US Presidential Election Winner 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Jan 31, 2029 · $4.5K today · $4.5K traded · prices read 10 h ago

The odds

22%JD Vance
  • JD Vance22%
  • Marco Rubio10%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9%
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Mark Kelly5%
  • Pete Buttigieg4%
  • Josh Shapiro4%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • Ro Khanna3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
11 more
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • Wes Moore3%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
  • Tim Walz3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%

How the odds have moved

Not enough history yet.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
JD Vance 22% 22¢ 25¢ $4.00 660
Marco Rubio 10% 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 232
Jon Ossoff 10% 9¢ 14¢ $7.14 339
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9% 9¢ 12¢ $8.33 332
Kamala Harris 6% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 148
Mark Kelly 5% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 120
Pete Buttigieg 4% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50
Josh Shapiro 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Ron DeSantis 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 116
Ro Khanna 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 614
Nikki Haley 3% 6¢ $16.67
Gretchen Whitmer 3% 6¢ $16.67
Glenn Youngkin 3% 6¢ $16.67
Wes Moore 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 254
JB Pritzker 3% 6¢ $16.67
Tulsi Gabbard 3% 6¢ $16.67
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 6¢ $16.67 62.00
Tim Walz 3% 6¢ $16.67 250
Andy Beshear 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 720
Ted Cruz 2% 97¢ $1.03
Brian Kemp 2% 99¢ $1.01 120
Cory Booker 1% 83¢ $1.20 250
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1% 69¢ $1.45 300

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on ForecastEx

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Kalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

21%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance21%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom12%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
  • Marco Rubio10%
28 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • Donald J. Trump3%
  • Mark Kelly3%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Jamie Dimon1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.1%
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Hunter Biden1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2029 · $13.8K today · $3.8M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
  • Gavin Newsom9%
50 more
  • Marco Rubio8%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Ron DeSantis3%▲ 1
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • James Talarico1%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $315K today · $718M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: JD Vance, Jon Ossoff, Marco Rubio

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Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Gavin Newsom
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15%
  • Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro5%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%▲ 1
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%▼ 1
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.