Who will Trump nominate as U.S. Ambassador to Greece?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $168 traded · $93 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

22%Gus Bilirakis
  • Gus Bilirakis22%
  • John Catsimatidis7%
  • John Georges7%
  • Nicole Malliotakis6%
  • Dean Spanos6%
  • Geoffrey Pyatt6%
  • Josh Huck5%
  • Michael Psaros5%
  • Debbie Matenopoulos5%

How the odds have moved

Gus Bilirakis: 12% on Oct 20, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Gus Bilirakis 22% 17¢ 26¢ $3.85 110
John Catsimatidis 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 474
John Georges 7% 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 112
Nicole Malliotakis 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 646
Dean Spanos 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 229
Geoffrey Pyatt 6% 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 224
Josh Huck 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 230
Michael Psaros 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 230
Debbie Matenopoulos 5% 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 286

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: U.S. Ambassador, Greece, Gus Bilirakis

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Who will be arrested before 2027?

22%James Comey
  • James Comey22%▲ 16
  • John Brennan21%▼ 1
  • Mahmoud Khalil21%▲ 4
21 more
  • Lee Jun-seok13%▲ 3
  • Anthony Fauci8%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan8%▼ 1
  • Candace Owens6%▲ 1
  • Lisa Cook6%▲ 1
  • Susan Rice6%▼ 1
  • Letitia James5%▲ 1
  • Hillary Clinton5%▲ 4
  • James Clapper5%▼ 1
  • Pam Bondi5%▼ 1
  • Adam Schiff5%▲ 1
  • Benjamin Netanyahu4%
  • José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero4%
  • Brandon Johnson4%▼ 1
  • Gavin Newsom3%
  • Kash Patel2%
  • Loretta Lynch2%
  • Bill Clinton2%
  • John Kerry2%
  • Barack Obama2%
  • Joe Biden1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions