KalshiCulture › AwardsCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $2.4K today · $59.5K traded · $30.8K at stake · prices read 15 min ago
The odds
97%Christopher Nolan
Christopher Nolan97%
Javier Calvo89%
Greta Gerwig85%▲ 81
Martin McDonagh71%▼ 6
Nathan Fielder65%▼ 1
Denis Villeneuve62%▲ 5
Olivia Wilde49%▼ 3
Ryusuke Hamaguchi38%▲ 5
Paweł Pawlikowski33%▲ 25
David Fincher28%▲ 22
Cristian Mungiu28%
Jesse Eisenberg24%▲ 1
15 more
Alejandro González Iñárritu18%▲ 7
Phil Lord12%▲ 2
Curry Barker11%▲ 2
Christopher Miller11%▲ 2
Steven Spielberg7%▲ 1
Mike Leigh5%▼ 8
Joel Coen5%
Na Hong-jin4%
Beth de Araujo4%
Danny Boyle3%
Janus Metz Pedersen3%
Tony Gilroy3%▼ 5
Ben Affleck3%
James Ashcroft2%
Andrew Haigh1%▼ 4
How the odds have moved
Christopher Nolan: 95% on Oct 20, 97% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Christopher Nolan
97%
95¢
99¢
$1.01
12.3K
Javier Calvo
89%
87¢
90¢
$1.11
3.3K
Greta Gerwig
85%
▲ 81
87¢
$1.15
2.4K
Martin McDonagh
71%
▼ 6
69¢
72¢
$1.39
12.1K
Nathan Fielder
65%
▼ 1
64¢
65¢
$1.54
16.1K
Denis Villeneuve
62%
▲ 5
57¢
67¢
$1.49
11.8K
Olivia Wilde
49%
▼ 3
46¢
52¢
$1.92
13.6K
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
38%
▲ 5
29¢
59¢
$1.69
2.6K
Paweł Pawlikowski
33%
▲ 25
5¢
33¢
$3.03
1.3K
David Fincher
28%
▲ 22
10¢
26¢
$3.85
3.4K
Cristian Mungiu
28%
27¢
29¢
$3.45
4.7K
Jesse Eisenberg
24%
▲ 1
23¢
24¢
$4.17
6.6K
Alejandro González Iñárritu
18%
▲ 7
14¢
22¢
$4.55
10.2K
Phil Lord
12%
▲ 2
9¢
15¢
$6.67
3.6K
Curry Barker
11%
▲ 2
10¢
12¢
$8.33
8.6K
Christopher Miller
11%
▲ 2
8¢
13¢
$7.69
2.1K
Steven Spielberg
7%
▲ 1
6¢
8¢
$12.50
8.4K
Mike Leigh
5%
▼ 8
6¢
52¢
$1.92
1.2K
Joel Coen
5%
3¢
6¢
$16.67
2.7K
Na Hong-jin
4%
2¢
6¢
$16.67
2.0K
Beth de Araujo
4%
7¢
$14.29
405
Danny Boyle
3%
6¢
$16.67
2.2K
Janus Metz Pedersen
3%
1¢
5¢
$20.00
22.00
Tony Gilroy
3%
▼ 5
3¢
32¢
$3.13
1.8K
Ben Affleck
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
131
James Ashcroft
2%
1¢
3¢
$33.33
27.00
Andrew Haigh
1%
▼ 4
1¢
14¢
$7.14
23.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions