María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Who will be arrested before 2027?
The odds
23%John Brennan
- John Brennan23%▲ 2
- Mahmoud Khalil19%▲ 1
- Lee Jun-seok11%▼ 2
- Tom Homan7%▼ 5
- Anthony Fauci7%
- James Comey6%▲ 2
- Susan Rice6%▼ 1
- Candace Owens5%
- Pam Bondi5%
- James Clapper5%▼ 2
- Lisa Cook5%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero5%▲ 1
12 more
- Letitia James5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu4%
- Brandon Johnson4%▼ 2
- Adam Schiff4%
- Gavin Newsom3%
- Kash Patel2%
- Loretta Lynch2%
- Barack Obama2%
- Bill Clinton2%
- Hillary Clinton2%
- John Kerry1%
- Joe Biden1%
How the odds have moved
John Brennan: 21% on Oct 20, 23% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Brennan | 23% | ▲ 2 | 20¢ | 25¢ | $4.00 | $34.4K |
| Mahmoud Khalil | 19% | ▲ 1 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $4.3K |
| Lee Jun-seok | 11% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | $1.3K |
| Tom Homan | 7% | ▼ 5 | 6¢ | 8¢ | $12.20 | $50.5K |
| Anthony Fauci | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | $13.70 | $199K | |
| James Comey | 6% | ▲ 2 | 5¢ | 8¢ | $13.33 | $22.1K |
| Susan Rice | 6% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | $2.3K |
| Candace Owens | 5% | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | $342 | |
| Pam Bondi | 5% | 4¢ | 7¢ | $15.15 | $3.6K | |
| James Clapper | 5% | ▼ 2 | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | $9.8K |
| Lisa Cook | 5% | 4¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $4.5K | |
| José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero | 5% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 5¢ | $21.28 | $31.6K |
| Letitia James | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.41 | $6.7K | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 4% | 4¢ | 4¢ | $23.26 | $5.2K | |
| Brandon Johnson | 4% | ▼ 2 | 3¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | $3.8K |
| Adam Schiff | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.64 | $19K | |
| Gavin Newsom | 3% | 2¢ | 4¢ | $28.57 | $42.8K | |
| Kash Patel | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $40.00 | $727 | |
| Loretta Lynch | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $35.71 | $4.8K | |
| Barack Obama | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $47.62 | $31.1K | |
| Bill Clinton | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $55.56 | $4.4K | |
| Hillary Clinton | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $52.63 | $36.6K | |
| John Kerry | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $62.50 | $523 | |
| Joe Biden | 1% | 1¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $9.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: John Brennan, Mahmoud Khalil, Lee Jun-seok
Search ›-
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to hear deportation caseWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to let him keep fighting his detentionBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The former Columbia… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks US supreme court to review his deportation caseA ruling against Khalil could impact the rights of immigrants to challenge their detention in federal court “This fight is not only about whether I get to stay in this country, it’s really about whether anyone in this country can speak out… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to review detention orderTop Women in Law Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to review detention order Julian Mark and Susan Svrluga, The Washington Post//October 20, 2026// Mahmoud Khalil, the former Columbia University graduate student and activist who has been… -
Mahmoud Khalil asks Supreme Court to stop immigration detentionsFrance pledges new curfews after protests and unrests Alberta separatists lose referendum vote on leaving Canada How settler violence is devastating the West Bank olive harvest Egypt: Will Sisi really step down in 2030? Why Mahmoud Abbas… -
Mahmoud Khalil Asks SCOTUS to Step In on Immigration DetentionsPalestinian activist Mahmoud Khalil asked the Supreme Court on Monday to let federal judges quickly determine the legality of immigration-related detentions so that people cannot... Mahmoud Khalil Asks SCOTUS to Step In on Immigration… -
Mahmoud Khalil appeals his case to the Supreme CourtMS NOW Mahmoud Khalil appeals his case to the Supreme Court ‘Openly aiding the Kremlin’: Rep. Joe Neguse slams Trump’s ‘betrayal’ of Ukraine 3,000+ “No Kings” rallies expected nationwide ‘Most corrupt administration in American history’: A… -
Mahmoud Khalil petitions Supreme Court to block deportationAnti-Israel Columbia protest leaders Mahmoud Khalil takes deportation fight to the Supreme Court. By David Rosenberg, World Israel News Khalil, an Algerian citizen and US green-card holder, is challenging a January decision by the Third… -
Palestinian Activist Mahmoud Khalil Appeals to the Supreme CourtPalestinian activist and Columbia University graduate Mahmoud Khalil asked the U.S. Supreme Court Monday to overturn a ruling that enabled the Trump administration to rearrest and deport him. Khalil is a legal U.S. permanent resident who… -
Mahmoud Khalil Asks Supreme Court to Hear Challenge to Detention RulingColumbia University graduate and pro-Palestinian activist Mahmoud Khalil, whose arrest in 2025 garnered national headlines, asked the Supreme Court to prevent the Trump administration from re-arresting and deporting him under an existing… -
Mahmoud Khalil Appeals to Halt Deportation“Mahmoud Khalil, the Columbia University graduate arrested last year by Immigration and Customs Enforcement agents amid campus protests, appealed to the Supreme Court on Monday in an attempt to prevent his deportation,” the New York Times… -
Mahmoud Khalil Appeals to Supreme Court to Block DeportationMahmoud Khalil, a former Columbia University graduate student and pro-Palestinian activist, has asked the U.S. Supreme Court to stop the Trump administration from deporting him and allow his constitutional claims to be heard in federal…
Related markets
All trump administration ›Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
3%chance
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
27%chance▲ 5
Trump out as President before 2027?
5%chance
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
2%chance
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
98%chance
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions