Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $6.4K today · $46K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 22 min ago

The odds

81%The Odyssey

The Odyssey81%▼ 6
The Black Ball80%▲ 8
Dune: Part Three64%▲ 5
Sense and Sensibility64%▲ 6
I Love Boosters52%▲ 2
Werwulf51%▲ 6
The Devil Wears Prada 248%▲ 13
Digger41%▲ 6
Wuthering Heights36%▼ 8
Michael36%▲ 1
Wild Horse Nine19%▲ 3
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth18%▼ 4

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 76% on Oct 20, 81% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
The Odyssey	81%	▼ 6	79¢	83¢	$1.20	$6.2K
The Black Ball	80%	▲ 8	73¢	87¢	$1.14	$2.9K
Dune: Part Three	64%	▲ 5	61¢	66¢	$1.52	$1.5K
Sense and Sensibility	64%	▲ 6	55¢	72¢	$1.39	$2.5K
I Love Boosters	52%	▲ 2	51¢	53¢	$1.89	$5.8K
Werwulf	51%	▲ 6	40¢	61¢	$1.64	$2K
The Devil Wears Prada 2	48%	▲ 13	46¢	50¢	$2.00	$2.2K
Digger	41%	▲ 6	31¢	50¢	$2.00	$7.2K
Wuthering Heights	36%	▼ 8	34¢	38¢	$2.63	$2.6K
Michael	36%	▲ 1	28¢	43¢	$2.33
Wild Horse Nine	19%	▲ 3	17¢	21¢	$4.76	$8.2K
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	18%	▼ 4	17¢	19¢	$5.26	$5.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Costume Design Nominations

Search ›

Grok Says Its AI-Generated Version of The Odyssey Is ‘Not Historically Accurate’WIRED · 21 h agoYou don’t hear the defenders of so-called western civilization talk much about The Odyssey these days. Maybe that’s because their rabid denunciations of Christopher Nolan’s film adaptation of Homer’s epic were buried in an avalanche of…
Elon Musk’s Grok Finally Delivers First Installment of ‘Historically Accurate’ ‘The Odyssey’Rolling Stone · 48 h agoThree months after Elon Musk promised to make a “historically accurate” version of The Odyssey using AI, Grok shared the first installment of its response to Christopher Nolan’s cinematic epic. When Nolan’s take on Homer’s epic poem…
‘The Odyssey’ VFX House DNEG Co-Finances Francesco Lucente’s Fantasy Adventure ‘Sinbad,’ Cappu Films Boards Sales (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 21 h agoDNEG, the visual effects house on Christopher Nolan’s “The Odyssey,” has come aboard Francesco Lucente’s fantasy adventure “Sinbad” as co-financier and producer, with Hong Kong-based Cappu Films handling sales in a wide spread of…
Vera Wang Presents Inaugural Solstiss-Academy Award to Nicole AlsonsoWWD · 23 h agoAlsonso, a student at Instituto Marangoni, won for her creativity and innovative use of Solstiss lace. Vera Wang presented the inaugural Solstiss-Academy Award to Nicole Alsonso, a student at Instituto Marangoni, naming her America’s Top…
Elon Musk’s Anti-Woke AI ‘The Odyssey’ Movie Ripped as “Soulless Slop” After Criticizing NolanThe Hollywood Reporter · 27 h agoThe tech titan's anti-woke Grok-fueled take on 'The Odyssey' gets called "zombie-like." Elon Musk is probably relieved filmmaker Alex Gibney’s highly critical four-hour documentary about the tech titan, Musk, has flopped at the box office…
This Is the Only Horror Movie to Ever Win Best Picture at the Academy Awardsvice · 41 h agoComing to you from around the world, VICE Digital’s team strives to capture the people at the heart of stories, and focus on the ideas, issues, and context that other outlets miss. Get unlimited access to everything VICE has to offer…
WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning ActorWrestling Inc. · 2 days agoFormer World Heavyweight and Undisputed Champion Drew McIntyre says this renowned actor wants to join forces with him in the WWE. WWE's Drew McIntyre Teases On-Screen Partnership With Academy Award Winning Actor Once he comes back, WWE…
The Odyssey sets acting contenders for Oscar campaign – and there’s one big surpriseThe Independent · 9 h agoSix cast members of Nolan’s box office hit are in the running for nominations The Odyssey is looking to follow its box office juggernaut success with awards glory – and its Oscar campaign has suddenly taken shape with the unveiling of the…
Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the WarStanford University · 3 days agoStanford University Film Screening of the 2026 Lithuanian submission for the Academy Awards – How to Divorce During the War Join us for a film screening of Lithuania's submission for the Academy Awards with commentary from Maarja…
India’s Oscar Entry ‘Gondhal’ Unveils Global Trailer (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 21 h ago“Gondhal,” the Marathi-language thriller India has put forward for the international feature Oscar at the 99th Academy Awards, has launched its global trailer as its awards push moves into a new phase. The film is the first feature from…
Elon Musk’s “Historically Accurate” The Odyssey Not Historical, Not Accurate, Not Even The OdysseyConsequence · 25 h agoThe first seven minutes of the Grok Imagine "epic" are "absolute shit," according to people who pay money to use X Incorporating Homer’s first epic poem into retelling The Odyssey is understandable — Nolan did it too, since The Iliad is…
‘Expensive Slop’: Elon Musk’s The Odyssey Gets Roasted as Fans Compare It to Christopher Nolan MovieTV & Streaming News · 28 h agoHome » ‘Expensive Slop’: Elon Musk’s The Odyssey Gets Roasted as Fans Compare It to Christopher Nolan Movie Elon Musk’s AI-generated version of The Odyssey has drawn online criticism for its historical inaccuracies. Musk announced plans…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

47%The Odyssey

The Odyssey47%▲ 1
You Can See Everything24%▼ 4
La Bola Negra12%▼ 1

24 more

Dune: Part Three8%▲ 2
Digger4%▼ 1
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
The Drama<1%
The Invite<1%
The Debut<1%
Behemoth!<1%
Josephine<1%
Tony<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Obsession<1%
I Play Rocky<1%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Clarissa<1%
Saturn Return<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fatherland<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Michael<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
Elsinore<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti92%
Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
Sam Rockwell76%▲ 5

23 more

Guitarricadelafuente68%▼ 4
John Leguizamo63%▼ 4
Edward Norton51%▼ 6
Robert Pattinson29%▼ 1
Steve Buscemi20%▼ 1
Colman Domingo18%▼ 6
Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
John Goodman13%
Skyler Gisondo9%
Antonio Banderas7%▲ 1
James Ortiz7%
Channing Tatum6%
Guy Pearce5%▼ 2
Jeremy Strong5%▼ 8
Himesh Patel5%▼ 1
Adam Scott5%
Miles Teller5%▼ 2
Michael Fassbender4%▲ 1
Charles Melton4%▲ 1
Daniel Craig4%
Tom Holland4%
Jesse Plemons3%
Robert De Niro3%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations

96%Project Hail Mary

Project Hail Mary96%▼ 2
The Odyssey84%▲ 8
Dune: Part Three83%▲ 14

11 more

Werwulf48%▲ 7
Godzilla Minus Zero42%▲ 17
The Black Ball33%▼ 22
Whalefall31%▼ 3
Behemoth!30%▲ 2
The Mosquito Bowl24%▼ 10
Michael23%▼ 2
The End of Oak Street22%▲ 12
Disclosure Day16%▲ 4
Digger14%▲ 4
The Debut9%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

91%Matt Damon

Matt Damon91%▼ 1
John Malkovich87%▲ 1
Andrew Scott85%▼ 1

16 more

Tom Cruise53%▲ 3
John Turturro50%▲ 10
Anthony Ippolito49%▲ 1
Ryan Gosling45%▲ 1
Robert Pattinson29%▼ 6
Sebastian Stan18%▲ 3
Jaafar Jackson18%
Pedro Pascal16%
Timothée Chalamet14%▲ 3
Adam Driver6%▲ 1
Sam Rockwell6%
Josh O'Connor5%▲ 1
Javier Bardem5%
Brad Pitt4%
Robert Aramayo3%
Jeremy Strong2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

97%The Odyssey

The Odyssey97%
La Bola Negra95%
Wild Horse Nine89%▼ 2

19 more

Dune: Part Three85%▼ 2
You Can See Everything79%▲ 2
The Debut76%▼ 1
Project Hail Mary72%▼ 1
The Invite64%▲ 2
I Play Rocky56%▼ 4
All of a Sudden37%
Fjord35%▼ 2
Elsinore33%▲ 1
Obsession31%▲ 1
Digger21%▲ 2
The Adventures of Cliff Booth19%▼ 5
Behemoth!15%▲ 1
Michael11%▼ 2
Avengers: Doomsday4%▼ 1
Disclosure Day4%▼ 1
Fatherland4%
The Drama3%
The Social Reckoning2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations

96%The Black Ball

The Black Ball96%
The Odyssey86%▲ 2
Digger72%▼ 8

8 more

Project Hail Mary68%▲ 2
Dune: Part Three62%▼ 3
Werwulf46%▼ 1
Sense and Sensibility41%▼ 4
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth35%▲ 14
Wuthering Heights20%▼ 1
Backrooms18%
Wildwood4%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$46K

Today$6.4K

This week$27.2K

At stake$2.6K

In the news23 headlines today, 269 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Design when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market w

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions