  • Dune: Part Three61%▼ 3
  • Sense and Sensibility52%▲ 24
  • Werwulf49%▲ 4
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth42%▲ 22
  • Wuthering Heights20%▲ 5
  • Backrooms18%
  • Wildwood4%▲ 1

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell77%▲ 6
23 more
  • John Leguizamo56%▼ 12
  • Guitarricadelafuente56%▼ 16
  • Edward Norton51%▼ 6
  • Robert Pattinson29%▼ 2
  • Colman Domingo19%▼ 5
  • Riz Ahmed18%
  • Steve Buscemi17%▼ 2
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Miles Teller7%
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Channing Tatum6%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas6%▲ 1
  • Jeremy Strong5%▼ 10
  • Guy Pearce5%▼ 6
  • Himesh Patel5%
  • Adam Scott5%
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 7
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 1
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Tom Holland4%
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

95%Project Hail Mary
  • Project Hail Mary95%▼ 3
  • Dune: Part Three88%▲ 19
  • The Odyssey84%▲ 5
11 more
  • The Black Ball58%▲ 2
  • Werwulf42%▲ 1
  • Whalefall34%
  • The Mosquito Bowl31%▼ 20
  • Behemoth!29%▲ 1
  • Godzilla Minus Zero29%▲ 5
  • The End of Oak Street27%▲ 17
  • Michael23%▼ 4
  • Disclosure Day16%▲ 5
  • Digger12%▲ 5
  • The Debut8%

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