Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Polymarket Culture › Awards Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $1.3K today · $105K traded · $9.4K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

49%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo49%▲ 2
Lux - Rosalía19%
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean16%
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers6%
Confessions II - Madonna5%▼ 1
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan3%▲ 1
Dandelion - Ella Langley2%▼ 1
petal - Ariana Grande1%▼ 2
The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift1%
Octane - Don Toliver1%
The Romantic - Bruno Mars<1%
West End Girl - Lily Allen<1%

3 more

Iceman - Drake<1%
Arirang - BTS<1%
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles<1%

How the odds have moved

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in lov: 42% on Oct 20, 49% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo	49%	▲ 2	49¢	51¢	$1.96	$25.6K
Lux - Rosalía	19%		19¢	21¢	$4.76	$13K
The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean	16%		16¢	17¢	$5.99	$45.8K
Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers	6%		6¢	6¢	$16.13	$4.3K
Confessions II - Madonna	5%	▼ 1	5¢	6¢	$17.54	$1.7K
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan	3%	▲ 1	3¢	3¢	$33.33	$1.9K
Dandelion - Ella Langley	2%	▼ 1	1¢	2¢	$41.67	$1.6K
petal - Ariana Grande	1%	▼ 2	1¢	2¢	$52.63	$1.5K
The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift	1%		0¢	1¢	$76.92	$1.6K
Octane - Don Toliver	1%		0¢	1¢	$90.91	$1.5K
The Romantic - Bruno Mars	<1%		0¢	1¢		$1.7K
West End Girl - Lily Allen	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.1K
Iceman - Drake	<1%		0¢	0¢		$1.2K
Arirang - BTS	<1%			0¢		$1.6K
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles	<1%			0¢		$985

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

Grammy winner: Album of the Year (2027)you seem pretty sad for a girl so in…Kalshi 55%Polymarket 49%6 pts apart

Grammy winner: Album of the Year (2027)

55%you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love55%▲ 2
Lux22%▲ 1
The Art of Loving15%
The Great Divide5%▼ 1

9 more

Dandelion3%
Lost Weekend2%▼ 1
The Life of a Showgirl1%
Tie1%▲ 1
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally<1%
The Romantic<1%
Arirang<1%
ICEMAN<1%
Through the Wall<1%

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Grammys, Grammy

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UVI’s Jahman ‘elated’ over Grammy considerationjamaicaobserver.com · 48 h agoOn November 19, when The Recording Academy announces nominations for the 69th Grammy Awards, roots singer Jahman hopes he will be in the running for Best Reggae Album. Alive is the title of his album, which was released in April. It is one…
Megadeth release official Grammy Museum Q&A videoChaoszine · 3 days agoMegadeth‘s conversation with presenter Matt Pinfield at the Grammy Museum in Los Angeles is now available to watch in an official video. The discussion was recorded on September 24, 2026, during an event at the venue’s Ray Charles Rooftop…
Ariana Grande, Dua Lipa and a Grammy in his garage: West Coast teacher’s lies expose heinous alleged crimesCalifornia Post · 5 days agoAn Oregon teacher is accused of masquerading as a former music producer with connections to superstars Ariana Grande and Dua Lipa to manipulate students into having secret sexual relationships with him, authorities said. Ian Imamura, 28…
Kelly Clarkson opens up on cancer scare before 2006 GrammysCBS News · 6 days agoFebruary 10, 2017 / 10:19 AM EST / ET Online Kelly Clarkson knows what a cancer scare feels like. The “Breakaway” singer opened up about a 2006 false alarm with the disease on Billboard’s Pop Shop Podcast on Tuesday. While the diagnosis…
Cowboys Cheerleaders Launch Legal Battle Against Grammy-Nominated Rock Band After Forming Their Own UnionEssentiallySports · 3 days agoOct 24, 2026 | 2:45 PM EDT Rock bands have staged plenty of chaos, but a shootout featuring cheerleader lookalikes may be a first. However, when a Grammy-nominated band’s Black Parade anniversary show featured a staged shootout with…
‘The Trust Has Been Broken’: The Weeknd Refuses to Submit Music to Grammys Despite Elimination of ‘Secret’ CommitteesAtlanta Black Star · 3 days agoThe Weeknd has reacted to the Grammy Awards rule changes the Recording Academy revealed on Friday, and he was not favorable, even though one of the changes removes the “secret” nomination-review committees that were central to him being…
Grammy Museum Mississippi gala honors Buffett, McAnally, raises $180K for music educationSuperTalk Mississippi Media · 4 days agoGrammy Museum Mississippi hosted its “Lyrics and Latitudes” gala Thursday night, paying homage to Jimmy Buffett and other local singers while raising thousands of dollars for its education programs. According to the museum in Cleveland…
Grammy-Nominated Songwriter INK Releases Single “American Reject,” Announces EPMusic Industry Weekly · 3 days agoGrammy-Nominated Songwriter INK Releases Single "American Reject," Announces EP Music Industry Weekly INK, the Grammy-nominated songwriter behind Beyoncé’s “TEXAS HOLD ‘EM” and Kendrick Lamar and SZA’s “Luther,” has released a new single…
“Using your voice to express something–anything”: Grammy-nominated artist Michael Mayo delivers exceptional performance at Memorial Union@@dailycardinal · 3 days agoMichael Mayo delivered an exceptional vocal performance alongside his band at Memorial Union’s Play Circle Oct. 1. The Los Angeles native singer and multi-instrumentalist performed his first-ever show in Madison as part of his “Fly”…
Tony and Grammy winner Heather Headley returns to Fort Wayne to coach students in masterclass@ABC21WPTA · 4 days agoFORT WAYNE, Ind. (WPTA) - Tony and Grammy Award winner Heather Headley is back in Fort Wayne this weekend to lead her second annual masterclass for young singers and actors. The Northrop High School graduate worked one-on-one with students…
The Grammy for Producer of the Year, Non-Classical, Will Go to the Best StorytellerRolling Stone · 6 days agoRolling Stone's predictions for the Producer of the Year, Non-Classical category at the Grammys in 2027. Leading up to the Grammy nominations on Nov. 16, “Rolling Stone” is breaking down 11 different categories. For each, we’re predicting…
Secret Grammy voters reveal who’s up (Olivia Dean, Raye, Rosalía), who’s down (Taylor Swift, Asian Pop) at the end of Phase 1Gold Derby · 3 days agoVoter 1: A global music and pop instrumentalist Voter 2: A songwriter in pop/dance and alternative musicVoter 3: An R&B and hip-hop artist/rapper and producer Voter 3 also includes a third superstar when it comes to favorite records of the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJun 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$105K

Today$1.3K

This week$9.6K

At stake$9.4K

In the news2 headlines today, 83 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed album that wins Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an album is not officially nominated for Album of the Year when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated album whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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