Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $953 today · $58K traded · $46.3K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

77%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything77%
  • NAZA18%
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem5%▲ 1
  • Musk2%▲ 2
  • American Doctor2%▲ 2
  • Nuisance Bear<1%
  • One in a Million<1%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party<1%
  • Tutu<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 14th<1%

How the odds have moved

You Can See Everything: 78% on Oct 20, 77% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
You Can See Everything 77% 77¢ 78¢ $1.28 71.5K
NAZA 18% 18¢ 19¢ $5.26 10.1K
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 5% ▲ 1 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 9.7K
Musk 2% ▲ 2 4¢ $25.00 1.9K
American Doctor 2% ▲ 2 4¢ $25.00 6.1K
Nuisance Bear <1% 1¢ $100.00 738
One in a Million <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.3K
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party <1% 1¢ $100.00 12.00
Tutu <1% 1¢ $100.00 181
Tie <1% 1¢ $100.00 1.6K
14th <1% 1¢ $100.00 469

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner

71%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything71%
  • NAZA20%
  • American Doctor3%▲ 1
  • Nuisance Bear3%▲ 1
5 more
  • One in a Million2%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party2%
  • Tutu2%
  • Musk1%
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem1%
PolymarketCloses Jun 30, 2027 · $389 today · $45K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film

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Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

48%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey48%▲ 4
  • You Can See Everything27%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

99%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey99%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball95%
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three83%
  • You Can See Everything80%
  • Project Hail Mary76%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite62%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky57%
  • Artificial56%▲ 1
  • All of a Sudden37%
  • Fjord35%
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%▲ 2
  • Wildwood26%▼ 3
  • Digger23%
  • Club Kid22%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%▼ 1
  • Being Heumann18%▲ 1
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael12%
  • Primetime10%
  • Ink8%▲ 2
  • Josephine6%
  • Sense and Sensibility6%
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother6%▼ 1
  • Saturn Return5%
  • Minotaur4%
  • Misty Green4%▲ 1
  • The Drama4%
  • Paper Tiger4%
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%▲ 1
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 3
  • Avengers: Doomsday3%▼ 1
  • Cry to Heaven3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • 1949 / Fatherland3%▼ 1
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Death of Robin Hood3%
  • Backrooms3%▲ 1
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%▲ 1
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%
Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Director (2027)

97%Christopher Nolan
  • Christopher Nolan97%
  • Javier Calvo89%
  • Martin McDonagh71%▲ 1
24 more
  • Nathan Fielder65%▲ 1
  • Denis Villeneuve58%▲ 2
  • Olivia Wilde51%▲ 1
  • Ryusuke Hamaguchi33%▲ 1
  • Cristian Mungiu28%
  • Jesse Eisenberg24%
  • Phil Lord12%
  • Alejandro González Iñárritu12%▲ 2
  • Curry Barker10%
  • Christopher Miller10%▲ 1
  • David Fincher9%▲ 2
  • Paweł Pawlikowski8%▲ 1
  • Tony Gilroy8%▲ 1
  • Steven Spielberg6%▼ 1
  • Mike Leigh5%▼ 6
  • Andrew Haigh5%
  • Joel Coen5%
  • Ben Affleck5%▲ 2
  • Na Hong-jin4%
  • Greta Gerwig4%
  • Beth de Araujo4%
  • Danny Boyle3%
  • Janus Metz Pedersen3%
  • James Ashcroft2%
Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

90%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey90%▲ 13
  • Dune: Part Three74%▲ 2
  • Sense and Sensibility65%▲ 6
9 more
  • The Black Ball64%▼ 6
  • I Love Boosters50%▼ 3
  • Werwulf49%▲ 3
  • Wuthering Heights44%▲ 11
  • Michael40%▲ 3
  • The Devil Wears Prada 235%▼ 6
  • Digger29%▲ 6
  • Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 6
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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