Oscar nominees: Best Cinematography (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $672 today · $13.5K traded · $6K at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

93%The Odyssey

The Odyssey93%▼ 2
Dune: Part Three78%▼ 10
Project Hail Mary62%
1949 / Fatherland47%▼ 2
Digger41%▲ 10
Werwulf40%▲ 1
Obsession16%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%
The Whisper Man13%▲ 1
Josephine9%

How the odds have moved

The Odyssey: 94% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
The Odyssey	93%	▼ 2	91¢	95¢	$1.05	1.6K
Dune: Part Three	78%	▼ 10	76¢	80¢	$1.25	2.4K
Project Hail Mary	62%		59¢	64¢	$1.56	5.0K
1949 / Fatherland	47%	▼ 2	44¢	49¢	$2.04	3.0K
Digger	41%	▲ 10	38¢	44¢	$2.27	6.8K
Werwulf	40%	▲ 1	37¢	42¢	$2.38	2.3K
Obsession	16%	▼ 1	11¢	20¢	$5.00	1.6K
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	14%		12¢	17¢	$5.88	2.1K
The Whisper Man	13%	▲ 1	11¢	14¢	$7.14	10.2K
Josephine	9%		5¢	13¢	$7.69	595

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscar nominees: Best Cinematography (2027)WerwulfKalshi 40%Polymarket 35%5 pts apart

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

94%The Odyssey

The Odyssey94%
Dune: Part Three76%▼ 8
Project Hail Mary64%▲ 1
Digger46%▲ 16

5 more

Fatherland45%
Werwulf35%▼ 13
Obsession17%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
Josephine10%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Cinematography

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey

The Odyssey48%▲ 4
You Can See Everything27%▼ 4
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

85%NAZA

NAZA85%
You Can See Everything82%▼ 5
Once Upon a Time in Harlem67%▲ 4

7 more

American Doctor63%
14th39%
Nuisance Bear36%▲ 2
One in a Million33%▲ 5
Musk26%
Tutu23%▼ 1
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey

The Odyssey90%▲ 12
Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2
The Black Ball72%▲ 1

9 more

Sense and Sensibility60%▼ 3
I Love Boosters50%▼ 3
Werwulf50%▲ 1
Wuthering Heights46%▲ 13
The Devil Wears Prada 241%
Michael38%▲ 2
Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 8
Digger26%▲ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%
La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1

19 more

Dune: Part Three88%
Project Hail Mary77%
The Debut76%▼ 1
You Can See Everything75%▼ 1
The Invite62%▲ 2
I Play Rocky57%▲ 2
All of a Sudden38%▼ 1
Fjord37%▲ 3
Obsession31%▼ 1
Elsinore30%▲ 3
The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▼ 1
Digger19%
Behemoth!14%▼ 3
Michael13%▲ 2
Avengers: Doomsday6%▼ 1
Disclosure Day5%▲ 1
Fatherland5%
The Drama3%
The Social Reckoning2%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan

Christopher Nolan97%
Javier Calvo89%
Martin McDonagh70%▼ 1

24 more

Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 1
Olivia Wilde52%▲ 1
Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%
Cristian Mungiu28%
Jesse Eisenberg24%▲ 1
Phil Lord12%▲ 1
Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 1
Curry Barker10%
Christopher Miller9%▲ 1
David Fincher9%▲ 2
Paweł Pawlikowski8%
Tony Gilroy8%
Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
Mike Leigh5%▼ 8
Andrew Haigh5%
Joel Coen5%
Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
Na Hong-jin4%▼ 1
Greta Gerwig4%
Beth de Araujo4%
Danny Boyle3%
Janus Metz Pedersen3%
James Ashcroft2%

Culture › Awards

Streamer Awards: Best Content Group (Best Content Group | 2026)

54%Clooless

Clooless54%▲ 54
Core37%▲ 6
AMP7%▼ 29

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QSMP6%▼ 12
f.uslie, s.queex, l.udwig, r.ae3%▼ 7
Tie<1%▼ 2

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onAcademy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$13.5K (35,726 contracts)

Today$672

This week$3.9K

At stake$6K

In the news13 headlines today, 314 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth has been nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions