Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Mar 14, 2027 · $9.7K today · $73.9K traded · $4.4K at stake · prices read 3 min ago

The odds

89%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway89%▲ 1
Penélope Cruz77%
Samantha Morton72%▼ 3
Tao Okamoto63%▲ 2
Amanda Seyfried48%▲ 6
Kate O'Flynn41%▼ 1
Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
Sandra Hüller28%▲ 3
Parker Posey18%▼ 2
Merritt Wever18%
Olivia Colman14%▼ 19
Danielle Deadwyler13%▲ 6

6 more

Gemma Chan9%▲ 1
Betty Gilpin7%▲ 1
Zendaya6%▼ 2
Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
Inde Navarrette1%

How the odds have moved

Anne Hathaway: 90% on Oct 20, 89% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Anne Hathaway	89%	▲ 1	88¢	90¢	$1.11	$8.8K
Penélope Cruz	77%		76¢	77¢	$1.30	$6.1K
Samantha Morton	72%	▼ 3	69¢	74¢	$1.35	$2.5K
Tao Okamoto	63%	▲ 2	60¢	65¢	$1.54	$654
Amanda Seyfried	48%	▲ 6	47¢	49¢	$2.04	$19.6K
Kate O'Flynn	41%	▼ 1	34¢	47¢	$2.13	$2.2K
Mariana di Girolamo	29%	▲ 1	28¢	30¢	$3.33	$1.7K
Sandra Hüller	28%	▲ 3	26¢	29¢	$3.45	$468
Parker Posey	18%	▼ 2	16¢	20¢	$5.00	$13.5K
Merritt Wever	18%		17¢	18¢	$5.56	$2.5K
Olivia Colman	14%	▼ 19	5¢	22¢	$4.55	$2.5K
Danielle Deadwyler	13%	▲ 6	10¢	16¢	$6.13	$2.1K
Gemma Chan	9%	▲ 1	8¢	10¢	$10.00	$1.5K
Betty Gilpin	7%	▲ 1	5¢	10¢	$10.31	$1.7K
Zendaya	6%	▼ 2	5¢	7¢	$14.29	$7.3K
Isabella Rossellini	5%	▼ 1	3¢	7¢	$14.49	$140
Margaret Qualley	4%	▼ 1	1¢	7¢	$15.38	$97
Inde Navarrette	1%		1¢	1¢	$83.33	$486

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress (2027)Kate O'FlynnKalshi 33%Polymarket 41%8 pts apart

Oscar nominees: Best Supporting Actress (2027)

90%Anne Hathaway

Anne Hathaway90%
Penélope Cruz79%
Samantha Morton75%▼ 1
Tao Okamoto63%

15 more

Amanda Seyfried54%▲ 6
Kate O'Flynn33%
Olivia Colman30%▼ 3
Mariana di Girolamo29%▼ 1
Sandra Hüller25%▼ 1
Parker Posey21%▼ 1
Merritt Wever20%
Margaret Qualley6%
Danielle Deadwyler6%
Marion Bailey6%
Gemma Chan5%
Inde Navarrette5%
Betty Gilpin4%
Isabella Rossellini4%
Zendaya2%▼ 1

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Supporting Actress Nominations

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey

The Odyssey49%▲ 5
You Can See Everything28%▼ 1
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%▼ 1
The Black Ball95%▲ 2
Wild Horse Nine91%

50 more

Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
You Can See Everything83%▲ 5
Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
The Debut74%
The Invite64%▲ 2
I Play Rocky57%
Artificial54%▼ 2
All of a Sudden36%▼ 1
Fjord32%▼ 3
Obsession32%▼ 1
Elsinore30%
Wildwood28%▲ 2
Digger23%
Club Kid23%▲ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
Being Heumann18%
Possible Love17%▲ 1
Behemoth14%▼ 1
Michael11%▼ 1
Primetime10%
Josephine8%▲ 2
Ink8%▲ 2
Sense and Sensibility6%▼ 1
Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 2
Saturn Return5%▼ 1
Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
Misty Green4%▲ 1
The Drama4%
Cry to Heaven4%▼ 1
1949 / Fatherland4%
Minotaur4%▼ 1
The Whisper Man4%
Clarissa4%
Disclosure Day3%
Werwulf3%▼ 1
Parallel Tales3%
Rose3%
The Uprising3%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
The Entertainment System Is Down2%
Hope2%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
I Love Boosters2%
Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 3
The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
Jack of Spades2%
Backrooms2%▼ 1
Tony2%
Bucking Fastard2%
The Social Reckoning1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

82%You Can See Everything

You Can See Everything82%▼ 4
NAZA80%▼ 5
Once Upon a Time in Harlem65%▼ 3

7 more

American Doctor63%
14th42%▲ 4
Nuisance Bear38%▲ 1
One in a Million31%▼ 2
Musk29%▲ 3
Tutu23%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▲ 1

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Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

89%La Nieve - The Black Ball

La Nieve - The Black Ball89%▼ 2
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut77%▲ 1
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 12

8 more

By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
When I'm Home - The Odyssey56%▲ 12
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 248%▲ 25
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad36%▼ 2
Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk28%
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!10%▼ 24
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Winner

52%La Nieve - The Black Ball

La Nieve - The Black Ball52%▼ 9
This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut29%▲ 14
I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 514%▼ 1

8 more

Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk2%▼ 4
Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 21%
Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!1%
By Any Means - By Any Means<1%
When I'm Home - The Odyssey<1%
Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn<1%
Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights<1%
How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon

Matt Damon92%▲ 1
John Malkovich87%
Andrew Scott85%

16 more

Tom Cruise62%▲ 12
Anthony Ippolito47%▼ 3
John Turturro46%▲ 2
Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
Robert Pattinson33%▼ 11
Jaafar Jackson18%
Pedro Pascal17%▲ 1
Sebastian Stan16%▼ 3
Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 1
Sam Rockwell6%▼ 1
Javier Bardem5%▲ 1
Adam Driver5%
Brad Pitt4%▲ 1
Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
Robert Aramayo3%
Jeremy Strong2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesMar 14, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$73.9K

Today$9.7K

This week$39.1K

At stake$4.4K

In the news17 headlines today, 300 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET,

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions