Critics Choice Awards: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television (2027)

Kalshi Culture › Awards Closes Jan 3, 2028 · $421 traded · $408 at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

40%Oscar Isaac

Oscar Isaac40%
Riz Ahmed16%
Javier Bardem4%
Christopher Abbott4%
Jamie Bell3%
Paul Anthony Kelly3%
Jon Bernthal3%
Sam Worthington3%
James Nesbitt3%
Leo Woodall3%
Patrick Wilson3%
David Tennant3%

4 more

Michael Sheen3%
John Krasinski3%
Avan Jogia3%
Tie2%

How the odds have moved

Oscar Isaac: 35% on Oct 19, 40% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Oscar Isaac	40%	40¢	43¢	$2.33	801
Riz Ahmed	16%	13¢	22¢	$4.55
Javier Bardem	4%	1¢	7¢	$14.29	1.1K
Christopher Abbott	4%	1¢	7¢	$14.29	1.1K
Jamie Bell	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Paul Anthony Kelly	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Jon Bernthal	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	5.00
Sam Worthington	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
James Nesbitt	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Leo Woodall	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Patrick Wilson	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
David Tennant	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	47.00
Michael Sheen	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
John Krasinski	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67	47.00
Avan Jogia	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Tie	2%	1¢	4¢	$25.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Critics Choice Awards, Best Actor, Movie Made

Search ›

Barossa wine awarded a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for sixth timeWinetitles · 4 days agoFirst Drop Wines’ Mother’s Milk Shiraz, a wine that retails for just AUD $28, has been honoured with a Wine Spectator Critics’ Choice Award for the sixth time. The 2023 vintage will be recognised in New York City this Thursday, 22 October…
Actor bags Best Actor nod!dailysun · 3 days agoMPILO Mbatha has been in the acting industry for almost five years, and he’s made his mark. His TV roles have caught viewers’ attention, and he believes this is why he landed his first nomination at the National Film and Television Awards…
Star Trek TNG Best Actor Still Confused By The Best EpisodeYahoo Entertainment · 38 h agoWhat's not to understand about "Yesterday's Enterprise?" To better understand Frakes' comment, we need to touch on the plot of this standout third-season episode. The episode begins normally enough, but our familiar Enterprise-D crew soon…
Jaafar Jackson to Receive Critics Choice Award for ‘Michael’MJVibe · 5 days agoJaafar Jackson continues to receive recognition for his portrayal of his uncle, Michael Jackson, in the biographical film Michael. The actor has been announced as one of the honorees at the 9th annual Critics Choice Association’s…
Stop announcing how much your movie made at the cinema — Filmmaker Biodun Stephen tells colleaguesVanguard News · 3 days agoNollywood filmmaker Biodun Stephen has urged colleagues to stop announcing cinema earnings, warning that the practice puts unnecessary pressure on other filmmakers and creates a narrow definition of success in the industry. Stephen made…
‘Clayface’ review: This gruesome DC horror movie made me squirm, and I want moreTom's Guide · 4 days agoAlix is a Senior Streaming Writer at Tom’s Guide, which basically means watching the best movies and TV shows and then writing about them. It’s a dream job for someone who’s been obsessed with storytelling since she first figured out how…
Sylvester Stallone Defends AI: “It’s Happening, Go With It Or Be Trampled”The Hollywood Reporter · 3 days agoThe 80-year-old actor says the industry needs to embrace AI usage: "Here to stay." Sylvester Stallone is defending the use of AI as an inevitable force that Hollywood will just have to accept and embrace. The actor-writer-director got on…
Ryan Gosling resurfaces for ‘Project Hail Mary,’ bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor fieldGold Derby · 5 days agoGosling had been out of the limelight for the past two months but now appears ready to hit the campaign trail. Ryan Gosling resurfaces for âProject Hail Mary,â bumps Tom Cruise from Best Actor field Was Ryan Gosling really punting on…
Hugh Grant Horror Movie That Almost Got Him an Oscar Nomination Is Now Streaming For FreeTV & Streaming News · 2 days agoHome » Hugh Grant Horror Movie That Almost Got Him an Oscar Nomination Is Now Streaming For Free Hugh Grant‘s eerie horror offering is now available to stream for free. Scott Beck and Bryan Woods’ Heretic is now streaming on Fandango. The…
Creators Are Getting Their Own Critics Choice Awards. Here’s How to EnterWhat's Trending · 6 days agoThe Critics Choice Association, the critics group behind one of the biggest stops on Hollywood’s awards circuit, opened submissions Monday for its inaugural Critics Choice Creator Awards. Creators can enter work first released between Jan…
Kylie Jenner Reportedly Hopes Timothée Chalamet Will Propose Soon After 3 Years TogetherThought Catalog · 3 days agoUpdated 26 minutes ago, October 22, 2026 Kylie Jenner wants marriage to be part of her future with Timothée Chalamet, but an insider says the actor’s commitment to their relationship hasn’t translated into readiness for an engagement…
Texas Friday Night Football Could Soon Air Live On TelevisionYahoo Sports · 3 days agoTexas high school football could become more widely available on live television following a decision by the University Interscholastic League to ease restrictions on Friday night broadcasts. The UIL Legislative Council approved a proposal…

Related markets

All awards ›

Culture › Awards

Oscar Winner: Best Picture (2027)

45%The Odyssey

The Odyssey45%
You Can See Everything28%▼ 3
The Black Ball13%

38 more

Dune: Part Three6%
Digger1%
Wild Horse Nine1%
Artificial1%
Project Hail Mary<1%
Disclosure Day<1%
Fjord<1%
The Social Reckoning<1%
Michael<1%
The Entertainment System Is Down<1%
Narnia: The Magician's Nephew<1%
Werwulf<1%
Behemoth<1%
Josephine<1%
Sense and Sensibility<1%
I Love Boosters<1%
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth<1%
Avengers: Doomsday<1%
The Death of Robin Hood<1%
The Drama<1%
Ink<1%
All of a Sudden<1%
Cry to Heaven<1%
Tie<1%
1949 / Fatherland<1%
Paper Tiger<1%
Hope<1%
Minotaur<1%
Parallel Tales<1%
Jack of Spades<1%
Obsession<1%
The Debut<1%
Elsinore<1%
The Invite<1%
Club Kid<1%
Being Heumann<1%
Primetime<1%
Tender Loving Care<1%

Culture › Awards

Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film (2027)

85%NAZA

NAZA85%
You Can See Everything79%▼ 6
Once Upon a Time in Harlem67%▲ 3

7 more

American Doctor64%▲ 1
14th42%▲ 4
Nuisance Bear39%▲ 4
One in a Million34%▲ 6
Musk23%▼ 3
Tutu21%▼ 4
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party20%▼ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Cinematography Nominations

95%The Odyssey

The Odyssey95%▲ 1
Dune: Part Three75%▼ 17
Project Hail Mary63%▼ 1

6 more

Fatherland45%
Werwulf34%▼ 4
Digger34%▲ 6
Obsession16%▼ 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth15%
Josephine10%

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

98%The Odyssey

The Odyssey98%
La Bola Negra96%▲ 1
Wild Horse Nine91%▲ 1

19 more

Dune: Part Three88%
Project Hail Mary77%
The Debut76%▼ 1
You Can See Everything75%▼ 1
The Invite62%▲ 1
I Play Rocky59%▲ 10
Fjord36%▼ 1
All of a Sudden36%▼ 2
Elsinore32%▲ 2
Obsession31%▼ 1
The Adventures of Cliff Booth24%▲ 1
Behemoth!22%▲ 5
Digger19%
Michael13%▲ 2
Avengers: Doomsday7%
Fatherland5%
Disclosure Day5%
The Drama3%
The Social Reckoning2%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Nominations

88%The Odyssey

The Odyssey88%▲ 10
The Black Ball79%▲ 11
Dune: Part Three75%▲ 3

9 more

Sense and Sensibility61%▼ 2
I Love Boosters54%▼ 7
Werwulf48%▲ 1
The Devil Wears Prada 243%▼ 2
Michael40%▲ 3
Wuthering Heights38%▲ 6
Wild Horse Nine28%▲ 8
Digger26%▼ 18
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth22%▲ 1

Culture › Awards

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

86%The Baddest Speechwriter of All

The Baddest Speechwriter of All86%▲ 22
One Last Order56%▼ 2
Oh Whale53%▲ 9

7 more

Water Cooler46%▲ 19
A Derailment43%▲ 1
Listen36%▲ 8
We're Fine32%▲ 5
The Tuners26%▼ 26
A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil24%▼ 1
A Wolf in the Suburbs20%▲ 3

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onCritics Choice Awards

Trading closesJan 3, 2028 10:00 AM ET

Traded$421 (3,023 contracts)

At stake$408

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Oscar Isaac has won Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions