Bank of Japan Decision in October?
97%No change
- No change97%
- 25 bps increase3%
- 50+ bps increase1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
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Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
The odds
95%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate95%▲ 1
- Hike 25bps4%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
- Cut 25bps<1%
- Hike more than 25bps<1%
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 95% | ▲ 1 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 14.7K |
| Hike 25bps | 4% | 4¢ | 5¢ | $20.00 | 9.5K | |
| Cut more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 952 | ||
| Cut 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 967 | ||
| Hike more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)Hike 25 bpKalshi 4%Polymarket 3%2 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: Bank of Japan
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All central banks ›Bank of Japan rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
69%Hike 25bps
- Hike 25bps69%
- Maintain current rate28%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%
2 more
- Cut 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
84%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase84%▲ 68
- No Change16%▼ 67
- 50+ bps increase<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Bank of Russia decision in October?
85%No Change
- No Change85%▼ 7
- Decrease13%▲ 5
- Increase<1%
Bank of England decision in November?
95%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase95%▲ 2
- No change4%▼ 3
- 25 bps decrease<1%
2 more
- 50+ bps increase<1%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
96%No change
- No change96%
- 25 bps increase4%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
2 more
- 25 bps decrease<1%
- 50+ bps increase<1%
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
51%No Change
- No Change51%▼ 1
- 25 bps increase47%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase1%
2 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.