Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $1.7K today · $46.5K traded · $6.4K at stake · prices read 2 min ago

The odds

72%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything72%▼ 2
  • NAZA14%▼ 6
  • Nuisance Bear4%▲ 1
  • American Doctor3%
  • One in a Million2%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party2%
  • Tutu1%
  • Musk1%
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem1%

How the odds have moved

You Can See Everything: 72% on Oct 20, 72% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
You Can See Everything 72% ▼ 2 70¢ 73¢ $1.37 $9.8K
NAZA 14% ▼ 6 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 $4.3K
Nuisance Bear 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $15.15 $9.2K
American Doctor 3% 1¢ 6¢ $17.24 $12.2K
One in a Million 2% 0¢ 4¢ $25.64 $5.1K
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party 2% 1¢ 3¢ $40.00 $198
Tutu 1% 0¢ 2¢ $45.45 $850
Musk 1% 0¢ 2¢ $52.63 $171
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 1% 0¢ 1¢ $83.33 $4.8K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

76%You Can See Everything
  • You Can See Everything76%▼ 2
  • NAZA20%▲ 2
  • Once Upon a Time in Harlem5%▲ 1
  • Musk2%
7 more
  • American Doctor1%▼ 1
  • Nuisance Bear<1%
  • One in a Million<1%
  • Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party<1%
  • Tutu<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 14th<1%
KalshiCloses Dec 31, 2027 · $1.2K today · $58.6K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Oscars, Academy Awards, Best Documentary Feature Film

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Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

49%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey49%▲ 2
  • You Can See Everything28%▲ 1
  • The Black Ball13%
38 more
  • Dune: Part Three5%▼ 1
  • Digger1%
  • Wild Horse Nine1%
  • Artificial1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • Disclosure Day<1%
  • Fjord<1%
  • The Social Reckoning<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
  • Werwulf<1%
  • Behemoth<1%
  • Josephine<1%
  • Sense and Sensibility<1%
  • I Love Boosters<1%
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
  • Avengers: Doomsday<1%
  • The Death of Robin Hood<1%
  • The Drama<1%
  • Ink<1%
  • All of a Sudden<1%
  • Cry to Heaven<1%
  • Tie<1%
  • 1949 / Fatherland<1%
  • Paper Tiger<1%
  • Hope<1%
  • Minotaur<1%
  • Parallel Tales<1%
  • Jack of Spades<1%
  • Obsession<1%
  • The Debut<1%
  • Elsinore<1%
  • The Invite<1%
  • Club Kid<1%
  • Being Heumann<1%
  • Primetime<1%
  • Tender Loving Care<1%

Oscar nominees: Best Picture (2027)

98%The Odyssey
  • The Odyssey98%▼ 1
  • The Black Ball95%▲ 2
  • Wild Horse Nine91%
50 more
  • Dune: Part Three84%▲ 1
  • You Can See Everything83%▲ 5
  • Project Hail Mary75%▼ 1
  • The Debut74%
  • The Invite64%▲ 2
  • I Play Rocky56%▼ 2
  • Artificial54%▼ 1
  • All of a Sudden37%▼ 1
  • Fjord34%▼ 1
  • Obsession34%▲ 1
  • Elsinore30%
  • Wildwood28%▲ 3
  • Digger23%▼ 1
  • The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth20%▼ 2
  • Club Kid20%▼ 4
  • Being Heumann18%
  • Possible Love17%▲ 1
  • Behemoth16%
  • Michael11%▼ 1
  • Primetime10%
  • Josephine8%▲ 2
  • Ink8%
  • Sense and Sensibility5%▼ 1
  • Your Mother Your Mother Your Mother5%▼ 2
  • Saturn Return5%▼ 1
  • Paper Tiger5%▲ 1
  • Misty Green4%
  • The Drama4%
  • Cry to Heaven4%▼ 1
  • 1949 / Fatherland4%
  • Minotaur4%▼ 1
  • The Whisper Man4%
  • Clarissa4%
  • Disclosure Day3%
  • Werwulf3%▼ 1
  • Parallel Tales3%
  • Rose3%
  • The Uprising3%
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day3%
  • The Entertainment System Is Down2%
  • Hope2%
  • Narnia: The Magician's Nephew2%
  • I Love Boosters2%
  • Avengers: Doomsday2%▼ 1
  • The Death of Robin Hood2%▼ 1
  • Jack of Spades2%
  • Backrooms2%▼ 1
  • Tony2%
  • Bucking Fastard2%
  • The Social Reckoning1%

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations

88%La Nieve - The Black Ball
  • La Nieve - The Black Ball88%▼ 2
  • This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut75%
  • I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 568%▼ 12
8 more
  • By Any Means - By Any Means66%▼ 1
  • When I'm Home - The Odyssey51%▲ 7
  • Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk50%▲ 23
  • Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 243%▲ 20
  • How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad34%▼ 3
  • Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth!11%▼ 25
  • Too Much to Ask - Ray Gunn6%▲ 6
  • Chains of Love - Wuthering Heights2%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

89%Anne Hathaway
  • Anne Hathaway89%
  • Penélope Cruz77%
  • Samantha Morton71%▼ 5
15 more
  • Tao Okamoto62%▼ 2
  • Amanda Seyfried48%▲ 5
  • Kate O'Flynn39%▲ 3
  • Mariana di Girolamo29%▲ 1
  • Sandra Hüller28%▲ 3
  • Olivia Colman23%▼ 10
  • Merritt Wever18%
  • Parker Posey17%▼ 5
  • Gemma Chan15%▲ 5
  • Danielle Deadwyler13%▲ 6
  • Betty Gilpin7%▲ 1
  • Zendaya6%▼ 2
  • Isabella Rossellini5%▼ 1
  • Margaret Qualley4%▼ 1
  • Inde Navarrette1%

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

92%Paul Giamatti
  • Paul Giamatti92%
  • Andrew Garfield78%▼ 1
  • Sam Rockwell75%▲ 8
23 more
  • John Leguizamo66%▲ 2
  • Guitarricadelafuente54%▼ 18
  • Edward Norton50%▼ 14
  • Robert Pattinson30%
  • Steve Buscemi19%▼ 2
  • Riz Ahmed18%▼ 1
  • Colman Domingo17%▼ 6
  • John Goodman13%
  • Skyler Gisondo9%
  • Jeremy Strong8%▼ 2
  • James Ortiz7%
  • Guy Pearce6%▲ 1
  • Channing Tatum6%▲ 1
  • Antonio Banderas6%
  • Miles Teller6%
  • Himesh Patel5%▲ 1
  • Adam Scott5%▼ 1
  • Charles Melton4%▲ 2
  • Daniel Craig4%
  • Michael Fassbender4%▼ 4
  • Jesse Plemons3%
  • Tom Holland3%
  • Robert De Niro3%

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

92%Matt Damon
  • Matt Damon92%▲ 1
  • John Malkovich86%▲ 1
  • Andrew Scott85%▼ 1
16 more
  • Tom Cruise60%▲ 10
  • Anthony Ippolito48%
  • John Turturro46%▼ 1
  • Ryan Gosling44%▼ 1
  • Robert Pattinson35%▼ 9
  • Jaafar Jackson18%
  • Sebastian Stan17%▼ 2
  • Pedro Pascal16%
  • Timothée Chalamet12%▲ 2
  • Sam Rockwell6%
  • Adam Driver5%
  • Brad Pitt4%▼ 1
  • Josh O'Connor4%▼ 1
  • Javier Bardem4%▼ 1
  • Robert Aramayo2%▼ 1
  • Jeremy Strong2%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions