Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $11.3K today · $73.5K traded · $47.1K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

85%NAZA
  • NAZA85%
  • You Can See Everything82%▼ 5
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem66%▲ 4
  • American Doctor63%
  • 14th39%
  • Nuisance Bear37%▲ 3
  • One in a Million33%▲ 5
  • Musk26%
  • Tutu23%▼ 2
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%

How the odds have moved

NAZA: 70% on Oct 20, 85% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
NAZA 85% 84¢ 85¢ $1.18 6.1K
You Can See Everything 82% ▼ 5 81¢ 82¢ $1.22 78.0K
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 66% ▲ 4 65¢ 67¢ $1.49 2.4K
American Doctor 63% 62¢ 64¢ $1.56 1.1K
14th 39% 34¢ 43¢ $2.33 732
Nuisance Bear 37% ▲ 3 34¢ 40¢ $2.50 2.2K
One in a Million 33% ▲ 5 29¢ 37¢ $2.70 1.9K
Musk 26% 22¢ 30¢ $3.33 2.1K
Tutu 23% ▼ 2 19¢ 27¢ $3.70 415
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 20% 17¢ 23¢ $4.35 401

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations

86%NAZA
  • NAZA86%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything85%▼ 3
  • American Doctor64%▲ 1
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem61%▼ 2
6 more
  • 14th41%▼ 3
  • One in a Million37%▲ 8
  • Nuisance Bear35%▲ 1
  • Musk31%▲ 4
  • Tutu24%▲ 4
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party23%▲ 3
PolymarketCloses Mar 14, 2027 · $3.1K today · $39.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything28%▼ 3
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 12
  • Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2
  • The Black Ball66%▼ 4
9 more
  • Sense and Sensibility57%▼ 5
  • Werwulf51%▲ 3
  • I Love Boosters50%▼ 2
  • Wuthering Heights46%▲ 13
  • The Devil Wears Prada 241%▲ 1
  • Michael38%▲ 3
  • Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 8
  • Digger26%▲ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%
  • La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
  • Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1
19 more
  • Dune: Part Three88%
  • Project Hail Mary77%
  • The Debut76%▼ 1
  • You Can See Everything75%▼ 1
  • The Invite62%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky58%▲ 2
  • All of a Sudden38%▼ 1
  • Fjord36%▲ 2
  • Obsession31%▼ 1
  • Elsinore30%▲ 4
  • The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▼ 1
  • Digger19%
  • Behemoth!14%▼ 3
  • Michael13%▲ 2
  • Avengers: Doomsday6%▼ 1
  • Disclosure Day5%▲ 1
  • Fatherland4%
  • The Drama3%
  • The Social Reckoning2%▲ 1

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan97%
  • Javier Calvo89%
  • Martin McDonagh70%▼ 1
24 more
  • Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
  • Denis Villeneuve56%▼ 1
  • Olivia Wilde52%▲ 1
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%
  • Cristian Mungiu28%
  • Jesse Eisenberg24%▲ 1
  • Phil Lord12%▲ 1
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu12%
  • Curry Barker10%▲ 1
  • Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
  • David Fincher9%▲ 2
  • Paweł Pawlikowski8%
  • Tony Gilroy8%
  • Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh5%▼ 8
  • Andrew Haigh5%
  • Joel Coen5%
  • Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
  • Na Hong-jin4%▼ 1
  • Greta Gerwig4%
  • Beth de Araujo4%
  • Danny Boyle3%
  • Janus Metz Pedersen3%
  • James Ashcroft2%

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

75%The Baddest Speechwriter of All
  • The Baddest Speechwriter of All75%
  • Water Cooler69%▲ 42
  • One Last Order56%
7 more
  • A Derailment54%▲ 13
  • Oh Whale49%▼ 24
  • Listen39%▼ 2
  • The Tuners32%▼ 8
  • A Wolf in the Suburbs28%▲ 5
  • We're Fine25%▼ 20
  • A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil24%▲ 8

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